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Guangdong Mingtu vs Shenzhen 2028 Prediction, H2H & Stats

China: League Two · Regular Season - 16
Guangdong Mingtu

Guangdong Mingtu

DWDDW
Full time
2:2
HT 1 - 2
Shenzhen 2028

Shenzhen 2028

LLLDL
27' W. Jiang
30' Z. Huang
33' Wang Tanyou
35' H. Fang
61' Jiang Yixiang
85' Li Mingjie
85' M. Cai (Penalty)
86' Gu Zhiwei
Saturday, 11 July 2026
Huadu Stadium, Guangzhou
Zhang Junwei

Head to head

Last 3 meetings
3games
0Guangdong Mingtu wins
1Draws
2Shenzhen 2028 wins
2.3Goals per game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
25 Apr 2026League Two Shenzhen 2028 3 - 1 Guangdong Mingtu
01 Jun 2025League Two Shenzhen 2028 1 - 1 Guangdong Mingtu
23 Mar 2025League Two Guangdong Mingtu 0 - 1 Shenzhen 2028

Recent form

4 W 5 D 1 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026League Two Dalian Yingbo B 1 - 2 Guangdong Mingtu W
25 Oct 2026League Two Guangdong Mingtu 0 - 0 Changchun Xidu D
17 Oct 2026League Two Shanghai Second 1 - 1 Guangdong Mingtu D
11 Oct 2026League Two Rizhao Yuqi 1 - 2 Guangdong Mingtu W
06 Oct 2026League Two Guangdong Mingtu 1 - 1 Dalian Yingbo B D
18 Sep 2026League Two Changchun Xidu 0 - 0 Guangdong Mingtu D
12 Sep 2026League Two Guangdong Mingtu 1 - 0 Shanghai Second W
23 Aug 2026League Two Langfang Glory City 1 - 0 Guangdong Mingtu L
16 Aug 2026League Two Guangdong Mingtu 3 - 0 Wuhan Three Towns II W
09 Aug 2026League Two Guangdong Mingtu 0 - 0 Yichun Grand Tiger D
2 W 3 D 5 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026League Two Shandong Taishan II 3 - 2 Shenzhen 2028 L
25 Oct 2026League Two Shenzhen 2028 1 - 1 Dalian Kewei D
17 Oct 2026League Two Xi'an Ronghai 1 - 0 Shenzhen 2028 L
11 Oct 2026League Two Shanghai Port II 2 - 1 Shenzhen 2028 L
06 Oct 2026League Two Shenzhen 2028 0 - 2 Shandong Taishan II L
19 Sep 2026League Two Dalian Kewei 0 - 0 Shenzhen 2028 D
13 Sep 2026League Two Shenzhen 2028 1 - 0 Xi'an Ronghai W
23 Aug 2026League Two Shenzhen 2028 0 - 1 Hubei Chufeng Heli L
16 Aug 2026League Two Yichun Grand Tiger 1 - 1 Shenzhen 2028 D
08 Aug 2026League Two Shenzhen 2028 6 - 0 Shangyu Pterosaur W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Guangdong Mingtu Draw Shenzhen 2028
Value spotted: Guangdong Mingtu win at 3.27 (model 34% vs market 28%)

Most likely scores

0-0 15%
0-1 14.2%
1-0 14.2%
1-1 13.5%
0-2 6.7%
2-0 6.7%

Expected goals: 0.95 Guangdong Mingtu · 0.95 Shenzhen 2028

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals57%
Over 2.5 goals30%
Over 3.5 goals13%
Both teams score38%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
42%
Form
58%
46%
Attack
54%
43%
Defence
57%
40%
Goal model
60%
13%
Head to head
88%
29%
Goals
71%
35%
Overall
64%

Season numbers

League Two 2026

When the goals come

4
0-15'
4
2
16-30'
2
2
31-45'
4
1
46-60'
3
1
61-75'
2
5
76-90'
7
2
0-15'
6
3
16-30'
5
2
31-45'
2
3
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
2
6
76-90'
3
Guangdong Mingtu Shenzhen 2028

Side by side

Guangdong Mingtu Shenzhen 2028
15 Played 15
3 Won 7
7 Drawn 5
5 Lost 3
1 Goals scored per game 1.5
1.1 Goals conceded per game 1.2
0.6 / 1.4 Scored per game (home / away) 2.1 / 0.9
5 Clean sheets 4
4 Failed to score 4
1 Longest winning run 2
0-2 Biggest win 4-0
1-2 Biggest defeat 0-2
1/1 Penalties scored 2/2

Guangdong Mingtu vs Shenzhen 2028: preview and prediction

Guangdong Mingtu host Shenzhen 2028 in the China League Two (Regular Season - 16) on Saturday, 11th July 2026 at 12:30 at Huadu Stadium, Guangzhou.

Guangdong Mingtu are unbeaten, with 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (D-W-D-D-W). Shenzhen 2028 are struggling, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-L-D-L).

In the last 3 meetings, Guangdong Mingtu won 0, Shenzhen 2028 won 2 and 1 ended level. These games average 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% and over 2.5 goals in 33%.

Our goal model expects about 0.95 goals for Guangdong Mingtu and 0.95 for Shenzhen 2028. It gives Guangdong Mingtu the edge (34% home win, 32% draw, 34% away win), 30% for over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-0.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.26.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Guangdong Mingtu vs Shenzhen 2028 FAQs

What is the best prediction for Guangdong Mingtu vs Shenzhen 2028?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.26 odds).

Who will win Guangdong Mingtu vs Shenzhen 2028?

It looks very close: our model gives Guangdong Mingtu 34%, the draw 32% and Shenzhen 2028 34%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 38% chance in our model, and it happened in 67% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 1.9 goals in total, with a 30% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Guangdong Mingtu vs Shenzhen 2028?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 11th July 2026 at 12:30 at Huadu Stadium, Guangzhou.

Who is the referee?

Zhang Junwei is in charge of this game.