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Grobiņa vs Riga Prediction, H2H & Stats

Latvia: Virsliga · Regular Season - 34
Grobiņa

Grobiņa

8th in table
LDDLW
Kick-off
17:00
Mon, 26 Oct 2026
Riga

Riga

2nd in table
WWDWD
Monday, 26 October 2026
Grobina Stadium, Grobina

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
10games
0Grobiņa wins
1Draws
9Riga wins
3.3Goals per game
20%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
02 Aug 2026Virsliga Riga 4 - 0 Grobiņa
29 May 2026Virsliga Riga 2 - 0 Grobiņa
18 Apr 2026Virsliga Grobiņa 0 - 3 Riga
02 Nov 2025Virsliga Grobiņa 1 - 1 Riga
10 Aug 2025Virsliga Riga 2 - 0 Grobiņa
14 Jun 2025Virsliga Grobiņa 0 - 2 Riga
19 Apr 2025Virsliga Riga 3 - 0 Grobiņa
31 Aug 2024Virsliga Riga 6 - 1 Grobiņa
22 Jun 2024Virsliga Grobiņa 0 - 6 Riga
02 May 2024Virsliga Riga 2 - 0 Grobiņa

Virsliga table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Rīgas FS 342752 84:24 +60 86 WWWWD
2 Riga 332472 90:31 +59 79 WWWWD
3 Auda 342077 57:35 +22 67 WLWDW
4 BFC Daugavpils 3413912 40:37 +3 48 WWWDL
5 FK Liepaja 3413813 46:46 0 47 DWLDD
6 Super Nova 3411518 32:50 -18 38 LLLWL
7 FS Jelgava 348818 34:57 -23 32 LLLLD
8 Grobiņa 3361116 25:56 -31 29 WLDDL
9 Tukums 3451019 44:65 -21 25 DLLDL
10 Ogre United 344624 34:85 -51 18 LLLWL

Top scorers

Virsliga
1 PauloRiga 3goals 1assists 15apps
2 M. OšsSuper Nova 3goals 0assists 32apps
3 M. BadamosiRiga 2goals 0assists 30apps
4 A. TraoreBFC Daugavpils 2goals 0assists 29apps
5 J. EdeFK Liepaja 2goals 0assists 29apps
6 R. ĶiršsSuper Nova 2goals 0assists 19apps
7 A. AppiahAuda 2goals 0assists 14apps
8 D. KiwindaBFC Daugavpils 1goals 2assists 19apps
9 A. OgunniyiFK Liepaja 1goals 1assists 32apps
10 R. ŠitjakovsSuper Nova 1goals 1assists 30apps

Recent form

2 W 2 D 6 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026Virsliga Grobiņa 3 - 2 Ogre United W
10 Oct 2026Virsliga Super Nova 2 - 1 Grobiņa L
20 Sep 2026Virsliga Tukums 1 - 1 Grobiņa D
12 Sep 2026Virsliga Grobiņa 0 - 0 FS Jelgava D
06 Sep 2026Virsliga Auda 1 - 0 Grobiņa L
29 Aug 2026Virsliga Grobiņa 1 - 0 BFC Daugavpils W
21 Aug 2026Virsliga FK Liepaja 3 - 1 Grobiņa L
17 Aug 2026Cup Auda 3 - 2 Grobiņa L
10 Aug 2026Virsliga Rīgas FS 6 - 1 Grobiņa L
02 Aug 2026Virsliga Riga 4 - 0 Grobiņa L
6 W 4 D 0 L in the last 10
22 Oct 2026UEFA Europa Conference League Pafos 1 - 1 Riga D
18 Oct 2026Virsliga Riga 2 - 1 Super Nova W
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa Conference League Riga 1 - 1 Kairat Almaty D
10 Oct 2026Virsliga Tukums 0 - 2 Riga W
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Aris 1 - 2 Riga W
19 Sep 2026Virsliga FS Jelgava 0 - 1 Riga W
15 Sep 2026Virsliga Super Nova 0 - 1 Riga W
11 Sep 2026Virsliga Riga 2 - 2 Auda D
07 Sep 2026Virsliga Riga 1 - 1 BFC Daugavpils D
03 Sep 2026Cup Rīgas FS 2 - 3 Riga W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Grobiņa Draw Riga
Value spotted: Grobiņa win at 9.50 (model 18% vs market 9%) · Draw at 5.75 (model 22% vs market 16%)

Most likely scores

0-1 10.7%
0-2 10.5%
1-1 10.2%
1-2 9.9%
0-3 6.8%
1-3 6.5%

Expected goals: 0.95 Grobiņa · 1.95 Riga

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Over 3.5 goals33%
Both teams score53%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
28%
Form
72%
38%
Attack
62%
33%
Defence
67%
17%
Goal model
83%
7%
Head to head
93%
8%
Goals
92%
21%
Overall
78%

Season numbers

Virsliga 2026

When the goals come

4
0-15'
8
5
16-30'
14
4
31-45'
18
2
46-60'
11
6
61-75'
14
6
76-90'
19
6
0-15'
6
4
16-30'
8
14
31-45'
5
11
46-60'
7
6
61-75'
5
13
76-90'
6
Grobiņa Riga

Side by side

Grobiņa Riga
33 Played 33
6 Won 24
11 Drawn 7
16 Lost 2
0.8 Goals scored per game 2.7
1.7 Goals conceded per game 0.9
0.9 / 0.6 Scored per game (home / away) 2.8 / 2.6
7 Clean sheets 14
15 Failed to score 1
1 Longest winning run 6
3-1 Biggest win 4-0
0-3 Biggest defeat 3-2
2/3 Penalties scored 6/7

What comes next

Grobiņa
Riga (H) 26 Oct
Rīgas FS (A) 01 Nov
FK Liepaja (H) 08 Nov
Riga
Grobiņa (A) 26 Oct
Ogre United (A) 01 Nov
FK Jablonec (H) 05 Nov
Rīgas FS (H) 08 Nov
Auda (A) 20 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Grobiņa 9.50 11% implied
Draw 5.75 17% implied
Riga 1.20 83% implied Our tip
Grobiņa 7.50 13% implied
Riga 1.07 93% implied Our tip
Over 0.5 1.00 100% implied
Under 0.5 19.00 5% implied
Over 1.5 1.12 89% implied
Under 1.5 5.50 18% implied
Over 2.5 1.44 69% implied
Under 2.5 2.62 38% implied
Over 3.5 2.10 48% implied Our tip
Under 3.5 1.67 60% implied
Over 4.5 3.50 29% implied
Under 4.5 1.28 78% implied
Grobiņa/Draw 23.00 4% implied
Grobiņa/Riga 19.00 5% implied
Draw/Riga 4.00 25% implied
Draw/Draw 9.50 11% implied
Grobiņa/Grobiņa 19.00 5% implied
Draw/Grobiņa 21.00 5% implied
Riga/Grobiņa 51.00 2% implied
Riga/Draw 21.00 5% implied
Riga/Riga 1.67 60% implied
Yes 2.00 50% implied
No 1.73 58% implied
0:2 7.00 14% implied
0:3 8.00 13% implied
0:1 9.00 11% implied
1:2 9.50 11% implied
1:3 11.00 9% implied
0:4 11.00 9% implied
1:1 12.00 8% implied
1:4 15.00 7% implied
Grobiņa/Draw 3.75 27% implied
Grobiņa/Riga 1.10 91% implied
Draw/Riga 1.03 97% implied
Grobiņa 8.50 12% implied
Draw 2.75 36% implied
Riga 1.57 64% implied Our tip

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Grobiņa vs Riga: preview and prediction

Grobiņa host Riga in the Latvia Virsliga (Regular Season - 34) on Monday, 26th October 2026 at 17:00 at Grobina Stadium, Grobina. Grobiņa sit 8th in the table and Riga 2nd.

Grobiņa have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-D-D-L-W). Riga are in good shape, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-D-W-D).

In the last 10 meetings, Grobiņa won 0, Riga won 9 and 1 ended level. These games average 3.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 20% and over 2.5 goals in 50%.

Our goal model expects about 0.95 goals for Grobiņa and 1.95 for Riga. It gives Riga the edge (18% home win, 22% draw, 61% away win), 55% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-1.

Verdict: our pick is Away Win. We also like Over 3.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Grobiņa vs Riga FAQs

What is the best prediction for Grobiņa vs Riga?

Our top tip is Banker: Away Win.

Who will win Grobiņa vs Riga?

Riga are favourites: our model gives Grobiņa 18%, the draw 22% and Riga 61%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 53% chance in our model, and it happened in 20% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.9 goals in total, with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Grobiņa vs Riga?

Kick-off is on Monday, 26th October 2026 at 17:00 at Grobina Stadium, Grobina.