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Greifswalder FC vs Erzgebirge Aue Prediction, H2H & Stats

Germany: Regionalliga - Nordost · Nordost - 12
Greifswalder FC

Greifswalder FC

8th in table
LWLLD
Full time
1:0
HT 1 - 0
Erzgebirge Aue

Erzgebirge Aue

6th in table
LLLWW
12' F. Heim
Sunday, 11 October 2026

Regionalliga - Nordost table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 151041 46:19 +27 34 WWDLW
2 Chemnitzer FC 151032 34:12 +22 33 WLDWW
3 Hallescher FC 15861 23:12 +11 30 DDWWW
4 BFC Dynamo 15852 24:13 +11 29 WDDWW
5 Altglienicke 15834 27:20 +7 27 LWWLW
6 Erzgebirge Aue 15834 24:18 +6 27 WWLLL
7 FC Carl Zeiss Jena 15825 23:13 +10 26 LDWWW
8 Greifswalder FC 15654 29:24 +5 23 DLLWL
9 Lokomotive Leipzig 15564 30:28 +2 21 WDDDL
10 Magdeburg II 15627 28:29 -1 20 DWWLL
11 FSV Zwickau 15546 17:25 -8 19 LLDWD
12 SV Babelsberg 03 15447 16:27 -11 16 LWLDW
13 BFC Preussen 15357 19:22 -3 14 WLLDL
14 BSG Chemie Leipzig 15357 18:23 -5 14 DWDLW
15 Hertha BSC II 15258 11:26 -15 11 DLLDD
16 Tasmania Berlin 153210 24:43 -19 11 LWWLL
17 RSV Eintracht 152310 15:34 -19 9 LLWLL
18 Luckenwalde 152112 15:35 -20 7 DLLWL

Recent form

4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Regionalliga - Nordost Greifswalder FC 1 - 1 BSG Chemie Leipzig D
24 Oct 2026Regionalliga - Nordost Greifswalder FC 2 - 3 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt L
18 Oct 2026Regionalliga - Nordost Magdeburg II 4 - 2 Greifswalder FC L
11 Oct 2026Regionalliga - Nordost Greifswalder FC 1 - 0 Erzgebirge Aue W
25 Sep 2026Regionalliga - Nordost BFC Dynamo 1 - 0 Greifswalder FC L
20 Sep 2026Regionalliga - Nordost Greifswalder FC 3 - 1 Luckenwalde W
16 Sep 2026Regionalliga - Nordost RSV Eintracht 1 - 2 Greifswalder FC W
13 Sep 2026Regionalliga - Nordost Greifswalder FC 3 - 3 Lokomotive Leipzig D
30 Aug 2026Regionalliga - Nordost Tasmania Berlin 2 - 2 Greifswalder FC D
26 Aug 2026Regionalliga - Nordost Greifswalder FC 2 - 1 SV Babelsberg 03 W
5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Regionalliga - Nordost Erzgebirge Aue 1 - 0 FC Carl Zeiss Jena W
24 Oct 2026Regionalliga - Nordost FSV Zwickau 0 - 3 Erzgebirge Aue W
18 Oct 2026Regionalliga - Nordost Erzgebirge Aue 0 - 1 Hallescher FC L
11 Oct 2026Regionalliga - Nordost Greifswalder FC 1 - 0 Erzgebirge Aue L
27 Sep 2026Regionalliga - Nordost Erzgebirge Aue 1 - 2 BSG Chemie Leipzig L
19 Sep 2026Regionalliga - Nordost FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 2 - 2 Erzgebirge Aue D
16 Sep 2026Regionalliga - Nordost Magdeburg II 1 - 2 Erzgebirge Aue W
12 Sep 2026Regionalliga - Nordost Erzgebirge Aue 2 - 1 Luckenwalde W
30 Aug 2026Regionalliga - Nordost Lokomotive Leipzig 1 - 2 Erzgebirge Aue W
26 Aug 2026Regionalliga - Nordost Erzgebirge Aue 0 - 0 Hertha BSC II D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Greifswalder FC Draw Erzgebirge Aue

Most likely scores

1-1 8.5%
1-2 8%
2-1 7.6%
2-2 7.2%
1-3 5.1%
0-1 4.7%

Expected goals: 1.8 Greifswalder FC · 1.9 Erzgebirge Aue

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals71%
Over 3.5 goals50%
Both teams score71%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
44%
Form
56%
53%
Attack
47%
47%
Defence
53%
46%
Goal model
54%
0%
Head to head
0%
0%
Goals
0%
47%
Overall
52%

Season numbers

Regionalliga - Nordost 2026

When the goals come

3
0-15'
3
8
16-30'
2
1
31-45'
2
3
46-60'
7
4
61-75'
1
3
76-90'
3
4
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
4
5
31-45'
5
1
46-60'
1
3
61-75'
2
2
76-90'
3
Greifswalder FC Erzgebirge Aue

Side by side

Greifswalder FC Erzgebirge Aue
11 Played 11
5 Won 6
4 Drawn 3
2 Lost 2
2.1 Goals scored per game 1.8
1.5 Goals conceded per game 1.5
2.2 / 2 Scored per game (home / away) 1.8 / 1.8
1 Clean sheets 2
1 Failed to score 1
2 Longest winning run 3
3-1 Biggest win 3-2
1-3 Biggest defeat 1-2
1/1 Penalties scored 2/2

Greifswalder FC vs Erzgebirge Aue: preview and prediction

Greifswalder FC host Erzgebirge Aue in the Germany Regionalliga - Nordost (Nordost - 12) on Sunday, 11th October 2026 at 13:00. Greifswalder FC sit 8th in the table and Erzgebirge Aue 6th.

Greifswalder FC are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-L-D). Erzgebirge Aue are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-L-W-W).

Our goal model expects about 1.8 goals for Greifswalder FC and 1.9 for Erzgebirge Aue. It gives Erzgebirge Aue the edge (37% home win, 22% draw, 41% away win), 71% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.54. We also like BTTS Yes.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Greifswalder FC vs Erzgebirge Aue FAQs

What is the best prediction for Greifswalder FC vs Erzgebirge Aue?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.54 odds).

Who will win Greifswalder FC vs Erzgebirge Aue?

Erzgebirge Aue are favourites: our model gives Greifswalder FC 37%, the draw 22% and Erzgebirge Aue 41%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 71% chance in our model.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.7 goals in total, with a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Greifswalder FC vs Erzgebirge Aue?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 11th October 2026 at 13:00.