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Green Gully vs Dandenong Thunder Prediction, H2H & Stats

Australia: Victoria NPL · Regular Season - 21
Green Gully

Green Gully

13th in table
DDLLW
Full time
3:1
HT 2 - 0
Dandenong Thunder

Dandenong Thunder

14th in table
LLLLL
4' B. Habib
24' J. Hope
53' L. Manyec
75' F. Busasa
75' F. Busasa
84' Y. Ahmed
Friday, 17 July 2026
Green Gully Reserve, Melbourne

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
3Green Gully wins
3Draws
3Dandenong Thunder wins
2.8Goals per game
56%Both scored
44%Over 2.5
11 Apr 2026Victoria NPL Dandenong Thunder 1 - 1 Green Gully
16 May 2025Victoria NPL Green Gully 3 - 1 Dandenong Thunder
08 Feb 2025Victoria NPL Dandenong Thunder 2 - 0 Green Gully
29 Jun 2024Victoria NPL Dandenong Thunder 1 - 1 Green Gully
22 Mar 2024Victoria NPL Green Gully 1 - 1 Dandenong Thunder
29 Jul 2023Victoria NPL Dandenong Thunder 1 - 0 Green Gully
28 Apr 2023Victoria NPL Green Gully 4 - 2 Dandenong Thunder
21 Aug 2022Victoria NPL Dandenong Thunder 3 - 0 Green Gully
13 May 2022Victoria NPL Green Gully 3 - 0 Dandenong Thunder

Victoria NPL table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Oakleigh Cannons 261664 56:24 +32 54 LWLWW
2 Preston Lions 261565 41:19 +22 51 LDDWW
3 Hume City 261547 51:36 +15 49 LLWWW
4 Avondale 261529 65:34 +31 47 WWWWW
5 South Melbourne 2613211 39:36 +3 41 LWLLW
6 Heidelberg United 261178 42:34 +8 40 LWWLL
7 Sunshine Georgies 269116 35:34 +1 38 WLWDD
8 Dandenong City 261079 35:31 +4 37 WDWWD
9 St. Albans Saints 269710 36:43 -7 34 WWDLW
10 Melbourne City II 268612 42:42 0 30 LLLLL
11 Altona Magic 267712 28:42 -14 28 DLLDW
12 Bentleigh Greens 266614 27:51 -24 24 LWDDL
13 Green Gully 264616 23:52 -29 18 WLLDD
14 Dandenong Thunder 264319 23:65 -42 15 LLLLL

Recent form

4 W 2 D 4 L in the last 10
29 Aug 2026Victoria NPL Melbourne City II 1 - 2 Green Gully W
21 Aug 2026Victoria NPL Green Gully 1 - 2 St. Albans Saints L
14 Aug 2026Victoria NPL Oakleigh Cannons 4 - 1 Green Gully L
31 Jul 2026Victoria NPL Preston Lions 2 - 2 Green Gully D
24 Jul 2026Victoria NPL Green Gully 0 - 0 Dandenong City D
17 Jul 2026Victoria NPL Green Gully 3 - 1 Dandenong Thunder W
10 Jul 2026Victoria NPL Green Gully 1 - 3 Altona Magic L
03 Jul 2026Victoria NPL Green Gully 3 - 0 Bentleigh Greens W
28 Jun 2026Victoria NPL South Melbourne 1 - 2 Green Gully W
20 Jun 2026Victoria NPL Hume City 3 - 2 Green Gully L
1 W 0 D 9 L in the last 10
29 Aug 2026Victoria NPL St. Albans Saints 6 - 0 Dandenong Thunder L
22 Aug 2026Victoria NPL Dandenong Thunder 0 - 5 Oakleigh Cannons L
16 Aug 2026Victoria NPL Preston Lions 3 - 0 Dandenong Thunder L
01 Aug 2026Victoria NPL Dandenong Thunder 0 - 3 Dandenong City L
25 Jul 2026Victoria NPL Dandenong Thunder 0 - 2 Altona Magic L
17 Jul 2026Victoria NPL Green Gully 3 - 1 Dandenong Thunder L
11 Jul 2026Victoria NPL Dandenong Thunder 2 - 1 Bentleigh Greens W
05 Jul 2026Victoria NPL South Melbourne 1 - 0 Dandenong Thunder L
27 Jun 2026Victoria NPL Dandenong Thunder 1 - 3 Hume City L
20 Jun 2026Victoria NPL Avondale 11 - 0 Dandenong Thunder L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Green Gully Draw Dandenong Thunder
Value spotted: Dandenong Thunder win at 3.16 (model 35% vs market 29%)

Most likely scores

1-1 9.8%
2-1 8.6%
1-2 7.9%
2-2 6.9%
1-0 6.1%
0-1 5.6%

Expected goals: 1.75 Green Gully · 1.6 Dandenong Thunder

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals65%
Over 3.5 goals43%
Both teams score66%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
67%
Form
33%
62%
Attack
38%
68%
Defence
32%
45%
Goal model
55%
50%
Head to head
50%
50%
Goals
50%
57%
Overall
43%

Season numbers

Victoria NPL 2026

When the goals come

3
0-15'
3
4
16-30'
4
0
31-45'
0
5
46-60'
8
1
61-75'
2
1
76-90'
5
6
0-15'
2
5
16-30'
7
4
31-45'
5
11
46-60'
12
5
61-75'
5
8
76-90'
9
Green Gully Dandenong Thunder

Side by side

Green Gully Dandenong Thunder
20 Played 20
2 Won 4
4 Drawn 3
14 Lost 13
0.7 Goals scored per game 1.1
2.1 Goals conceded per game 2.2
0.6 / 0.8 Scored per game (home / away) 1.2 / 1
2 Clean sheets 2
10 Failed to score 7
2 Longest winning run 2
3-0 Biggest win 3-0
0-5 Biggest defeat 1-3
2/2 Penalties scored 0/0

Green Gully vs Dandenong Thunder: preview and prediction

Green Gully host Dandenong Thunder in the Australia Victoria NPL (Regular Season - 21) on Friday, 17th July 2026 at 10:30 at Green Gully Reserve, Melbourne. Green Gully sit 13th in the table and Dandenong Thunder 14th.

Green Gully have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-D-L-L-W). Dandenong Thunder are struggling, with 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-L-L-L).

In the last 9 meetings, Green Gully won 3, Dandenong Thunder won 3 and 3 ended level. These games average 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% and over 2.5 goals in 44%.

Our goal model expects about 1.75 goals for Green Gully and 1.6 for Dandenong Thunder. It gives Green Gully the edge (42% home win, 23% draw, 35% away win), 65% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.27. We also like Home Win, Over 2.5, Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Green Gully vs Dandenong Thunder FAQs

What is the best prediction for Green Gully vs Dandenong Thunder?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.27 odds).

Who will win Green Gully vs Dandenong Thunder?

Green Gully are favourites: our model gives Green Gully 42%, the draw 23% and Dandenong Thunder 35%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 66% chance in our model, and it happened in 56% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.4 goals in total, with a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Green Gully vs Dandenong Thunder?

Kick-off is on Friday, 17th July 2026 at 10:30 at Green Gully Reserve, Melbourne.