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Gold Coast United vs Moreton City Excelsior Prediction, H2H & Stats

Australia: Queensland NPL · Regular Season - 16
Gold Coast United

Gold Coast United

11th in table
LDWLW
Full time
0:1
HT 0 - 0
Moreton City Excelsior

Moreton City Excelsior

3rd in table
LWLWL
71'
Sunday, 28 June 2026
Coplick Family Sports Park

Head to head

Last 4 meetings
4games
0Gold Coast United wins
1Draws
3Moreton City Excelsior wins
2Goals per game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
11 Apr 2026Queensland NPL Moreton City Excelsior 2 - 1 Gold Coast United
23 Aug 2025Queensland NPL Gold Coast United 0 - 2 Moreton City Excelsior
20 Aug 2024Queensland NPL Gold Coast United 0 - 0 Moreton City Excelsior
23 Jun 2024Queensland NPL Moreton City Excelsior 3 - 0 Gold Coast United

Queensland NPL table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Lions 221723 57:22 +35 53 WWWWW
2 Peninsula Power 221363 49:27 +22 45 LWLDD
3 Moreton City Excelsior 221237 51:35 +16 39 LWLWL
4 Gold Coast Knights 221156 46:32 +14 38 LWDLD
5 Brisbane City 22976 47:48 -1 34 DWLWD
6 WDSC Wolves 22967 36:40 -4 33 LDWWD
7 Eastern Suburbs 229211 34:35 -1 29 LDLLL
8 Olympic 228212 39:43 -4 26 LLWWL
9 Magic United 227114 33:59 -26 22 WWLWL
10 Rochedale Rovers 226313 34:52 -18 21 WLWLL
11 Gold Coast United 226214 26:39 -13 20 WLWDL
12 Brisbane Roar II 225116 32:52 -20 16 LLWLW

Recent form

3 W 1 D 6 L in the last 10
14 Aug 2026Queensland NPL Gold Coast United 2 - 0 Eastern Suburbs W
08 Aug 2026Queensland NPL Brisbane City 2 - 0 Gold Coast United L
01 Aug 2026Queensland NPL Gold Coast United 1 - 0 Gold Coast Knights W
25 Jul 2026Queensland NPL Gold Coast Knights 1 - 1 Gold Coast United D
18 Jul 2026Queensland NPL Gold Coast United 0 - 1 Lions L
12 Jul 2026Queensland NPL Gold Coast United 3 - 0 Olympic W
05 Jul 2026Queensland NPL Gold Coast United 1 - 3 Magic United L
28 Jun 2026Queensland NPL Gold Coast United 0 - 1 Moreton City Excelsior L
20 Jun 2026Queensland NPL Gold Coast United 1 - 4 Brisbane Roar II L
13 Jun 2026Queensland NPL Gold Coast United 0 - 2 Brisbane City L
4 W 2 D 4 L in the last 10
05 Sep 2026Queensland NPL Peninsula Power 3 - 2 Moreton City Excelsior L
29 Aug 2026Queensland NPL Moreton City Excelsior 2 - 0 Gold Coast Knights W
14 Aug 2026Queensland NPL Moreton City Excelsior 0 - 2 Lions L
08 Aug 2026Queensland NPL Olympic 1 - 2 Moreton City Excelsior W
02 Aug 2026Queensland NPL Brisbane Roar II 2 - 0 Moreton City Excelsior L
18 Jul 2026Queensland NPL Moreton City Excelsior 2 - 2 Peninsula Power D
11 Jul 2026Queensland NPL Moreton City Excelsior 4 - 3 Magic United W
04 Jul 2026Queensland NPL Gold Coast Knights 2 - 1 Moreton City Excelsior L
28 Jun 2026Queensland NPL Gold Coast United 0 - 1 Moreton City Excelsior W
20 Jun 2026Queensland NPL Moreton City Excelsior 2 - 2 WDSC Wolves D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Gold Coast United Draw Moreton City Excelsior
Value spotted: Gold Coast United win at 6.75 (model 21% vs market 13%)

Most likely scores

1-2 9.5%
1-1 8.4%
0-2 7.3%
1-3 7.1%
0-1 6.5%
2-2 6.1%

Expected goals: 1.3 Gold Coast United · 2.25 Moreton City Excelsior

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals69%
Over 3.5 goals47%
Both teams score65%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
27%
Form
73%
32%
Attack
68%
50%
Defence
50%
26%
Goal model
74%
15%
Head to head
85%
13%
Goals
88%
27%
Overall
73%

Season numbers

Queensland NPL 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
5
6
16-30'
5
2
31-45'
5
4
46-60'
6
2
61-75'
6
2
76-90'
11
3
0-15'
4
5
16-30'
1
6
31-45'
2
4
46-60'
7
3
61-75'
5
7
76-90'
4
Gold Coast United Moreton City Excelsior

Side by side

Gold Coast United Moreton City Excelsior
14 Played 15
3 Won 9
1 Drawn 2
10 Lost 4
1.3 Goals scored per game 2.7
2.2 Goals conceded per game 1.5
1.2 / 1.3 Scored per game (home / away) 3.3 / 2.1
1 Clean sheets 4
4 Failed to score 3
2 Longest winning run 6
4-0 Biggest win 6-0
0-4 Biggest defeat 2-5
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Gold Coast United vs Moreton City Excelsior: preview and prediction

Gold Coast United host Moreton City Excelsior in the Australia Queensland NPL (Regular Season - 16) on Sunday, 28th June 2026 at 06:00 at Coplick Family Sports Park. Gold Coast United sit 11th in the table and Moreton City Excelsior 3rd.

Gold Coast United have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-D-W-L-W). Moreton City Excelsior are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-W-L).

In the last 4 meetings, Gold Coast United won 0, Moreton City Excelsior won 3 and 1 ended level. These games average 2 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% and over 2.5 goals in 50%.

Our goal model expects about 1.3 goals for Gold Coast United and 2.25 for Moreton City Excelsior. It gives Moreton City Excelsior the edge (21% home win, 20% draw, 59% away win), 69% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-2.

Our pick was Away Win at odds of 1.31.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Gold Coast United vs Moreton City Excelsior FAQs

What is the best prediction for Gold Coast United vs Moreton City Excelsior?

Our top tip is Away Win: Away Win (1.31 odds).

Who will win Gold Coast United vs Moreton City Excelsior?

Moreton City Excelsior are favourites: our model gives Gold Coast United 21%, the draw 20% and Moreton City Excelsior 59%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 65% chance in our model, and it happened in 25% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.6 goals in total, with a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Gold Coast United vs Moreton City Excelsior?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 28th June 2026 at 06:00 at Coplick Family Sports Park.