Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Jeju United FC Prediction, H2H & Stats

South-Korea: K League 1 · Regular Season - 16
Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

10th in table
WLDLD
Full time
1:1
HT 0 - 0
Jeju United FC

Jeju United FC

7th in table
WLLLD
5' Go Jae-Hyeon
12' Byeon Jun-Soo
32' Byeon Jun-Soo
32' Byeon Jun-Soo
33' Emerson Negueba
69' Park Cheol-Woo
73' T. Figueiredo
Sunday, 5 July 2026
Gimcheon Stadium, Gimcheon
Park Byung-Jin

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
4Gimcheon Sangmu FC wins
2Draws
2Jeju United FC wins
2.5Goals per game
63%Both scored
38%Over 2.5
18 Apr 2026K League 1 Jeju United FC 1 - 1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
26 Jul 2025K League 1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC 3 - 1 Jeju United FC
17 May 2025K League 1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1 - 1 Jeju United FC
22 Feb 2025K League 1 Jeju United FC 2 - 3 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
01 Sep 2024K League 1 Jeju United FC 1 - 0 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
18 May 2024K League 1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1 - 0 Jeju United FC
13 Apr 2024K League 1 Jeju United FC 0 - 2 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
10 Sep 2022K League 1 Sangju Sangmu FC 1 - 2 Jeju United FC

K League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 FC Seoul 332076 61:29 +32 67 DDWLW
2 Ulsan Hyundai FC 3315612 52:47 +5 51 DWLLW
3 Daejeon Citizen 33131010 53:41 +12 49 WWWDD
4 Jeonbuk Motors 3312129 43:33 +10 48 DWLDL
5 Gangwon FC 3311157 40:30 +10 48 DDWDL
6 Incheon United 33121011 43:35 +8 46 WDWDD
7 Jeju United FC 33121011 39:37 +2 46 LLLWD
8 FC Anyang 33101310 40:48 -8 43 DDWWD
9 Pohang Steelers 3311913 30:39 -9 42 DDLWD
10 Gimcheon Sangmu FC 335199 33:41 -8 34 LDLWD
11 Bucheon FC 1995 3371115 32:47 -15 32 LLLLD
12 Gwangju FC 3331218 30:69 -39 21 WLWDD

Top scorers

K League 1
1 Yago CarielloUlsan Hyundai FC 12goals 1assists 27apps
2 S. MugošaIncheon United 11goals 1assists 31apps
3 Tiago OrobóJeonbuk Motors 10goals 0assists 26apps
4 Lee Dong-GyeongUlsan Hyundai FC 9goals 10assists 33apps
5 J. IredaleGwangju FC 9goals 0assists 18apps
6 P. KlimalaFC Seoul 8goals 0assists 31apps
7 Emerson NeguebaJeju United FC 6goals 2assists 31apps
8 Go Jae-HyeonGimcheon Sangmu FC 5goals 3assists 29apps
9 M. FerrierIncheon United 5goals 1assists 30apps
10 Diogo de OliveiraDaejeon Citizen 5goals 2assists 29apps

Recent form

1 W 6 D 3 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026K League 1 Gwangju FC 1 - 1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC D
24 Oct 2026K League 1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1 - 2 Daejeon Citizen L
18 Oct 2026K League 1 FC Seoul 2 - 2 Gimcheon Sangmu FC D
10 Oct 2026K League 1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0 - 1 FC Anyang L
19 Sep 2026K League 1 Bucheon FC 1995 0 - 2 Gimcheon Sangmu FC W
13 Sep 2026K League 1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC 2 - 2 Gangwon FC D
09 Sep 2026K League 1 Pohang Steelers 0 - 0 Gimcheon Sangmu FC D
06 Sep 2026K League 1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC 2 - 2 Gwangju FC D
29 Aug 2026K League 1 Ulsan Hyundai FC 3 - 1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC L
25 Aug 2026K League 1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0 - 0 Jeonbuk Motors D
3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026K League 1 Pohang Steelers 1 - 1 Jeju United FC D
24 Oct 2026K League 1 Incheon United 3 - 1 Jeju United FC L
18 Oct 2026K League 1 Jeonbuk Motors 3 - 2 Jeju United FC L
10 Oct 2026K League 1 FC Seoul 2 - 1 Jeju United FC L
20 Sep 2026K League 1 Gangwon FC 0 - 1 Jeju United FC W
12 Sep 2026K League 1 Bucheon FC 1995 2 - 2 Jeju United FC D
09 Sep 2026K League 1 Gwangju FC 0 - 1 Jeju United FC W
05 Sep 2026K League 1 Jeju United FC 0 - 0 Ulsan Hyundai FC D
30 Aug 2026K League 1 Jeju United FC 3 - 1 Daejeon Citizen W
25 Aug 2026K League 1 Jeju United FC 1 - 2 Pohang Steelers L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Gimcheon Sangmu FC Draw Jeju United FC
Value spotted: Jeju United FC win at 2.87 (model 50% vs market 33%)

Most likely scores

0-1 15.7%
1-1 12.6%
0-0 11.6%
0-2 10.6%
1-0 9.3%
1-2 8.5%

Expected goals: 0.8 Gimcheon Sangmu FC · 1.35 Jeju United FC

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals63%
Over 2.5 goals36%
Over 3.5 goals17%
Both teams score41%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
40%
Form
60%
55%
Attack
45%
41%
Defence
59%
29%
Goal model
71%
62%
Head to head
38%
57%
Goals
43%
47%
Overall
52%

Season numbers

K League 1 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
1
4
16-30'
4
1
31-45'
1
2
46-60'
2
4
61-75'
2
4
76-90'
3
2
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
2
6
31-45'
3
5
46-60'
4
3
61-75'
2
4
76-90'
5
Gimcheon Sangmu FC Jeju United FC

Side by side

Gimcheon Sangmu FC Jeju United FC
15 Played 15
2 Won 5
8 Drawn 3
5 Lost 7
1 Goals scored per game 0.9
1.4 Goals conceded per game 1.1
0.7 / 1.3 Scored per game (home / away) 0.8 / 1
2 Clean sheets 5
4 Failed to score 4
2 Longest winning run 2
0-2 Biggest win 2-1
0-3 Biggest defeat 0-2
0/0 Penalties scored 1/1

Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Jeju United FC: preview and prediction

Gimcheon Sangmu FC host Jeju United FC in the South-Korea K League 1 (Regular Season - 16) on Sunday, 5th July 2026 at 11:30 at Gimcheon Stadium, Gimcheon. Gimcheon Sangmu FC sit 10th in the table and Jeju United FC 7th.

Gimcheon Sangmu FC have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-D-L-D). Jeju United FC are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-L-L-D).

In the last 8 meetings, Gimcheon Sangmu FC won 4, Jeju United FC won 2 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 63% and over 2.5 goals in 38%.

Our goal model expects about 0.8 goals for Gimcheon Sangmu FC and 1.35 for Jeju United FC. It gives Jeju United FC the edge (22% home win, 28% draw, 50% away win), 36% for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.53. We also like Over 1.5, Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Jeju United FC FAQs

What is the best prediction for Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Jeju United FC?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.53 odds).

Who will win Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Jeju United FC?

Jeju United FC are favourites: our model gives Gimcheon Sangmu FC 22%, the draw 28% and Jeju United FC 50%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 41% chance in our model, and it happened in 63% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.2 goals in total, with a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Jeju United FC?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 5th July 2026 at 11:30 at Gimcheon Stadium, Gimcheon.

Who is the referee?

Park Byung-Jin is in charge of this game.