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FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction, H2H & Stats

Germany: Bundesliga · Regular Season - 25
FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05

10th in table
WLWLL
Full time
2:2
HT 1 - 0
VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

4th in table
WLDLW
39' Lee Jae-Sung
76' E. Demirovic
77' D. Undav
82' Tiago Tomás
90+5' Jeff Chabot
90' D. da Costa
Saturday, 7 March 2026
Mewa Arena, Mainz
Matthias Jollenbeck, Germany

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
1FSV Mainz 05 wins
3Draws
5VfB Stuttgart wins
3.1Goals per game
67%Both scored
56%Over 2.5
29 Oct 2025DFB Pokal FSV Mainz 05 0 - 2 VfB Stuttgart
26 Oct 2025Bundesliga VfB Stuttgart 2 - 1 FSV Mainz 05
25 Jan 2025Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 2 - 0 VfB Stuttgart
31 Aug 2024Bundesliga VfB Stuttgart 3 - 3 FSV Mainz 05
11 Feb 2024Bundesliga VfB Stuttgart 3 - 1 FSV Mainz 05
16 Sep 2023Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 1 - 3 VfB Stuttgart
21 May 2023Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 1 - 4 VfB Stuttgart
21 Jan 2023Bundesliga VfB Stuttgart 1 - 1 FSV Mainz 05
16 Apr 2022Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 0 - 0 VfB Stuttgart

Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Bayern München 342851 122:36 +86 89 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 342275 70:34 +36 73 WWLWL
3 RB Leipzig 342059 66:47 +19 65 LWLWW
4 VfB Stuttgart 341888 71:49 +22 62 DWDDL
5 1899 Hoffenheim 341879 65:52 +13 61 LWDWW
6 Bayer Leverkusen 341789 68:47 +21 59 DLWWL
7 SC Freiburg 3413813 51:57 -6 47 WLDLW
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34111112 61:65 -4 44 DLLDL
9 FC Augsburg 3412715 45:61 -16 43 LWWDW
10 FSV Mainz 05 34101014 44:53 -9 40 WLWLD
11 Union Berlin 3410915 44:58 -14 39 WWDLL
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3491114 42:53 -11 38 WLWDD
13 Hamburger SV 3491114 40:54 -14 38 DWWLL
14 1. FC Köln 3471116 49:63 -14 32 LLDLD
15 Werder Bremen 348818 37:60 -23 32 LLLDW
16 VfL Wolfsburg 347819 45:69 -24 29 LDWLD
17 1. FC Heidenheim 346820 41:72 -31 26 LWDWL
18 FC St. Pauli 346820 29:60 -31 26 LLLLD

Top scorers

Bundesliga
1 H. KaneBayern München 36goals 5assists 31apps
2 D. UndavVfB Stuttgart 19goals 7assists 29apps
3 S. GuirassyBorussia Dortmund 17goals 1assists 33apps
4 P. SchickBayer Leverkusen 16goals 3assists 28apps
5 M. OliseBayern München 15goals 19assists 32apps
6 L. DíazBayern München 15goals 14assists 32apps
7 A. Kramarić1899 Hoffenheim 14goals 6assists 34apps
8 C. BaumgartnerRB Leipzig 13goals 8assists 33apps
9 H. TabakovićBorussia Mönchengladbach 13goals 2assists 32apps
10 S. El Mala1. FC Köln 13goals 4assists 34apps

Recent form

5 W 1 D 4 L in the last 10
27 Oct 2026DFB Pokal VfL Bochum 2 - 0 FSV Mainz 05 L
24 Oct 2026Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 2 - 3 Werder Bremen L
17 Oct 2026Bundesliga FC Schalke 04 0 - 1 FSV Mainz 05 W
10 Oct 2026Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 3 - 4 Bayer Leverkusen L
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Waldhof Mannheim 0 - 3 FSV Mainz 05 W
19 Sep 2026Bundesliga Borussia Mönchengladbach 3 - 4 FSV Mainz 05 W
12 Sep 2026Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 1 - 3 Eintracht Frankfurt L
06 Sep 2026Bundesliga Hamburger SV 0 - 5 FSV Mainz 05 W
29 Aug 2026Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 0 - 0 SC Paderborn 07 D
23 Aug 2026DFB Pokal Krieschow 0 - 9 FSV Mainz 05 W
5 W 1 D 4 L in the last 10
28 Oct 2026DFB Pokal SC Paderborn 07 0 - 1 VfB Stuttgart W
23 Oct 2026Bundesliga VfB Stuttgart 2 - 3 Borussia Mönchengladbach L
20 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League VfB Stuttgart 1 - 1 Atletico Madrid D
17 Oct 2026Bundesliga Hamburger SV 1 - 0 VfB Stuttgart L
14 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Slovan Bratislava 0 - 3 VfB Stuttgart W
10 Oct 2026Bundesliga SC Paderborn 07 0 - 2 VfB Stuttgart W
01 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs VfB Stuttgart 5 - 0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth W
25 Sep 2026Friendlies Clubs VfB Stuttgart 3 - 0 1. FC Heidenheim W
19 Sep 2026Bundesliga VfB Stuttgart 0 - 1 Borussia Dortmund L
12 Sep 2026Bundesliga 1899 Hoffenheim 2 - 1 VfB Stuttgart L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
FSV Mainz 05 Draw VfB Stuttgart

Most likely scores

1-1 10.5%
1-2 9.2%
0-1 7.5%
2-1 7.3%
0-2 6.6%
2-2 6.4%

Expected goals: 1.4 FSV Mainz 05 · 1.75 VfB Stuttgart

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Over 3.5 goals39%
Both teams score62%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
44%
Form
56%
33%
Attack
67%
46%
Defence
54%
35%
Goal model
65%
29%
Head to head
71%
41%
Goals
59%
38%
Overall
62%

Season numbers

Bundesliga 2025

When the goals come

3
0-15'
3
4
16-30'
8
6
31-45'
12
4
46-60'
5
7
61-75'
4
5
76-90'
16
8
0-15'
4
4
16-30'
4
6
31-45'
6
4
46-60'
2
2
61-75'
3
13
76-90'
13
FSV Mainz 05 VfB Stuttgart

Side by side

FSV Mainz 05 VfB Stuttgart
24 Played 24
5 Won 14
8 Drawn 4
11 Lost 6
1.1 Goals scored per game 2
1.6 Goals conceded per game 1.3
1.1 / 1.2 Scored per game (home / away) 1.8 / 2.3
2 Clean sheets 9
9 Failed to score 2
3 Longest winning run 5
3-1 Biggest win 4-0
0-2 Biggest defeat 0-5
7/7 Penalties scored 4/4

FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart: preview and prediction

FSV Mainz 05 host VfB Stuttgart in the Germany Bundesliga (Regular Season - 25) on Saturday, 7th March 2026 at 15:30 at Mewa Arena, Mainz. FSV Mainz 05 sit 10th in the table and VfB Stuttgart 4th.

FSV Mainz 05 are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-W-L-L). VfB Stuttgart have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-D-L-W).

In the last 9 meetings, FSV Mainz 05 won 1, VfB Stuttgart won 5 and 3 ended level. These games average 3.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% and over 2.5 goals in 56%.

Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for FSV Mainz 05 and 1.75 for VfB Stuttgart. It gives VfB Stuttgart the edge (31% home win, 23% draw, 46% away win), 61% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.31.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart FAQs

What is the best prediction for FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.31 odds).

Who will win FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart?

VfB Stuttgart are favourites: our model gives FSV Mainz 05 31%, the draw 23% and VfB Stuttgart 46%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 62% chance in our model, and it happened in 67% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.2 goals in total, with a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 7th March 2026 at 15:30 at Mewa Arena, Mainz.

Who is the referee?

Matthias Jollenbeck, Germany is in charge of this game.