FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07 Prediction, H2H & Stats

Germany: Bundesliga · Regular Season - 1
FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05

8th in table
LWLLL
Full time
0:0
HT 0 - 0
SC Paderborn 07

SC Paderborn 07

13th in table
WLDWL
38' Santiago Castañeda
72' Mattes Hansen
90+1' Phillipp Mwene
Saturday, 29 August 2026
Mewa Arena, Mainz
Tobias Stieler, Germany

Head to head

Last 4 meetings
4games
3FSV Mainz 05 wins
1Draws
0SC Paderborn 07 wins
3.5Goals per game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
29 Feb 2020Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 2 - 0 SC Paderborn 07
05 Oct 2019Bundesliga SC Paderborn 07 1 - 2 FSV Mainz 05
31 Jan 2015Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 5 - 0 SC Paderborn 07
24 Aug 2014Bundesliga SC Paderborn 07 2 - 2 FSV Mainz 05

Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Bayern München 7520 25:6 +19 17 WWDWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 7520 12:4 +8 17 WDDWW
3 SC Freiburg 7412 16:9 +7 13 LLWDW
4 Bayer Leverkusen 7412 16:12 +4 13 LWWWD
5 SV Elversberg 8413 16:16 0 13 WLWLD
6 RB Leipzig 7403 20:11 +9 12 WLWLW
7 Werder Bremen 7331 15:14 +1 12 WDDWD
8 FSV Mainz 05 8314 17:17 0 10 LLWLW
9 FC Augsburg 7232 17:13 +4 9 DLDLD
10 1899 Hoffenheim 7304 14:14 0 9 WWLLW
11 Hamburger SV 7304 6:16 -10 9 LWWWL
12 1. FC Köln 7223 8:11 -3 8 DLWLD
13 SC Paderborn 07 7223 6:9 -3 8 WDLWL
14 Eintracht Frankfurt 7223 10:17 -7 8 LWLDW
15 VfB Stuttgart 7205 10:13 -3 6 LLWLL
16 FC Schalke 04 7133 4:7 -3 6 DLLDW
17 Union Berlin 7133 6:18 -12 6 DDWLL
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 7106 11:22 -11 3 WLLLL

Top scorers

Bundesliga
1 N. FüllkrugWerder Bremen 8goals 0assists 7apps
2 M. OliseBayern München 6goals 3assists 7apps
3 P. SchickBayer Leverkusen 6goals 2assists 7apps
4 Y. EbnoutalibEintracht Frankfurt 5goals 1assists 7apps
5 P. TietzFSV Mainz 05 5goals 0assists 7apps
6 C. NkunkuRB Leipzig 4goals 1assists 6apps
7 L. DíazBayern München 4goals 1assists 6apps
8 Y. SuzukiSC Freiburg 4goals 0assists 6apps
9 H. KaneBayern München 4goals 5assists 7apps
10 M. GregoritschFC Augsburg 4goals 0assists 7apps

Recent form

4 W 1 D 5 L in the last 10
30 Oct 2026Bundesliga SV Elversberg 4 - 1 FSV Mainz 05 L
27 Oct 2026DFB Pokal VfL Bochum 2 - 0 FSV Mainz 05 L
24 Oct 2026Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 2 - 3 Werder Bremen L
17 Oct 2026Bundesliga FC Schalke 04 0 - 1 FSV Mainz 05 W
10 Oct 2026Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 3 - 4 Bayer Leverkusen L
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Waldhof Mannheim 0 - 3 FSV Mainz 05 W
19 Sep 2026Bundesliga Borussia Mönchengladbach 3 - 4 FSV Mainz 05 W
12 Sep 2026Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 1 - 3 Eintracht Frankfurt L
06 Sep 2026Bundesliga Hamburger SV 0 - 5 FSV Mainz 05 W
29 Aug 2026Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 0 - 0 SC Paderborn 07 D
4 W 2 D 4 L in the last 10
28 Oct 2026DFB Pokal SC Paderborn 07 0 - 1 VfB Stuttgart L
24 Oct 2026Bundesliga SC Paderborn 07 1 - 0 Hamburger SV W
17 Oct 2026Bundesliga Werder Bremen 2 - 2 SC Paderborn 07 D
10 Oct 2026Bundesliga SC Paderborn 07 0 - 2 VfB Stuttgart L
30 Sep 2026Friendlies Clubs DC United 0 - 1 SC Paderborn 07 W
20 Sep 2026Bundesliga SC Paderborn 07 3 - 1 1899 Hoffenheim W
12 Sep 2026Bundesliga Borussia Dortmund 3 - 0 SC Paderborn 07 L
05 Sep 2026Bundesliga SC Paderborn 07 0 - 1 SC Freiburg L
29 Aug 2026Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 0 - 0 SC Paderborn 07 D
23 Aug 2026DFB Pokal Phönix Lübeck 2 - 4 SC Paderborn 07 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
FSV Mainz 05 Draw SC Paderborn 07
Value spotted: SC Paderborn 07 win at 5.03 (model 30% vs market 20%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.6%
1-0 11.5%
0-1 9%
2-1 8.8%
0-0 8.2%
2-0 8%

Expected goals: 1.4 FSV Mainz 05 · 1.1 SC Paderborn 07

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams score50%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
0%
Form
0%
0%
Attack
0%
0%
Defence
0%
0%
Goal model
0%
91%
Head to head
9%
79%
Goals
21%
85%
Overall
15%

FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07: preview and prediction

FSV Mainz 05 host SC Paderborn 07 in the Germany Bundesliga (Regular Season - 1) on Saturday, 29th August 2026 at 14:30 at Mewa Arena, Mainz. FSV Mainz 05 sit 8th in the table and SC Paderborn 07 13th.

FSV Mainz 05 are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-L-L). SC Paderborn 07 have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-D-W-L).

In the last 4 meetings, FSV Mainz 05 won 3, SC Paderborn 07 won 0 and 1 ended level. These games average 3.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 75%.

Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for FSV Mainz 05 and 1.1 for SC Paderborn 07. It gives FSV Mainz 05 the edge (44% home win, 27% draw, 30% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.21. We also like Over 2.5, Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07 FAQs

What is the best prediction for FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.21 odds).

Who will win FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07?

FSV Mainz 05 are favourites: our model gives FSV Mainz 05 44%, the draw 27% and SC Paderborn 07 30%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 50% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 29th August 2026 at 14:30 at Mewa Arena, Mainz.

Who is the referee?

Tobias Stieler, Germany is in charge of this game.