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FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München Prediction, H2H & Stats

Germany: Bundesliga · Regular Season - 9
FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05

9th in table
LWLLL
Kick-off
15:30
Sat, 7 Nov 2026
Bayern München

Bayern München

1st in table
DWWDW
Saturday, 7 November 2026
MEWA Arena, Mainz
Robert Schroder

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
10games
2FSV Mainz 05 wins
1Draws
7Bayern München wins
5Goals per game
70%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
25 Apr 2026Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 3 - 4 Bayern München
14 Dec 2025Bundesliga Bayern München 2 - 2 FSV Mainz 05
26 Apr 2025Bundesliga Bayern München 3 - 0 FSV Mainz 05
14 Dec 2024Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 2 - 1 Bayern München
30 Oct 2024DFB Pokal FSV Mainz 05 0 - 4 Bayern München
09 Mar 2024Bundesliga Bayern Munich 8 - 1 FSV Mainz 05
21 Oct 2023Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 1 - 3 Bayern Munich
22 Apr 2023Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 3 - 1 Bayern Munich
01 Feb 2023DFB Pokal FSV Mainz 05 0 - 4 Bayern Munich
29 Oct 2022Bundesliga Bayern Munich 6 - 2 FSV Mainz 05

Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Bayern München 8530 27:8 +19 18 DWWDW
2 Borussia Dortmund 8530 14:6 +8 18 DWDDW
3 SC Freiburg 8512 18:10 +8 16 WLLWD
4 RB Leipzig 8503 22:11 +11 15 WWLWL
5 Werder Bremen 8431 17:14 +3 15 WWDDW
6 Bayer Leverkusen 8413 18:16 +2 13 LLWWW
7 SV Elversberg 8413 16:16 0 13 WLWLD
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 8323 13:18 -5 11 WLWLD
9 FSV Mainz 05 8314 17:17 0 10 LLWLW
10 FC Augsburg 8233 18:15 +3 9 LDLDL
11 VfB Stuttgart 8305 14:15 -1 9 WLLWL
12 1899 Hoffenheim 8305 14:16 -2 9 LWWLL
13 1. FC Köln 8233 9:12 -3 9 DDLWL
14 SC Paderborn 07 8233 6:9 -3 9 DWDLW
15 Hamburger SV 8305 7:19 -12 9 LLWWW
16 Union Berlin 8143 7:19 -12 7 DDDWL
17 FC Schalke 04 8134 4:9 -5 6 LDLLD
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 8116 11:22 -11 4 DWLLL

Top scorers

Bundesliga
1 N. FüllkrugWerder Bremen 9goals 0assists 8apps
2 P. SchickBayer Leverkusen 7goals 2assists 8apps
3 M. OliseBayern München 6goals 3assists 8apps
4 Y. EbnoutalibEintracht Frankfurt 6goals 1assists 8apps
5 E. DemirovićVfB Stuttgart 5goals 0assists 8apps
6 P. TietzFSV Mainz 05 5goals 0assists 8apps
7 M. GregoritschFC Augsburg 5goals 0assists 8apps
8 M. KrattenmacherSV Elversberg 4goals 1assists 8apps
9 I. MatanovićSC Freiburg 4goals 1assists 8apps
10 C. NkunkuRB Leipzig 4goals 1assists 6apps

Recent form

4 W 1 D 5 L in the last 10
30 Oct 2026Bundesliga SV Elversberg 4 - 1 FSV Mainz 05 L
27 Oct 2026DFB Pokal VfL Bochum 2 - 0 FSV Mainz 05 L
24 Oct 2026Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 2 - 3 Werder Bremen L
17 Oct 2026Bundesliga FC Schalke 04 0 - 1 FSV Mainz 05 W
10 Oct 2026Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 3 - 4 Bayer Leverkusen L
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Waldhof Mannheim 0 - 3 FSV Mainz 05 W
19 Sep 2026Bundesliga Borussia Mönchengladbach 3 - 4 FSV Mainz 05 W
12 Sep 2026Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 1 - 3 Eintracht Frankfurt L
06 Sep 2026Bundesliga Hamburger SV 0 - 5 FSV Mainz 05 W
29 Aug 2026Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 0 - 0 SC Paderborn 07 D
6 W 4 D 0 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026UEFA Champions League Atletico Madrid 0 - 2 Bayern München W
31 Oct 2026Bundesliga Bayern München 2 - 2 Borussia Dortmund D
28 Oct 2026DFB Pokal Bayern München 6 - 1 1. FC Magdeburg W
25 Oct 2026Bundesliga SC Freiburg 1 - 3 Bayern München W
21 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Bayern München 2 - 2 Arsenal D
17 Oct 2026Bundesliga Bayern München 6 - 1 RB Leipzig W
13 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Viking 3 - 3 Bayern München D
10 Oct 2026Bundesliga FC Augsburg 2 - 2 Bayern München D
18 Sep 2026Bundesliga Bayern München 7 - 0 Union Berlin W
13 Sep 2026Bundesliga SV Elversberg 1 - 2 Bayern München W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
FSV Mainz 05 Draw Bayern München
Value spotted: FSV Mainz 05 win at 7.00 (model 22% vs market 14%)

Most likely scores

1-2 9.6%
1-1 9%
0-2 7.7%
0-1 7.2%
1-3 6.9%
2-2 6%

Expected goals: 1.25 FSV Mainz 05 · 2.15 Bayern München

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Over 3.5 goals44%
Both teams score63%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
35%
Form
65%
35%
Attack
65%
30%
Defence
70%
18%
Goal model
82%
29%
Head to head
71%
33%
Goals
67%
30%
Overall
70%

Season numbers

Bundesliga 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
1
3
16-30'
5
4
31-45'
5
2
46-60'
5
1
61-75'
5
5
76-90'
5
6
0-15'
1
2
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
4
46-60'
3
2
61-75'
2
1
76-90'
2
FSV Mainz 05 Bayern München

Side by side

FSV Mainz 05 Bayern München
8 Played 8
3 Won 5
1 Drawn 3
4 Lost 0
2.1 Goals scored per game 3.4
2.1 Goals conceded per game 1
1.5 / 2.8 Scored per game (home / away) 5 / 1.8
3 Clean sheets 2
1 Failed to score 1
1 Longest winning run 2
0-5 Biggest win 7-0
1-3 Biggest defeat -
0/1 Penalties scored 1/2

What comes next

FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München (H) 07 Nov
FC Augsburg (A) 22 Nov
Union Berlin (H) 28 Nov
RB Leipzig (A) 05 Dec
SC Freiburg (H) 12 Dec
Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05 (A) 07 Nov
1. FC Köln (H) 20 Nov
Lille (A) 25 Nov
Hamburger SV (A) 28 Nov
Hertha BSC (H) 01 Dec
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
FSV Mainz 05 7.00 14% implied
Draw 6.25 16% implied
Bayern München 1.33 75% implied Our tip
FSV Mainz 05 5.50 18% implied
Bayern München 1.14 88% implied Our tip
Over 0.5 1.00 100% implied
Under 0.5 34.00 3% implied
Over 1.5 1.06 94% implied
Under 1.5 10.00 10% implied
Over 2.5 1.22 82% implied Our tip
Under 2.5 4.33 23% implied
Over 3.5 1.62 62% implied Our tip
Under 3.5 2.30 43% implied
Over 4.5 2.30 43% implied
Under 4.5 1.62 62% implied
FSV Mainz 05/Draw 19.00 5% implied
FSV Mainz 05/Bayern München 13.00 8% implied
Draw/Bayern München 4.50 22% implied
Draw/Draw 11.00 9% implied
FSV Mainz 05/FSV Mainz 05 13.00 8% implied
Draw/FSV Mainz 05 17.00 6% implied
Bayern München/FSV Mainz 05 34.00 3% implied
Bayern München/Draw 17.00 6% implied
Bayern München/Bayern München 1.80 56% implied
Yes 1.44 69% implied Our tip
No 2.62 38% implied
1:2 10.00 10% implied
1:3 10.00 10% implied
0:2 12.00 8% implied
0:3 12.00 8% implied
1:4 13.00 8% implied
1:1 15.00 7% implied
0:4 15.00 7% implied
2:2 17.00 6% implied
FSV Mainz 05/Draw 3.25 31% implied
FSV Mainz 05/Bayern München 1.11 90% implied
Draw/Bayern München 1.10 91% implied
FSV Mainz 05 6.00 17% implied
Draw 3.20 31% implied
Bayern München 1.67 60% implied Our tip

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München: preview and prediction

FSV Mainz 05 host Bayern München in the Germany Bundesliga (Regular Season - 9) on Saturday, 7th November 2026 at 15:30 at MEWA Arena, Mainz. FSV Mainz 05 sit 9th in the table and Bayern München 1st.

FSV Mainz 05 are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-L-L). Bayern München are in good shape, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (D-W-W-D-W).

In the last 10 meetings, FSV Mainz 05 won 2, Bayern München won 7 and 1 ended level. These games average 5 goals, with both teams scoring in 70% and over 2.5 goals in 100%.

Our goal model expects about 1.25 goals for FSV Mainz 05 and 2.15 for Bayern München. It gives Bayern München the edge (22% home win, 20% draw, 58% away win), 66% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-2.

Verdict: our pick is Over 2.5. We also like BTTS Yes, Away Win, Over 3.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München FAQs

What is the best prediction for FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München?

Our top tip is Banker: Over 2.5.

Who will win FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München?

Bayern München are favourites: our model gives FSV Mainz 05 22%, the draw 20% and Bayern München 58%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 63% chance in our model, and it happened in 70% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.4 goals in total, with a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 7th November 2026 at 15:30 at MEWA Arena, Mainz.

Who is the referee?

Robert Schroder is in charge of this game.