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Fortaleza EC vs Sport Recife Prediction, H2H & Stats

Brazil: Copa do Nordeste · Group Stage - 5
Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

WDWDD
Full time
2:0
HT 0 - 0
Sport Recife

Sport Recife

1st in table
WDLWD
5' Luiz Fernando
13' Marcelo Ajul
49' Halls
67' Yago Felipe
78' Yago Felipe
78' Yago Felipe
81' Vitinho
90' J. B. Miritello
90' Vitinho
Thursday, 30 April 2026
Fortaleza

Head to head

Last 5 meetings
5games
3Fortaleza EC wins
2Draws
0Sport Recife wins
2Goals per game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
27 Sep 2025Serie A Fortaleza EC 1 - 0 Sport Recife
26 Apr 2025Serie A Sport Recife 0 - 0 Fortaleza EC
05 Feb 2025Copa do Nordeste Sport Recife 0 - 2 Fortaleza EC
26 May 2024Copa do Nordeste Sport Recife 1 - 4 Fortaleza EC
22 Feb 2024Copa do Nordeste Sport Recife 1 - 1 Fortaleza EC

Copa do Nordeste table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Sport Recife 5401 11:3 +8 12 LWWLW
2 Ceara 5311 11:6 +5 10 LWWWL
3 Ferroviario 5212 6:8 -2 7 LDWWL
4 America-RN 5122 4:6 -2 5 LDLDW
5 Imperatriz 5113 4:7 -3 4 WLDLL

Top scorers

Copa do Nordeste
1 ErickVitoria 5goals 0assists 9apps
2 OsvaldoVitoria 3goals 0assists 5apps
3 Iury CastilhoSport Recife 2goals 0assists 5apps
4 Henrique DouradoBotafogo PB 2goals 0assists 4apps
5 Lucas SilvaVitoria 1goals 0assists 4apps
6 HabraãoSport Recife 1goals 0assists 4apps
7 Vinicius ZanoceloCeara 1goals 0assists 4apps
8 CielFerroviario 1goals 0assists 3apps
9 MatheusinhoCeara 1goals 0assists 3apps
10 Luiz HenriqueRetrô 1goals 0assists 3apps

Recent form

4 W 6 D 0 L in the last 10
02 Nov 2026Serie B Fortaleza EC 0 - 0 Atletico Goianiense D
24 Oct 2026Serie B Ponte Preta 2 - 2 Fortaleza EC D
16 Oct 2026Serie B Sport Recife 0 - 2 Fortaleza EC W
12 Oct 2026Serie B Fortaleza EC 2 - 2 CRB D
07 Oct 2026Serie B America Mineiro 0 - 1 Fortaleza EC W
03 Oct 2026Serie B Fortaleza EC 1 - 1 Nautico Recife D
27 Sep 2026Serie B Fortaleza EC 2 - 2 Athletic Club D
20 Sep 2026Serie B Londrina 1 - 2 Fortaleza EC W
13 Sep 2026Serie B Fortaleza EC 1 - 1 Ceara D
09 Sep 2026Serie B Fortaleza EC 1 - 0 Avai W
5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Serie B Botafogo SP 1 - 1 Sport Recife D
24 Oct 2026Serie B Sport Recife 2 - 1 Criciuma W
16 Oct 2026Serie B Sport Recife 0 - 2 Fortaleza EC L
11 Oct 2026Serie B Atletico Goianiense 1 - 1 Sport Recife D
06 Oct 2026Serie B Sport Recife 2 - 1 São Bernardo W
01 Oct 2026Serie B Athletic Club 1 - 2 Sport Recife W
26 Sep 2026Serie B Nautico Recife 3 - 1 Sport Recife L
19 Sep 2026Serie B Sport Recife 2 - 1 Juventude W
16 Sep 2026Serie B CRB 2 - 1 Sport Recife L
11 Sep 2026Serie B Sport Recife 2 - 0 Ponte Preta W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Fortaleza EC Draw Sport Recife
Value spotted: Sport Recife win at 3.76 (model 31% vs market 24%)

Most likely scores

1-0 13.4%
1-1 13.4%
0-0 11.6%
0-1 11.6%
2-0 7.7%
2-1 7.7%

Expected goals: 1.15 Fortaleza EC · 1 Sport Recife

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals63%
Over 2.5 goals36%
Over 3.5 goals17%
Both teams score43%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
37%
Form
63%
27%
Attack
73%
20%
Defence
80%
0%
Goal model
100%
85%
Head to head
15%
80%
Goals
20%
49%
Overall
50%

Season numbers

Copa do Nordeste 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
2
0
61-75'
2
1
76-90'
5
1
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
0
3
76-90'
1
Fortaleza EC Sport Recife

Side by side

Fortaleza EC Sport Recife
4 Played 4
2 Won 4
1 Drawn 0
1 Lost 0
1 Goals scored per game 2.8
1 Goals conceded per game 0.3
2 / 0.7 Scored per game (home / away) 3.3 / 1
1 Clean sheets 3
1 Failed to score 0
2 Longest winning run 4
2-1 Biggest win 5-0
2-0 Biggest defeat -
0/0 Penalties scored 1/1

Fortaleza EC vs Sport Recife: preview and prediction

Fortaleza EC host Sport Recife in the Brazil Copa do Nordeste (Group Stage - 5) on Thursday, 30th April 2026 at 01:30 at Fortaleza.

Fortaleza EC are unbeaten, with 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-D-W-D-D). Sport Recife have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-L-W-D).

In the last 5 meetings, Fortaleza EC won 3, Sport Recife won 0 and 2 ended level. These games average 2 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% and over 2.5 goals in 20%.

Our goal model expects about 1.15 goals for Fortaleza EC and 1 for Sport Recife. It gives Fortaleza EC the edge (39% home win, 29% draw, 31% away win), 36% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.72. We also like BTTS No.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Fortaleza EC vs Sport Recife FAQs

What is the best prediction for Fortaleza EC vs Sport Recife?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.72 odds).

Who will win Fortaleza EC vs Sport Recife?

Fortaleza EC are favourites: our model gives Fortaleza EC 39%, the draw 29% and Sport Recife 31%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 43% chance in our model, and it happened in 40% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.2 goals in total, with a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Fortaleza EC vs Sport Recife?

Kick-off is on Thursday, 30th April 2026 at 01:30 at Fortaleza.