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FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction, H2H & Stats

Latvia: Virsliga · Regular Season - 13
FK Liepaja

FK Liepaja

5th in table
DLWDD
Full time
2:1
HT 1 - 0
BFC Daugavpils

BFC Daugavpils

4th in table
DWWWW
44' C. Taty
45' Fellipe Vieira (Penalty)
54' K. Leidsman
58' R. Ndjiki
78' W. Mukwelle
87' D. Gueye
Sunday, 17 May 2026
Daugavas stadions
S. Vasjkovs

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7games
3FK Liepaja wins
2Draws
2BFC Daugavpils wins
3.6Goals per game
86%Both scored
71%Over 2.5
03 Apr 2026Virsliga BFC Daugavpils 2 - 0 FK Liepaja
02 Nov 2025Virsliga BFC Daugavpils 1 - 2 FK Liepaja
16 Aug 2025Cup BFC Daugavpils 1 - 2 FK Liepaja
09 Aug 2025Virsliga FK Liepaja 2 - 1 BFC Daugavpils
13 Jun 2025Virsliga FK Liepaja 1 - 1 BFC Daugavpils
19 Apr 2025Virsliga BFC Daugavpils 4 - 2 FK Liepaja
09 Nov 2024Virsliga FK Liepaja 3 - 3 BFC Daugavpils

Virsliga table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Rīgas FS 352852 87:24 +63 89 WWWWW
2 Riga 352582 95:33 +62 83 DWWWW
3 Auda 352177 61:38 +23 70 WWLWD
4 BFC Daugavpils 3514912 42:37 +5 51 WWWWD
5 FK Liepaja 3513913 49:49 0 48 DDWLD
6 Super Nova 3511618 35:53 -18 39 DLLLW
7 FS Jelgava 358819 37:61 -24 32 LLLLL
8 Grobiņa 3561118 27:64 -37 29 LLWLD
9 Tukums 3551020 44:67 -23 25 LDLLD
10 Ogre United 354724 34:85 -51 19 DLLLW

Top scorers

Virsliga
1 M. BadamosiRiga 4goals 0assists 32apps
2 E. DašķevičsAuda 4goals 0assists 29apps
3 PauloRiga 3goals 1assists 15apps
4 Ž. LipuščekRīgas FS 3goals 0assists 34apps
5 M. OšsSuper Nova 3goals 0assists 32apps
6 Filip HašekFS Jelgava 3goals 0assists 30apps
7 A. AppiahAuda 3goals 1assists 16apps
8 D. KiwindaBFC Daugavpils 2goals 2assists 21apps
9 D. LemajićRīgas FS 2goals 1assists 30apps
10 A. HaïdaraFK Liepaja 2goals 0assists 33apps

Recent form

3 W 5 D 2 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Virsliga FK Liepaja 3 - 3 Super Nova D
24 Oct 2026Virsliga FK Liepaja 0 - 0 Tukums D
18 Oct 2026Virsliga FK Liepaja 3 - 0 FS Jelgava W
12 Oct 2026Virsliga FK Liepaja 2 - 3 Auda L
19 Sep 2026Virsliga FK Liepaja 0 - 0 BFC Daugavpils D
11 Sep 2026Virsliga Ogre United 2 - 2 FK Liepaja D
07 Sep 2026Virsliga Rīgas FS 0 - 0 FK Liepaja D
31 Aug 2026Virsliga FK Liepaja 3 - 2 Riga W
25 Aug 2026Virsliga Auda 1 - 0 FK Liepaja L
21 Aug 2026Virsliga FK Liepaja 3 - 1 Grobiņa W
4 W 4 D 2 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Virsliga BFC Daugavpils 2 - 0 Tukums W
25 Oct 2026Virsliga FS Jelgava 0 - 1 BFC Daugavpils W
19 Oct 2026Virsliga BFC Daugavpils 2 - 1 Auda W
11 Oct 2026Virsliga Ogre United 1 - 2 BFC Daugavpils W
19 Sep 2026Virsliga FK Liepaja 0 - 0 BFC Daugavpils D
13 Sep 2026Virsliga BFC Daugavpils 1 - 2 Rīgas FS L
07 Sep 2026Virsliga Riga 1 - 1 BFC Daugavpils D
02 Sep 2026Cup BFC Daugavpils 2 - 2 Auda D
29 Aug 2026Virsliga Grobiņa 1 - 0 BFC Daugavpils L
22 Aug 2026Virsliga Super Nova 0 - 0 BFC Daugavpils D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
FK Liepaja Draw BFC Daugavpils

Most likely scores

1-1 9.6%
2-1 9.3%
1-0 6.8%
1-2 6.7%
2-0 6.7%
2-2 6.5%

Expected goals: 1.95 FK Liepaja · 1.4 BFC Daugavpils

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals65%
Over 3.5 goals43%
Both teams score65%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
78%
Form
22%
70%
Attack
30%
44%
Defence
56%
63%
Goal model
37%
71%
Head to head
29%
54%
Goals
46%
63%
Overall
36%

Season numbers

Virsliga 2026

When the goals come

3
0-15'
2
0
16-30'
2
2
31-45'
2
3
46-60'
7
0
61-75'
2
6
76-90'
1
6
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
2
2
31-45'
2
3
46-60'
8
2
61-75'
1
5
76-90'
4
FK Liepaja BFC Daugavpils

Side by side

FK Liepaja BFC Daugavpils
12 Played 12
4 Won 4
3 Drawn 2
5 Lost 6
1.2 Goals scored per game 1.2
1.5 Goals conceded per game 1.6
1.5 / 0.8 Scored per game (home / away) 0.9 / 1.6
1 Clean sheets 2
4 Failed to score 3
1 Longest winning run 4
4-1 Biggest win 2-0
1-2 Biggest defeat 1-3
3/3 Penalties scored 0/0

FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils: preview and prediction

FK Liepaja host BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia Virsliga (Regular Season - 13) on Sunday, 17th May 2026 at 17:00 at Daugavas stadions. FK Liepaja sit 5th in the table and BFC Daugavpils 4th.

FK Liepaja have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-L-W-D-D). BFC Daugavpils are flying, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (D-W-W-W-W).

In the last 7 meetings, FK Liepaja won 3, BFC Daugavpils won 2 and 2 ended level. These games average 3.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 86% and over 2.5 goals in 71%.

Our goal model expects about 1.95 goals for FK Liepaja and 1.4 for BFC Daugavpils. It gives FK Liepaja the edge (50% home win, 22% draw, 28% away win), 65% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.18.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils FAQs

What is the best prediction for FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.18 odds).

Who will win FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils?

FK Liepaja are favourites: our model gives FK Liepaja 50%, the draw 22% and BFC Daugavpils 28%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 65% chance in our model, and it happened in 86% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.3 goals in total, with a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 17th May 2026 at 17:00 at Daugavas stadions.

Who is the referee?

S. Vasjkovs is in charge of this game.