RaraBet
Home Pricing About Partners News Contact Us
Register Login

Fiorentina vs Atalanta Prediction, H2H & Stats

Italy: Serie A · Regular Season - 38
Fiorentina

Fiorentina

15th in table
WDLLL
Full time
1:1
HT 1 - 0
Atalanta

Atalanta

7th in table
WWLLD
39' R. Piccoli
47' Kamaldeen Sulemana
60' Honest Ahanor
82' P. Comuzzo (Own Goal)
Friday, 22 May 2026
Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence
M. Perri

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
4Fiorentina wins
1Draws
4Atalanta wins
3Goals per game
56%Both scored
44%Over 2.5
30 Nov 2025Serie A Atalanta 2 - 0 Fiorentina
30 Mar 2025Serie A Fiorentina 1 - 0 Atalanta
15 Sep 2024Serie A Atalanta 3 - 2 Fiorentina
02 Jun 2024Serie A Atalanta 2 - 3 Fiorentina
24 Apr 2024Coppa Italia Atalanta 4 - 1 Fiorentina
03 Apr 2024Coppa Italia Fiorentina 1 - 0 Atalanta
17 Sep 2023Serie A Fiorentina 3 - 2 Atalanta
17 Apr 2023Serie A Fiorentina 1 - 1 Atalanta
02 Oct 2022Serie A Atalanta 1 - 0 Fiorentina

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 89:35 +54 87 DDWWD
2 Napoli 382378 58:36 +22 76 WWLDW
3 AS Roma 3823411 59:31 +28 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 65:29 +36 71 WWWDW
5 AC Milan 3820108 53:35 +18 70 LWLLD
6 Juventus 3819127 61:34 +27 69 DLWDD
7 Atalanta 3815149 51:36 +15 59 DLWDL
8 Bologna 3816814 49:46 +3 56 DWWDL
9 Lazio 38141212 41:40 +1 54 WLLWD
10 Udinese 3814816 45:48 -3 50 LLWWD
11 Sassuolo 3814717 46:50 -4 49 LLLWD
12 Torino 3812917 44:63 -19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 28:46 -18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 40:53 -13 43 WWLDW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 41:50 -9 42 DWDLD
16 Genoa 38101117 41:51 -10 41 LLDDL
17 Lecce 3810820 28:50 -22 38 WWLWD
18 Cremonese 3881020 32:57 -25 34 LWWLL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 25:61 -36 21 LDLDD
20 Pisa 3821224 26:71 -45 18 LLLLL

Top scorers

Serie A
1 Lautaro MartínezInter 17goals 6assists 30apps
2 T. DouvikasComo 14goals 1assists 38apps
3 D. MalenAS Roma 14goals 2assists 18apps
4 M. ThuramInter 13goals 6assists 29apps
5 N. PazComo 12goals 6assists 35apps
6 R. HøjlundNapoli 12goals 5assists 33apps
7 G. SimeoneTorino 11goals 0assists 32apps
8 N. KrstovićAtalanta 10goals 5assists 33apps
9 S. McTominayNapoli 10goals 3assists 33apps
10 K. YıldızJuventus 10goals 6assists 36apps

Recent form

3 W 1 D 6 L in the last 10
25 Oct 2026Serie A Inter 2 - 1 Fiorentina L
18 Oct 2026Serie A Fiorentina 1 - 3 Como L
10 Oct 2026Serie A Genoa 2 - 1 Fiorentina L
20 Sep 2026Serie A Fiorentina 1 - 1 Napoli D
15 Sep 2026Coppa Italia Fiorentina 3 - 0 Pisa W
11 Sep 2026Serie A Venezia 2 - 4 Fiorentina W
05 Sep 2026Serie A Fiorentina 1 - 2 Torino L
29 Aug 2026Serie A Fiorentina 0 - 3 Frosinone L
24 Aug 2026Serie A AS Roma 4 - 0 Fiorentina L
14 Aug 2026Coppa Italia Fiorentina 4 - 1 Benevento W
4 W 1 D 5 L in the last 10
25 Oct 2026Serie A Atalanta 4 - 4 Frosinone D
22 Oct 2026UEFA Europa Conference League Ajax 2 - 0 Atalanta L
18 Oct 2026Serie A AC Milan 3 - 2 Atalanta L
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa Conference League Atalanta 3 - 1 Pafos W
12 Oct 2026Serie A Atalanta 3 - 1 Venezia W
20 Sep 2026Serie A Juventus 2 - 0 Atalanta L
12 Sep 2026Serie A Atalanta 1 - 2 Cagliari L
05 Sep 2026Serie A AS Roma 2 - 1 Atalanta L
31 Aug 2026Serie A Atalanta 1 - 0 Bologna W
27 Aug 2026UEFA Europa Conference League Hapoel Tel Aviv 0 - 1 Atalanta W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Fiorentina Draw Atalanta

Most likely scores

1-1 13.1%
0-1 11.9%
1-0 10.5%
0-0 9.5%
1-2 8.2%
0-2 7.5%

Expected goals: 1.1 Fiorentina · 1.25 Atalanta

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals68%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Over 3.5 goals21%
Both teams score48%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
55%
Form
45%
33%
Attack
67%
58%
Defence
42%
42%
Goal model
58%
40%
Head to head
60%
39%
Goals
61%
44%
Overall
55%

Season numbers

Serie A 2025

When the goals come

4
0-15'
8
7
16-30'
6
5
31-45'
11
10
46-60'
8
6
61-75'
6
8
76-90'
12
8
0-15'
3
6
16-30'
7
6
31-45'
6
10
46-60'
4
9
61-75'
5
10
76-90'
9
Fiorentina Atalanta

Side by side

Fiorentina Atalanta
37 Played 37
9 Won 15
14 Drawn 13
14 Lost 9
1.1 Goals scored per game 1.4
1.3 Goals conceded per game 0.9
1.1 / 1.1 Scored per game (home / away) 1.3 / 1.4
10 Clean sheets 13
11 Failed to score 8
2 Longest winning run 3
5-1 Biggest win 4-0
1-3 Biggest defeat 0-3
6/6 Penalties scored 3/3

Fiorentina vs Atalanta: preview and prediction

Fiorentina host Atalanta in the Italy Serie A (Regular Season - 38) on Friday, 22nd May 2026 at 19:45 at Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence. Fiorentina sit 15th in the table and Atalanta 7th.

Fiorentina are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (W-D-L-L-L). Atalanta have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-L-L-D).

In the last 9 meetings, Fiorentina won 4, Atalanta won 4 and 1 ended level. These games average 3 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% and over 2.5 goals in 44%.

Our goal model expects about 1.1 goals for Fiorentina and 1.25 for Atalanta. It gives Atalanta the edge (32% home win, 28% draw, 40% away win), 42% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.49. We also like Under 3.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Fiorentina vs Atalanta FAQs

What is the best prediction for Fiorentina vs Atalanta?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.49 odds).

Who will win Fiorentina vs Atalanta?

Atalanta are favourites: our model gives Fiorentina 32%, the draw 28% and Atalanta 40%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 48% chance in our model, and it happened in 56% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.4 goals in total, with a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Fiorentina vs Atalanta?

Kick-off is on Friday, 22nd May 2026 at 19:45 at Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence.

Who is the referee?

M. Perri is in charge of this game.