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Finland vs Albania Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: UEFA Nations League · League C - 3
Finland

Finland

3rd in table
LWDWL
Full time
2:1
HT 1 - 1
Albania

Albania

1st in table
LWWLW
4' R. Manaj
22' Etrit Berisha
26' Alen Sherri
26' L. Walta
40' Kaan Kairinen
71' L. Walta
74' Berat Djimsiti
80' Anis Mehmeti
80' Myrto Uzuni
Saturday, 3 October 2026
Helsinki Olympic Stadium, Helsinki
Robert Hennessy, Ireland

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Albania 4301 8:3 +5 9 WLWW
2 Belarus 4211 5:2 +3 7 WWDL
3 Finland 4211 9:2 +7 7 LWDW
4 San Marino 4004 1:16 -15 0 LLLL

Top scorers

UEFA Nations League
1 H. KaneEngland 6goals 1assists 4apps
2 M. OliseFrance 4goals 2assists 4apps
3 Lamine YamalSpain 4goals 1assists 4apps
4 L. WaltaFinland 4goals 1assists 4apps
5 V. GyökeresSweden 4goals 0assists 4apps
6 T. ParrottRep. Of Ireland 4goals 0assists 4apps
7 O. ÓskarssonIceland 3goals 2assists 4apps
8 Mikel MerinoSpain 3goals 1assists 4apps
9 Gonçalo RamosPortugal 3goals 1assists 4apps
10 João FélixPortugal 3goals 1assists 4apps

Recent form

4 W 2 D 4 L in the last 10
06 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Belarus 1 - 0 Finland L
03 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Finland 2 - 1 Albania W
29 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Finland 0 - 0 Belarus D
26 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League San Marino 0 - 7 Finland W
05 Jun 2026Friendlies Hungary 2 - 1 Finland L
31 May 2026Friendlies Germany 4 - 0 Finland L
30 Mar 2026FIFA Series Cape Verde Islands 1 - 1 Finland D
27 Mar 2026FIFA Series New Zealand 0 - 2 Finland W
17 Nov 2025Friendlies Finland 4 - 0 Andorra W
14 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Finland 0 - 1 Malta L
4 W 0 D 6 L in the last 10
06 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Albania 2 - 1 San Marino W
03 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Finland 2 - 1 Albania L
29 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League San Marino 0 - 3 Albania W
26 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Albania 2 - 0 Belarus W
06 Jun 2026Friendlies Albania 0 - 1 Luxembourg L
03 Jun 2026Friendlies Albania 0 - 1 Israel L
31 Mar 2026Friendlies Ukraine 1 - 0 Albania L
26 Mar 2026World Cup - Qualification Europe Poland 2 - 1 Albania L
16 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Albania 0 - 2 England L
13 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Andorra 0 - 1 Albania W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Finland Draw Albania
Value spotted: Finland win at 2.47 (model 47% vs market 39%)

Most likely scores

3-2 4.8%
3-3 4.8%
4-2 4.2%
4-3 4.2%
2-2 4.1%
2-3 4.1%

Expected goals: 3.5 Finland · 3 Albania

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals95%
Over 2.5 goals92%
Over 3.5 goals85%
Both teams score88%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
40%
Form
60%
58%
Attack
42%
0%
Defence
0%
0%
Goal model
0%
0%
Head to head
0%
0%
Goals
0%
49%
Overall
51%

Season numbers

UEFA Nations League 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
2
1
31-45'
1
2
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
1
2
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0
Finland Albania

Side by side

Finland Albania
2 Played 2
1 Won 2
1 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
3.5 Goals scored per game 2.5
0 Goals conceded per game 0
0 / 7 Scored per game (home / away) 2 / 3
2 Clean sheets 2
1 Failed to score 0
1 Longest winning run 2
0-7 Biggest win 2-0
- Biggest defeat -
1/1 Penalties scored 1/1

Finland vs Albania: preview and prediction

Finland host Albania in the World UEFA Nations League (League C - 3) on Saturday, 3rd October 2026 at 14:00 at Helsinki Olympic Stadium, Helsinki. Finland sit 3rd in the table and Albania 1st.

Finland have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-D-W-L). Albania are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-W-L-W).

Our goal model expects about 3.5 goals for Finland and 3 for Albania. It gives Finland the edge (47% home win, 16% draw, 33% away win), 92% for over 2.5 goals and 88% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 3-2.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.58. We also like Over 1.5, Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Finland vs Albania FAQs

What is the best prediction for Finland vs Albania?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.58 odds).

Who will win Finland vs Albania?

Finland are favourites: our model gives Finland 47%, the draw 16% and Albania 33%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 88% chance in our model.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 6.5 goals in total, with a 92% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Finland vs Albania?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 3rd October 2026 at 14:00 at Helsinki Olympic Stadium, Helsinki.

Who is the referee?

Robert Hennessy, Ireland is in charge of this game.