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Ferroviária vs Ituano Prediction, H2H & Stats

Brazil: Paulista - A2 · Semi-finals
Ferroviária

Ferroviária

2nd in table
DLWDL
Full time
1:1
HT 1 - 1
Ituano

Ituano

3rd in table
LWLLL
13' Ze Vitor
22' Neto Berola (Penalty)
Thursday, 30 April 2026

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
4Ferroviária wins
2Draws
2Ituano wins
2.3Goals per game
50%Both scored
38%Over 2.5
23 Apr 2026Paulista - A2 Ituano 0 - 1 Ferroviária
17 Jan 2026Paulista - A2 Ituano 1 - 1 Ferroviária
19 Mar 2025Paulista - A2 Ituano 3 - 1 Ferroviária
15 Mar 2025Paulista - A2 Ferroviária 2 - 0 Ituano
22 Jan 2025Paulista - A2 Ferroviária 3 - 1 Ituano
26 Feb 2022Paulista - A1 Ituano 3 - 1 Ferroviária
07 May 2021Paulista - A1 Ferroviária 1 - 0 Ituano
22 Jul 2020Paulista - A1 Ituano 0 - 0 Ferroviária

Paulista - A2 table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Água Santa 151014 24:14 +10 31 LLLLD
2 Ferroviária 15843 22:12 +10 28 LDDWW
3 Ituano 15843 22:14 +8 28 DLWLW
4 São José EC 15834 21:13 +8 27 WLLLW
5 Sertãozinho 15744 19:19 0 25 LLLLW
6 Votuporanguense 15735 16:17 -1 24 DLLWW
7 Juventus 15654 22:20 +2 23 WDDWL
8 XV de Piracicaba 15645 16:15 +1 22 WWLLD
9 Oeste 15573 22:18 +4 22 LWWLD
10 Santo André 15537 16:22 -6 18 WDLLD
11 Taubaté 15384 22:23 -1 17 DWDWD
12 Inter De Limeira 15447 15:18 -3 16 LWLLD
13 Linense 15276 12:18 -6 13 DDLLL
14 Monte Azul 15267 17:22 -5 12 DLLLL
15 Grêmio Prudente 15195 12:16 -4 12 DLLWD
16 Sao Bento 151212 8:25 -17 5 LLWDL

Top scorers

Paulista - A2
1 Bruno MezengaItuano 2goals 0assists 2apps
2 CasagrandeSao Bento 1goals 0assists 1apps
3 Nenê BonilhaÁgua Santa 1goals 0assists 1apps
4 LucaoOeste 1goals 0assists 1apps
5 MottaOeste 1goals 0assists 1apps
6 LipeItuano 1goals 0assists 1apps
7 MarcinhoSao Bento 1goals 0assists 1apps
8 Gustavo NunesSao Bento 1goals 0assists 1apps
9 Andre Coutinho da SilvaSao Bento 1goals 0assists 1apps
10 LeozinhoItuano 1goals 0assists 1apps

Recent form

4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
24 Oct 2026Serie C Ferroviária 1 - 2 Maringá L
17 Oct 2026Serie C Maringá 1 - 1 Ferroviária D
11 Oct 2026Serie C Ferroviária 2 - 0 Inter De Limeira W
03 Oct 2026Serie C Paysandu 1 - 0 Ferroviária L
27 Sep 2026Serie C Brusque 1 - 1 Ferroviária D
20 Sep 2026Serie C Ferroviária 3 - 2 Brusque W
13 Sep 2026Serie C Ferroviária 1 - 0 Paysandu W
05 Sep 2026Serie C Inter De Limeira 3 - 3 Ferroviária D
29 Aug 2026Serie C Ferroviária 1 - 0 Confiança W
23 Aug 2026Serie C Ypiranga-RS 1 - 0 Ferroviária L
1 W 3 D 6 L in the last 10
29 Aug 2026Serie C Floresta 2 - 0 Ituano L
22 Aug 2026Serie C Ituano 0 - 1 Paysandu L
15 Aug 2026Serie C Volta Redonda 1 - 0 Ituano L
08 Aug 2026Serie C Ituano 2 - 0 Barra W
26 Jul 2026Serie C Brusque 1 - 0 Ituano L
12 Jul 2026Serie C Ituano 1 - 3 Ferroviária L
04 Jul 2026Serie C Santa Cruz 1 - 0 Ituano L
28 Jun 2026Serie C Ituano 0 - 0 Maranhão D
20 Jun 2026Serie C Ituano 0 - 0 Figueirense D
14 Jun 2026Serie C AO Itabaiana 2 - 2 Ituano D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Ferroviária Draw Ituano
Value spotted: Ferroviária win at 2.20 (model 53% vs market 41%)

Most likely scores

1-0 11.7%
1-1 11.7%
2-0 9.6%
2-1 9.6%
0-0 7.1%
0-1 7.1%

Expected goals: 1.65 Ferroviária · 1 Ituano

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Both teams score51%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
63%
Form
38%
53%
Attack
47%
86%
Defence
14%
70%
Goal model
30%
71%
Head to head
29%
62%
Goals
38%
67%
Overall
32%

Season numbers

Paulista - A2 2026

When the goals come

6
0-15'
4
3
16-30'
4
3
31-45'
6
8
46-60'
3
5
61-75'
4
4
76-90'
4
3
0-15'
2
2
16-30'
3
3
31-45'
2
4
46-60'
5
2
61-75'
4
3
76-90'
3
Ferroviária Ituano

Side by side

Ferroviária Ituano
22 Played 22
13 Won 11
4 Drawn 5
5 Lost 6
1.5 Goals scored per game 1.3
0.8 Goals conceded per game 1
1.9 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 1.6 / 1
9 Clean sheets 7
3 Failed to score 6
4 Longest winning run 4
5-1 Biggest win 4-0
1-2 Biggest defeat 0-1
1/1 Penalties scored 2/2

Ferroviária vs Ituano: preview and prediction

Ferroviária host Ituano in the Brazil Paulista - A2 (Semi-finals) on Thursday, 30th April 2026 at 23:00. Ferroviária sit 2nd in the table and Ituano 3rd.

Ferroviária have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-W-D-L). Ituano are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-L-L).

In the last 8 meetings, Ferroviária won 4, Ituano won 2 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 38%.

Our goal model expects about 1.65 goals for Ferroviária and 1 for Ituano. It gives Ferroviária the edge (53% home win, 25% draw, 23% away win), 49% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.25. We also like Under 2.5, BTTS No.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Ferroviária vs Ituano FAQs

What is the best prediction for Ferroviária vs Ituano?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.25 odds).

Who will win Ferroviária vs Ituano?

Ferroviária are favourites: our model gives Ferroviária 53%, the draw 25% and Ituano 23%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 51% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.7 goals in total, with a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Ferroviária vs Ituano?

Kick-off is on Thursday, 30th April 2026 at 23:00.