FC Winterthur vs FC Aarau Prediction, H2H & Stats

Switzerland: Challenge League · Regular Season - 9
FC Winterthur

FC Winterthur

3rd in table
WWWWL
Full time
2:1
HT 1 - 1
FC Aarau

FC Aarau

6th in table
DLLLL
15' A. Marchesano (Penalty)
20' D. Acquah
33' S. Camara
38' T. Citherlet
40' S. Muller (Penalty)
56' D. Acquah
56' D. Acquah
65' S. Ottiger
76' T. Golliard
90' D. Coric
Friday, 18 September 2026
Winterthur
H. Qovanaj

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
4FC Winterthur wins
3Draws
2FC Aarau wins
2.8Goals per game
33%Both scored
56%Over 2.5
17 Sep 2023Schweizer Cup FC Aarau 1 - 2 FC Winterthur
08 Jul 2023Friendlies Clubs FC Winterthur 2 - 0 FC Aarau
08 Apr 2022Challenge League FC Aarau 0 - 3 FC Winterthur
11 Mar 2022Challenge League FC Winterthur 4 - 2 FC Aarau
03 Dec 2021Challenge League FC Aarau 2 - 0 FC Winterthur
24 Sep 2021Challenge League FC Winterthur 0 - 0 FC Aarau
23 Apr 2021Challenge League FC Winterthur 3 - 3 FC Aarau
06 Apr 2021Schweizer Cup FC Aarau 3 - 0 FC Winterthur
26 Feb 2021Challenge League FC Aarau 0 - 0 FC Winterthur

Challenge League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 10730 20:3 +17 24 WDWWW
2 Yverdon Sport 10541 16:9 +7 19 WDLWW
3 FC Winterthur 10532 19:11 +8 18 LWWWD
4 SC Kriens 10433 17:12 +5 15 DWDLD
5 Neuchatel Xamax FC 10505 15:17 -2 15 WLWLL
6 FC Aarau 10334 15:18 -3 12 LLDWD
7 Rapperswil 10316 15:19 -4 10 LWWLD
8 FC WIL 1900 10244 16:22 -6 10 DWLDD
9 Étoile Carouge 10235 8:14 -6 9 LLLDL
10 Stade Nyonnais 10127 8:24 -16 5 WLLLD

Recent form

7 W 2 D 1 L in the last 10
09 Oct 2026Challenge League Neuchatel Xamax FC 3 - 0 FC Winterthur L
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs FC Winterthur 7 - 3 FC Basel 1893 W
30 Sep 2026Friendlies Clubs Seuzach 1 - 4 FC Winterthur W
18 Sep 2026Challenge League FC Winterthur 2 - 1 FC Aarau W
11 Sep 2026Challenge League Étoile Carouge 0 - 1 FC Winterthur W
04 Sep 2026Challenge League FC Winterthur 4 - 0 Neuchatel Xamax FC W
01 Sep 2026Challenge League Stade Nyonnais 2 - 2 FC Winterthur D
28 Aug 2026Challenge League FC Winterthur 1 - 1 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy D
21 Aug 2026Challenge League Rapperswil 0 - 2 FC Winterthur W
15 Aug 2026Schweizer Cup Zürich City 1 - 3 FC Winterthur W
2 W 3 D 5 L in the last 10
09 Oct 2026Challenge League Stade Nyonnais 2 - 1 FC Aarau L
02 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs FC Aarau 1 - 2 BSC Young Boys L
24 Sep 2026Friendlies Clubs Grasshoppers 4 - 1 FC Aarau L
18 Sep 2026Challenge League FC Winterthur 2 - 1 FC Aarau L
12 Sep 2026Challenge League FC Aarau 2 - 2 SC Kriens D
04 Sep 2026Challenge League FC Aarau 3 - 2 Rapperswil W
31 Aug 2026Challenge League FC WIL 1900 2 - 2 FC Aarau D
28 Aug 2026Challenge League FC Aarau 2 - 1 Neuchatel Xamax FC W
23 Aug 2026Challenge League Yverdon Sport 2 - 1 FC Aarau L
16 Aug 2026Schweizer Cup Biel-Bienne 3 - 3 FC Aarau D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
FC Winterthur Draw FC Aarau
Value spotted: FC Winterthur win at 2.20 (model 74% vs market 41%)

Most likely scores

2-0 10.1%
2-1 9.1%
3-0 8.9%
3-1 8%
1-0 7.6%
1-1 6.9%

Expected goals: 2.65 FC Winterthur · 0.9 FC Aarau

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Over 3.5 goals47%
Both teams score55%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
58%
Form
42%
50%
Attack
50%
75%
Defence
25%
86%
Goal model
14%
80%
Head to head
20%
69%
Goals
31%
69%
Overall
30%

Season numbers

Challenge League 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
4
3
16-30'
0
3
31-45'
1
3
46-60'
1
2
61-75'
4
3
76-90'
3
2
0-15'
2
1
16-30'
2
1
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
5
2
61-75'
2
1
76-90'
2
FC Winterthur FC Aarau

Side by side

FC Winterthur FC Aarau
8 Played 8
4 Won 3
3 Drawn 3
1 Lost 2
2.1 Goals scored per game 1.6
0.9 Goals conceded per game 1.8
3 / 1.3 Scored per game (home / away) 2 / 1
4 Clean sheets 0
1 Failed to score 1
2 Longest winning run 1
5-0 Biggest win 3-2
2-0 Biggest defeat 3-0
4/4 Penalties scored 1/2

FC Winterthur vs FC Aarau: preview and prediction

FC Winterthur host FC Aarau in the Switzerland Challenge League (Regular Season - 9) on Friday, 18th September 2026 at 19:15 at Winterthur. FC Winterthur sit 3rd in the table and FC Aarau 6th.

FC Winterthur are flying, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-W-W-L). FC Aarau are struggling, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-L-L-L).

In the last 9 meetings, FC Winterthur won 4, FC Aarau won 2 and 3 ended level. These games average 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% and over 2.5 goals in 56%.

Our goal model expects about 2.65 goals for FC Winterthur and 0.9 for FC Aarau. It gives FC Winterthur the edge (74% home win, 15% draw, 10% away win), 68% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-0.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.35.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

FC Winterthur vs FC Aarau FAQs

What is the best prediction for FC Winterthur vs FC Aarau?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.35 odds).

Who will win FC Winterthur vs FC Aarau?

FC Winterthur are favourites: our model gives FC Winterthur 74%, the draw 15% and FC Aarau 10%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 55% chance in our model, and it happened in 33% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.6 goals in total, with a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is FC Winterthur vs FC Aarau?

Kick-off is on Friday, 18th September 2026 at 19:15 at Winterthur.

Who is the referee?

H. Qovanaj is in charge of this game.