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FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay Prediction, H2H & Stats

USA: USL Championship · Group Stage
FC Tulsa

FC Tulsa

7th in table
WDDLL
Full time
2:0
HT 1 - 0
Monterey Bay

Monterey Bay

12th in table
LWLLW
26' L. Dorsey
50' K. Egwu
51' L. Batista
53' O. Glasgow
63' R. Nakamura
81' L. Stauffer
90+4' N. Ross
Thursday, 18 June 2026
ONEOK Field
R. Albuquerque

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7games
5FC Tulsa wins
2Draws
0Monterey Bay wins
2.3Goals per game
57%Both scored
57%Over 2.5
03 May 2026USL Championship Monterey Bay 1 - 2 FC Tulsa
07 Aug 2025USL Championship Monterey Bay 2 - 3 FC Tulsa
17 Jul 2025USL Championship FC Tulsa 2 - 1 Monterey Bay
27 Oct 2024USL Championship FC Tulsa 2 - 1 Monterey Bay
14 Jul 2024USL Championship Monterey Bay 0 - 0 FC Tulsa
01 Jun 2023USL Championship Monterey Bay 0 - 0 FC Tulsa
13 Oct 2022USL Championship Tulsa Roughnecks 2 - 0 Monterey Bay

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 New Mexico United 301578 45:34 +11 52 WLWWL
2 Sacramento Republic 3013125 42:28 +14 51 WWDDW
3 El Paso Locomotive 3015510 48:38 +10 50 LLWLD
4 Lexington 3014610 57:39 +18 48 DWDWW
5 Colorado Springs 301389 44:38 +6 47 WWDDD
6 San Antonio 3011127 32:30 +2 45 WWDLD
7 FC Tulsa 3011109 34:31 +3 43 LLDDW
8 Phoenix Rising 30101010 45:46 -1 40 DWWLL
9 Orange County SC 3010911 39:49 -10 39 LLLLW
10 Oakland Roots 3091110 39:40 -1 38 LWDDW
11 Las Vegas Lights 3010614 41:48 -7 36 LLLWL
12 Monterey Bay 306618 32:52 -20 24 WLLWL

Top scorers

USL Championship
1 J. LocadiaMiami FC 6goals 0assists 14apps
2 A. MéndezEl Paso Locomotive 2goals 1assists 4apps
3 Pedro SantosLoudoun United 0goals 0assists 5apps
4 J. SoñoraMiami FC 0goals 0assists 2apps
5 Mattheus OliveiraTampa Bay Rowdies 0goals 0assists 2apps

Recent form

2 W 5 D 3 L in the last 10
25 Oct 2026USL Championship Colorado Springs 2 - 0 FC Tulsa L
18 Oct 2026USL Championship FC Tulsa 2 - 4 Oakland Roots L
09 Oct 2026USL Championship Lexington 0 - 0 FC Tulsa D
04 Oct 2026USL Championship FC Tulsa 1 - 1 Sacramento Republic D
01 Oct 2026USL Championship FC Tulsa 1 - 0 New Mexico United W
26 Sep 2026USL Championship El Paso Locomotive 1 - 1 FC Tulsa D
19 Sep 2026USL Championship Brooklyn 2 - 2 FC Tulsa D
13 Sep 2026USL Championship Phoenix Rising 2 - 1 FC Tulsa L
06 Sep 2026USL Championship San Antonio 0 - 0 FC Tulsa D
30 Aug 2026USL Championship FC Tulsa 1 - 0 Rhode Island W
2 W 3 D 5 L in the last 10
25 Oct 2026USL Championship Monterey Bay 2 - 1 Las Vegas Lights W
18 Oct 2026USL Championship Monterey Bay 0 - 1 Colorado Springs L
11 Oct 2026USL Championship New Mexico United 3 - 1 Monterey Bay L
04 Oct 2026USL Championship Orange County SC 1 - 2 Monterey Bay W
27 Sep 2026USL Championship Monterey Bay 2 - 3 Lexington L
19 Sep 2026USL Championship Charleston Battery 1 - 0 Monterey Bay L
06 Sep 2026USL Championship Monterey Bay 1 - 1 Phoenix Rising D
30 Aug 2026USL Championship Monterey Bay 1 - 1 Sacramento Republic D
22 Aug 2026USL Championship Rhode Island 3 - 1 Monterey Bay L
16 Aug 2026USL Championship Oakland Roots 1 - 1 Monterey Bay D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
FC Tulsa Draw Monterey Bay
Value spotted: FC Tulsa win at 1.84 (model 61% vs market 49%)

Most likely scores

1-0 13.4%
2-0 12%
1-1 10.7%
2-1 9.6%
0-0 7.4%
3-0 7.2%

Expected goals: 1.8 FC Tulsa · 0.8 Monterey Bay

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Both teams score46%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
53%
Form
47%
47%
Attack
53%
50%
Defence
50%
78%
Goal model
22%
93%
Head to head
7%
64%
Goals
36%
64%
Overall
35%

Season numbers

USL Championship 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
2
0
16-30'
2
3
31-45'
0
4
46-60'
3
4
61-75'
2
2
76-90'
4
1
0-15'
1
3
16-30'
3
2
31-45'
2
2
46-60'
8
3
61-75'
5
3
76-90'
1
FC Tulsa Monterey Bay

Side by side

FC Tulsa Monterey Bay
11 Played 12
4 Won 3
4 Drawn 2
3 Lost 7
1.3 Goals scored per game 1.1
1.3 Goals conceded per game 1.7
1.2 / 1.3 Scored per game (home / away) 1.3 / 0.8
3 Clean sheets 2
4 Failed to score 4
3 Longest winning run 0
2-0 Biggest win 4-1
0-1 Biggest defeat 0-3
2/2 Penalties scored 1/1

FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay: preview and prediction

FC Tulsa host Monterey Bay in the USA USL Championship (Group Stage) on Thursday, 18th June 2026 at 01:30 at ONEOK Field. FC Tulsa sit 7th in the table and Monterey Bay 12th.

FC Tulsa have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-D-D-L-L). Monterey Bay are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-L-W).

In the last 7 meetings, FC Tulsa won 5, Monterey Bay won 0 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% and over 2.5 goals in 57%.

Our goal model expects about 1.8 goals for FC Tulsa and 0.8 for Monterey Bay. It gives FC Tulsa the edge (61% home win, 23% draw, 16% away win), 48% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.20.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay FAQs

What is the best prediction for FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.20 odds).

Who will win FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay?

FC Tulsa are favourites: our model gives FC Tulsa 61%, the draw 23% and Monterey Bay 16%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 46% chance in our model, and it happened in 57% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.6 goals in total, with a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay?

Kick-off is on Thursday, 18th June 2026 at 01:30 at ONEOK Field.

Who is the referee?

R. Albuquerque is in charge of this game.