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FC Tallinn vs Elva Prediction, H2H & Stats

Estonia: Esiliiga A · Regular Season - 19
FC Tallinn

FC Tallinn

9th in table
WLLWL
Full time
0:3
HT 0 - 2
Elva

Elva

5th in table
WLDDD
37' N. Salamatov (Own Goal)
45+1' R. Jagodinskis
63' J. Mbuthia
78' V. Avilov
78' D. Laaneots
Saturday, 11 July 2026
Tallinn

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
1FC Tallinn wins
3Draws
4Elva wins
2.5Goals per game
63%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
07 May 2026Esiliiga A Elva 2 - 0 FC Tallinn
07 Mar 2026Esiliiga A FC Tallinn 1 - 1 Elva
19 Oct 2025Esiliiga A Elva 1 - 0 FC Tallinn
16 Aug 2025Esiliiga A FC Tallinn 1 - 2 Elva
22 May 2025Esiliiga A Elva 1 - 1 FC Tallinn
24 Apr 2025Esiliiga A FC Tallinn 1 - 1 Elva
06 Oct 2024Esiliiga A Elva 0 - 1 FC Tallinn
10 Aug 2024Esiliiga A FC Tallinn 3 - 4 Elva

Esiliiga A table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Tartu Welco 352456 101:45 +56 77 WWWWW
2 Viimsi 3517711 62:35 +27 58 LDWWL
3 FCI Levadia II 3417314 69:59 +10 54 WDWWW
4 Flora II 3415712 78:60 +18 52 LDWLD
5 Elva 35141011 50:51 -1 52 DDDLD
6 Maardu 3212911 47:59 -12 45 WWWLW
7 Tallinna Kalev 3411815 59:63 -4 41 DWLLL
8 Nõmme United II 3511717 58:71 -13 40 WLLLW
9 FC Tallinn 3510817 44:80 -36 38 LWLLW
10 Nõmme Kalju II 356623 40:85 -45 24 LLDLL

Top scorers

Esiliiga A
1 E. KouadioMaardu 3goals 2assists 5apps
2 Kevon EvansElva 1goals 0assists 1apps
3 John-Paul MbuthiaElva 1goals 0assists 1apps
4 Matvei GuljajevFCI Levadia II 0goals 1assists 1apps
5 Ismail SorokaFC Tallinn 0goals 1assists 1apps
6 Andres KiiselNõmme Kalju II 0goals 1assists 1apps

Recent form

3 W 1 D 5 L in the last 9
01 Nov 2026Esiliiga A Nõmme United II 3 - 1 FC Tallinn L
24 Oct 2026Esiliiga A Nõmme Kalju II 1 - 2 FC Tallinn W
19 Oct 2026Esiliiga A FC Tallinn 0 - 3 Viimsi L
15 Oct 2026Esiliiga A FC Tallinn 0 - 7 Tartu Welco L
10 Oct 2026Esiliiga A Flora II 1 - 2 FC Tallinn W
03 Oct 2026Cup FC Tallinn 0 - 10 Laagri L
22 Sep 2026Cup FC Tallinn 5 - 0 Harju JK Laagri U21 W
19 Sep 2026Esiliiga A Elva 1 - 1 FC Tallinn D
13 Sep 2026Esiliiga A FC Tallinn 1 - 5 FCI Levadia II L
3 W 4 D 2 L in the last 9
01 Nov 2026Esiliiga A Elva 0 - 0 Tallinna Kalev D
25 Oct 2026Esiliiga A Elva 3 - 3 FCI Levadia II D
18 Oct 2026Esiliiga A Nõmme Kalju II 0 - 0 Elva D
09 Oct 2026Esiliiga A Tartu Welco 4 - 0 Elva L
24 Sep 2026Cup Elva 3 - 2 Tallinna Kalev W
19 Sep 2026Esiliiga A Elva 1 - 1 FC Tallinn D
13 Sep 2026Esiliiga A Flora II 1 - 2 Elva W
10 Sep 2026Esiliiga A Viimsi 5 - 0 Elva L
06 Sep 2026Esiliiga A Elva 1 - 0 Nõmme Kalju II W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
FC Tallinn Draw Elva
Value spotted: FC Tallinn win at 4.22 (model 36% vs market 22%)

Most likely scores

1-1 8.6%
1-2 8.2%
2-1 7.6%
2-2 7.2%
1-3 5.2%
0-1 4.9%

Expected goals: 1.75 FC Tallinn · 1.9 Elva

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals70%
Over 3.5 goals49%
Both teams score70%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
60%
Form
40%
57%
Attack
43%
42%
Defence
58%
43%
Goal model
57%
15%
Head to head
85%
30%
Goals
70%
41%
Overall
58%

Season numbers

Esiliiga A 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
3
3
16-30'
7
4
31-45'
4
2
46-60'
2
6
61-75'
8
5
76-90'
8
4
0-15'
3
4
16-30'
6
7
31-45'
7
11
46-60'
5
7
61-75'
3
9
76-90'
7
FC Tallinn Elva

Side by side

FC Tallinn Elva
18 Played 18
4 Won 7
5 Drawn 3
9 Lost 8
1.4 Goals scored per game 1.7
2.6 Goals conceded per game 1.8
1.9 / 0.9 Scored per game (home / away) 1.6 / 1.9
1 Clean sheets 3
7 Failed to score 4
1 Longest winning run 3
6-3 Biggest win 3-1
1-3 Biggest defeat 0-3
6/6 Penalties scored 0/0

FC Tallinn vs Elva: preview and prediction

FC Tallinn host Elva in the Estonia Esiliiga A (Regular Season - 19) on Saturday, 11th July 2026 at 17:00 at Tallinn. FC Tallinn sit 9th in the table and Elva 5th.

FC Tallinn are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-L-W-L). Elva have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-L-D-D-D).

In the last 8 meetings, FC Tallinn won 1, Elva won 4 and 3 ended level. These games average 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 63% and over 2.5 goals in 25%.

Our goal model expects about 1.75 goals for FC Tallinn and 1.9 for Elva. It gives Elva the edge (36% home win, 22% draw, 42% away win), 70% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.19. We also like Over 3.5, Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

FC Tallinn vs Elva FAQs

What is the best prediction for FC Tallinn vs Elva?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.19 odds).

Who will win FC Tallinn vs Elva?

Elva are favourites: our model gives FC Tallinn 36%, the draw 22% and Elva 42%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 70% chance in our model, and it happened in 63% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.7 goals in total, with a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is FC Tallinn vs Elva?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 11th July 2026 at 17:00 at Tallinn.