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FC Porto vs Benfica Prediction, H2H & Stats

Portugal: Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 7
FC Porto

FC Porto

1st in table
WWWLL
Full time
3:1
HT 1 - 0
Benfica

Benfica

2nd in table
WWLWW
5' Gabri Veiga
25' Clément Lenglet
31' G. Veiga
34' Gianluca Prestianni
35' Clément Lenglet
35' Clément Lenglet
51' A. Bah
54' V. Froholdt
60' Hwang In-Beom
80' Hwang In-beom
90+2' Oskar Pietuszewski
90+3' Alexander Bah
90+3' Tomás Araújo
Sunday, 20 September 2026
Estádio do Dragão, Porto
Miguel Nogueira, Portugal

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
3FC Porto wins
2Draws
4Benfica wins
2.9Goals per game
44%Both scored
56%Over 2.5
08 Mar 2026Primeira Liga Benfica 2 - 2 FC Porto
14 Jan 2026Taça de Portugal FC Porto 1 - 0 Benfica
05 Oct 2025Primeira Liga FC Porto 0 - 0 Benfica
06 Apr 2025Primeira Liga FC Porto 1 - 4 Benfica
10 Nov 2024Primeira Liga Benfica 4 - 1 FC Porto
03 Mar 2024Primeira Liga FC Porto 5 - 0 Benfica
29 Sep 2023Primeira Liga Benfica 1 - 0 FC Porto
09 Aug 2023Super Cup Benfica 2 - 0 FC Porto
07 Apr 2023Primeira Liga Benfica 1 - 2 FC Porto

Primeira Liga table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 FC Porto 8800 20:4 +16 24 WWWWW
2 Benfica 8611 24:7 +17 19 WLWWW
3 Sporting CP 8530 20:9 +11 18 WDDWW
4 Santa Clara 8530 12:4 +8 18 WDWWD
5 Arouca 8422 11:7 +4 14 WDLDW
6 GIL Vicente 8422 8:6 +2 14 WWDLL
7 Academico Viseu 8422 11:10 +1 14 WWWWL
8 Alverca 8323 13:12 +1 11 WWWLD
9 SC Braga 8323 9:10 -1 11 LLDWL
10 Estrela 8242 14:15 -1 10 LLDWD
11 Maritimo 8224 9:14 -5 8 LDLLL
12 Moreirense 8224 8:15 -7 8 LDWLL
13 Famalicao 8143 10:11 -1 7 LWDDD
14 Rio Ave 8215 8:17 -9 7 WLDLL
15 Vitória SC 8125 5:10 -5 5 LDLDL
16 Nacional 8116 9:18 -9 4 LLLLL
17 Casa Pia 8116 3:17 -14 4 LWLDL
18 Estoril 8026 4:12 -8 2 LLLDL

Top scorers

Primeira Liga
1 V. PavlidisBenfica 8goals 3assists 8apps
2 L. SuárezSporting CP 7goals 1assists 8apps
3 G. PrestianniBenfica 5goals 3assists 8apps
4 BarberoArouca 5goals 0assists 8apps
5 Gonçalo PaciênciaSanta Clara 5goals 1assists 8apps
6 G. KoutsiasFamalicao 5goals 0assists 8apps
7 Pau VictorSC Braga 4goals 1assists 8apps
8 A. MarcusEstrela 4goals 1assists 8apps
9 L. AntonettiEstrela 4goals 1assists 8apps
10 André ClóvisAcademico Viseu 4goals 0assists 8apps

Recent form

7 W 0 D 3 L in the last 10
20 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League FC Porto 0 - 1 PSV Eindhoven L
14 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Real Betis 3 - 2 FC Porto L
10 Oct 2026Primeira Liga Maritimo 1 - 2 FC Porto W
02 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Deportivo La Coruna 1 - 3 FC Porto W
20 Sep 2026Primeira Liga FC Porto 3 - 1 Benfica W
12 Sep 2026Primeira Liga Casa Pia 1 - 4 FC Porto W
08 Sep 2026UEFA Champions League FC Porto 0 - 2 Manchester City L
04 Sep 2026Primeira Liga FC Porto 2 - 1 Moreirense W
29 Aug 2026Primeira Liga Academico Viseu 0 - 3 FC Porto W
23 Aug 2026Primeira Liga FC Porto 2 - 0 Arouca W
9 W 0 D 1 L in the last 10
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League Benfica 4 - 1 Celtic W
11 Oct 2026Primeira Liga Benfica 2 - 0 Vitória SC W
20 Sep 2026Primeira Liga FC Porto 3 - 1 Benfica L
16 Sep 2026UEFA Europa League AC Milan 0 - 2 Benfica W
13 Sep 2026Primeira Liga Benfica 3 - 1 GIL Vicente W
09 Sep 2026Primeira Liga Moreirense 0 - 4 Benfica W
05 Sep 2026Primeira Liga Maritimo 0 - 3 Benfica W
31 Aug 2026Primeira Liga Benfica 2 - 1 Estoril W
27 Aug 2026UEFA Europa League Aarhus 1 - 3 Benfica W
20 Aug 2026UEFA Europa League Benfica 3 - 1 Aarhus W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
FC Porto Draw Benfica
Value spotted: Benfica win at 2.64 (model 65% vs market 37%)

Most likely scores

1-2 9.3%
0-2 7.7%
1-3 7.7%
1-1 7.4%
0-3 6.4%
0-1 6.2%

Expected goals: 1.2 FC Porto · 2.5 Benfica

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals71%
Over 3.5 goals50%
Both teams score64%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
41%
Attack
59%
50%
Defence
50%
0%
Goal model
100%
38%
Head to head
62%
33%
Goals
67%
42%
Overall
57%

Season numbers

Primeira Liga 2026

When the goals come

3
0-15'
4
1
16-30'
1
4
31-45'
2
2
46-60'
7
2
61-75'
3
3
76-90'
3
0
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
2
0
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
1
FC Porto Benfica

Side by side

FC Porto Benfica
6 Played 6
6 Won 5
0 Drawn 1
0 Lost 0
2.5 Goals scored per game 3.5
0.3 Goals conceded per game 0.7
2 / 3 Scored per game (home / away) 2.3 / 4.7
4 Clean sheets 3
0 Failed to score 0
6 Longest winning run 0
2-0 Biggest win 3-1
- Biggest defeat -
3/3 Penalties scored 2/2

FC Porto vs Benfica: preview and prediction

FC Porto host Benfica in the Portugal Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 7) on Sunday, 20th September 2026 at 20:30 at Estádio do Dragão, Porto. FC Porto sit 1st in the table and Benfica 2nd.

FC Porto are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-W-L-L). Benfica are flying, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-L-W-W).

In the last 9 meetings, FC Porto won 3, Benfica won 4 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 44% and over 2.5 goals in 56%.

Our goal model expects about 1.2 goals for FC Porto and 2.5 for Benfica. It gives Benfica the edge (17% home win, 18% draw, 65% away win), 71% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-2.

Our pick was Away Win at odds of 2.64. We also like Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

FC Porto vs Benfica FAQs

What is the best prediction for FC Porto vs Benfica?

Our top tip is Away Win: Away Win (2.64 odds).

Who will win FC Porto vs Benfica?

Benfica are favourites: our model gives FC Porto 17%, the draw 18% and Benfica 65%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 64% chance in our model, and it happened in 44% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.7 goals in total, with a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is FC Porto vs Benfica?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 20th September 2026 at 20:30 at Estádio do Dragão, Porto.

Who is the referee?

Miguel Nogueira, Portugal is in charge of this game.