FC Nordsjaelland vs Aarhus Prediction, H2H & Stats

Denmark: Superliga · Championship Group - 28
FC Nordsjaelland

FC Nordsjaelland

3rd in table
WLLDD
Full time
1:1
HT 0 - 1
Aarhus

Aarhus

1st in table
WDWWL
31' P. Mortensen
45' Prince Amoako Junior
71' Justin Janssen
83' L. Nene
Thursday, 23 April 2026
Right to Dream Park, Farum
M. Krogh

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
3FC Nordsjaelland wins
1Draws
4Aarhus wins
2.6Goals per game
50%Both scored
38%Over 2.5
10 Apr 2026Superliga Aarhus 1 - 1 FC Nordsjaelland
24 Oct 2025Superliga Aarhus 1 - 0 FC Nordsjaelland
28 Sep 2025Superliga FC Nordsjaelland 1 - 2 Aarhus
16 May 2025Superliga FC Nordsjaelland 2 - 0 Aarhus
30 Mar 2025Superliga Aarhus 2 - 0 FC Nordsjaelland
22 Nov 2024Superliga FC Nordsjaelland 1 - 0 Aarhus
31 Aug 2024Superliga Aarhus 4 - 2 FC Nordsjaelland
03 May 2024Superliga Aarhus 1 - 3 FC Nordsjaelland

Superliga table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Aarhus 3219103 62:32 +30 67 WWWDD
2 FC Midtjylland 3216124 72:36 +36 60 LDDDW
3 FC Nordsjaelland 3215512 51:46 +5 50 WDDLD
4 Brondby 3213613 44:35 +9 45 LWLDL
5 Viborg 3213514 49:51 -2 44 LLDWL
6 Sonderjyske 3212812 44:49 -5 44 LWLWL

Top scorers

Superliga
1 Franculino DjúFC Midtjylland 17goals 3assists 21apps
2 T. AdamsenSilkeborg 14goals 7assists 31apps
3 J. LarssonFC Copenhagen 13goals 9assists 33apps
4 T. BechAarhus 12goals 4assists 32apps
5 C. McCowattSilkeborg 11goals 5assists 32apps
6 N. GanausOdense 11goals 4assists 32apps
7 Y. MoukokoFC Copenhagen 11goals 2assists 25apps
8 J. ArpOdense 10goals 4assists 30apps
9 A. ŞimşirFC Midtjylland 9goals 15assists 31apps
10 P. MortensenAarhus 9goals 0assists 32apps

Recent form

4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa Conference League Heart Of Midlothian 1 - 1 FC Nordsjaelland D
09 Oct 2026Superliga FC Nordsjaelland 0 - 0 Odense D
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Malmo FF 3 - 0 FC Nordsjaelland L
20 Sep 2026Superliga Viborg 4 - 1 FC Nordsjaelland L
16 Sep 2026DBU Pokalen Vatanspor 0 - 3 FC Nordsjaelland W
13 Sep 2026Superliga FC Nordsjaelland 2 - 0 Aarhus W
07 Sep 2026Superliga FC Midtjylland 2 - 2 FC Nordsjaelland D
03 Sep 2026Superliga FC Copenhagen 2 - 0 FC Nordsjaelland L
30 Aug 2026Superliga FC Nordsjaelland 3 - 1 Brondby W
27 Aug 2026UEFA Europa Conference League FC ST. Gallen 2 - 3 FC Nordsjaelland W
3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa Conference League Gent 1 - 0 Aarhus L
12 Oct 2026Superliga Aarhus 3 - 0 Sonderjyske W
02 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Aarhus 2 - 1 Vendsyssel FF W
20 Sep 2026Superliga AC Horsens 2 - 2 Aarhus D
16 Sep 2026DBU Pokalen Skjold Sæby 1 - 6 Aarhus W
13 Sep 2026Superliga FC Nordsjaelland 2 - 0 Aarhus L
05 Sep 2026Superliga Aarhus 2 - 2 Silkeborg D
02 Sep 2026Superliga Aarhus 0 - 2 FC Midtjylland L
30 Aug 2026Superliga Randers FC 2 - 1 Aarhus L
27 Aug 2026UEFA Europa League Aarhus 1 - 3 Benfica L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
FC Nordsjaelland Draw Aarhus
Value spotted: FC Nordsjaelland win at 2.92 (model 39% vs market 32%)

Most likely scores

1-1 10.6%
2-1 8.5%
1-2 8.2%
1-0 6.9%
0-1 6.6%
2-2 6.6%

Expected goals: 1.6 FC Nordsjaelland · 1.55 Aarhus

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Over 3.5 goals39%
Both teams score63%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
68%
Form
32%
62%
Attack
38%
63%
Defence
38%
48%
Goal model
52%
29%
Head to head
71%
40%
Goals
60%
51%
Overall
48%

Season numbers

Superliga 2025

When the goals come

6
0-15'
9
4
16-30'
7
10
31-45'
9
7
46-60'
5
9
61-75'
11
9
76-90'
11
9
0-15'
4
5
16-30'
3
2
31-45'
3
6
46-60'
6
7
61-75'
2
13
76-90'
9
FC Nordsjaelland Aarhus

Side by side

FC Nordsjaelland Aarhus
27 Played 27
14 Won 16
2 Drawn 8
11 Lost 3
1.7 Goals scored per game 1.9
1.6 Goals conceded per game 1
2 / 1.3 Scored per game (home / away) 1.8 / 2
8 Clean sheets 7
5 Failed to score 2
3 Longest winning run 8
5-0 Biggest win 5-2
2-4 Biggest defeat 2-3
2/2 Penalties scored 5/5

FC Nordsjaelland vs Aarhus: preview and prediction

FC Nordsjaelland host Aarhus in the Denmark Superliga (Championship Group - 28) on Thursday, 23rd April 2026 at 17:00 at Right to Dream Park, Farum. FC Nordsjaelland sit 3rd in the table and Aarhus 1st.

FC Nordsjaelland have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-L-D-D). Aarhus are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-W-W-L).

In the last 8 meetings, FC Nordsjaelland won 3, Aarhus won 4 and 1 ended level. These games average 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 38%.

Our goal model expects about 1.6 goals for FC Nordsjaelland and 1.55 for Aarhus. It gives FC Nordsjaelland the edge (39% home win, 24% draw, 37% away win), 61% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.62. We also like Under 3.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

FC Nordsjaelland vs Aarhus FAQs

What is the best prediction for FC Nordsjaelland vs Aarhus?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.62 odds).

Who will win FC Nordsjaelland vs Aarhus?

FC Nordsjaelland are favourites: our model gives FC Nordsjaelland 39%, the draw 24% and Aarhus 37%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 63% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.2 goals in total, with a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is FC Nordsjaelland vs Aarhus?

Kick-off is on Thursday, 23rd April 2026 at 17:00 at Right to Dream Park, Farum.

Who is the referee?

M. Krogh is in charge of this game.