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Fagiano Okayama vs Cerezo Osaka Prediction, H2H & Stats

Japan: J1 League · Regular Season - 18
Fagiano Okayama

Fagiano Okayama

6th in table
DLWLL
Full time
2:3
HT 0 - 1
Cerezo Osaka

Cerezo Osaka

2nd in table
LDDWL
8' Y. Yokoyama
37' Ayumu Ohata
56' Y. Yokoyama
62' Thiago Andrade
71' Leo Gaucho
77' Yoshitake Suzuki
81' S. Uejo
85' Hiroshi Omori
90' Leo Gaucho
Sunday, 24 May 2026
City Light Stadium, Okayama
R. Tanimoto

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
1Fagiano Okayama wins
2Draws
5Cerezo Osaka wins
2.5Goals per game
88%Both scored
63%Over 2.5
18 Mar 2026J1 League Cerezo Osaka 1 - 2 Fagiano Okayama
18 Oct 2025J1 League Fagiano Okayama 1 - 2 Cerezo Osaka
02 Apr 2025J1 League Cerezo Osaka 2 - 1 Fagiano Okayama
04 Dec 2016J2 League Cerezo Osaka 1 - 0 Fagiano Okayama
16 Oct 2016J2 League Fagiano Okayama 1 - 1 Cerezo Osaka
28 May 2016J2 League Cerezo Osaka 2 - 1 Fagiano Okayama
22 Jul 2015J2 League Cerezo Osaka 2 - 1 Fagiano Okayama
21 Mar 2015J2 League Fagiano Okayama 1 - 1 Cerezo Osaka

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Vissel Kobe 181107 29:25 +4 35
2 Cerezo Osaka 181107 30:21 +9 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 181008 33:31 +2 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 181008 31:23 +8 30
5 Gamba Osaka 181008 31:25 +6 28
6 Fagiano Okayama 188010 26:29 -3 26
7 Shimizu S-pulse 188010 23:25 -2 24
8 Kyoto Sanga 188010 22:28 -6 23
9 V-varen Nagasaki 187011 21:29 -8 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 187011 21:31 -10 21

Top scorers

J1 League
1 K. TanimuraYokohama F. Marinos 10goals 2assists 19apps
2 Y. YamagishiNagoya Grampus 10goals 0assists 19apps
3 Léo CearáKashima 10goals 3assists 20apps
4 Y. KimuraNagoya Grampus 9goals 2assists 20apps
5 ErikMachida Zelvia 8goals 0assists 18apps
6 D. HümmetGamba Osaka 8goals 0assists 18apps
7 S. SakuragawaCerezo Osaka 8goals 1assists 20apps
8 Matheus JesusV-varen Nagasaki 7goals 4assists 18apps
9 Oh Se-HunShimizu S-pulse 7goals 1assists 19apps
10 ErisonKawasaki Frontale 7goals 0assists 16apps

Recent form

4 W 1 D 5 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026J1 League Fagiano Okayama 0 - 4 FC Tokyo L
25 Oct 2026J1 League Kawasaki Frontale 2 - 1 Fagiano Okayama L
21 Oct 2026J1 League Fagiano Okayama 2 - 0 Mito Hollyhock W
18 Oct 2026J1 League Fagiano Okayama 0 - 3 Vissel Kobe L
14 Oct 2026J-League Cup Nagoya Grampus 3 - 3 Fagiano Okayama D
10 Oct 2026J1 League Avispa Fukuoka 2 - 1 Fagiano Okayama L
07 Oct 2026Emperor Cup Fagiano Okayama 1 - 0 JEF United Chiba W
29 Sep 2026J-League Cup Consadole Sapporo 1 - 2 Fagiano Okayama W
19 Sep 2026J1 League Fagiano Okayama 1 - 2 Kyoto Sanga L
13 Sep 2026J1 League Urawa 1 - 2 Fagiano Okayama W
4 W 4 D 2 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026J1 League Kashima 4 - 1 Cerezo Osaka L
28 Oct 2026J-League Cup Mito Hollyhock 1 - 3 Cerezo Osaka W
25 Oct 2026J1 League Cerezo Osaka 2 - 2 JEF United Chiba D
21 Oct 2026J1 League Nagoya Grampus 1 - 1 Cerezo Osaka D
17 Oct 2026J1 League Cerezo Osaka 2 - 4 Kawasaki Frontale L
14 Oct 2026J-League Cup Gainare Tottori 2 - 3 Cerezo Osaka W
10 Oct 2026J1 League Cerezo Osaka 0 - 0 Yokohama F. Marinos D
07 Oct 2026Emperor Cup Cerezo Osaka 2 - 0 Kagoshima United W
29 Sep 2026J-League Cup Fujieda MYFC 1 - 2 Cerezo Osaka W
19 Sep 2026J1 League V-varen Nagasaki 1 - 1 Cerezo Osaka D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Fagiano Okayama Draw Cerezo Osaka
Value spotted: Fagiano Okayama win at 2.74 (model 41% vs market 34%)

Most likely scores

1-0 13.3%
1-1 13.3%
0-0 11.1%
0-1 11.1%
2-0 8%
2-1 8%

Expected goals: 1.2 Fagiano Okayama · 1 Cerezo Osaka

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals65%
Over 2.5 goals38%
Over 3.5 goals18%
Both teams score44%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
41%
Attack
59%
67%
Defence
33%
55%
Goal model
45%
29%
Head to head
71%
42%
Goals
58%
47%
Overall
52%

Season numbers

J1 League 2026

When the goals come

4
0-15'
3
2
16-30'
6
4
31-45'
4
1
46-60'
1
4
61-75'
3
7
76-90'
7
2
0-15'
1
3
16-30'
1
6
31-45'
3
3
46-60'
4
3
61-75'
4
5
76-90'
3
Fagiano Okayama Cerezo Osaka

Side by side

Fagiano Okayama Cerezo Osaka
17 Played 17
8 Won 10
0 Drawn 0
9 Lost 7
1.4 Goals scored per game 1.6
1.5 Goals conceded per game 1.1
1.3 / 1.6 Scored per game (home / away) 2.1 / 1
5 Clean sheets 5
1 Failed to score 3
3 Longest winning run 2
2-0 Biggest win 6-1
1-4 Biggest defeat 1-2
1/1 Penalties scored 1/1

Fagiano Okayama vs Cerezo Osaka: preview and prediction

Fagiano Okayama host Cerezo Osaka in the Japan J1 League (Regular Season - 18) on Sunday, 24th May 2026 at 04:55 at City Light Stadium, Okayama. Fagiano Okayama sit 6th in the table and Cerezo Osaka 2nd.

Fagiano Okayama are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-W-L-L). Cerezo Osaka have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-D-D-W-L).

In the last 8 meetings, Fagiano Okayama won 1, Cerezo Osaka won 5 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 88% and over 2.5 goals in 63%.

Our goal model expects about 1.2 goals for Fagiano Okayama and 1 for Cerezo Osaka. It gives Fagiano Okayama the edge (41% home win, 29% draw, 31% away win), 38% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.42.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Fagiano Okayama vs Cerezo Osaka FAQs

What is the best prediction for Fagiano Okayama vs Cerezo Osaka?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.42 odds).

Who will win Fagiano Okayama vs Cerezo Osaka?

Fagiano Okayama are favourites: our model gives Fagiano Okayama 41%, the draw 29% and Cerezo Osaka 31%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 44% chance in our model, and it happened in 88% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.2 goals in total, with a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Fagiano Okayama vs Cerezo Osaka?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 24th May 2026 at 04:55 at City Light Stadium, Okayama.

Who is the referee?

R. Tanimoto is in charge of this game.