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Exeter City vs Oxford United Prediction, H2H & Stats

England: EFL Trophy · Group South - 1
Exeter City

Exeter City

WDWWL
Full time
2:2
HT 2 - 1
Oxford United

Oxford United

DWDWD
7' T. Perry
13' Liam Oakes
28' James Golding
30' H. Bradney
31' J. Gordon
51' Harry Kite
78' J. Fitzwater (Own Goal)
90+2' Tobias Alsop
90+2' Louie Sibley
Tuesday, 6 October 2026
St James Park, Exeter

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
3Exeter City wins
1Draws
5Oxford United wins
3.2Goals per game
56%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
11 Jan 2025FA Cup Exeter City 3 - 1 Oxford United
24 Jul 2024Friendlies Clubs Oxford United 0 - 1 Exeter City
27 Apr 2024League One Exeter City 1 - 2 Oxford United
23 Sep 2023League One Oxford United 3 - 0 Exeter City
01 Jan 2023League One Oxford United 0 - 1 Exeter City
26 Nov 2022FA Cup Oxford United 4 - 1 Exeter City
15 Oct 2022League One Exeter City 2 - 4 Oxford United
04 Dec 2019EFL Trophy Exeter City 0 - 0 Oxford United
30 Aug 2016EFL Trophy Oxford United 4 - 2 Exeter City

Top scorers

EFL Trophy
1 M. MothersilleWycombe 5goals 0assists 4apps
2 C. MillsLeeds United U21 4goals 1assists 2apps
3 E. TezgelWycombe 4goals 0assists 4apps
4 W. SwanBradford 4goals 0assists 3apps
5 S. Duke-McKennaCrawley Town 4goals 0assists 1apps
6 N. PowellBradford 4goals 0assists 2apps
7 Wanya MarçalStevenage 3goals 1assists 3apps
8 M. AsamoahPort Vale 3goals 0assists 3apps
9 A. BristrićLeicester 3goals 0assists 3apps
10 Harry AshfieldPeterborough 3goals 0assists 2apps

Recent form

4 W 4 D 2 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026League Two Salford City 2 - 1 Exeter City L
24 Oct 2026League Two Exeter City 2 - 1 Fleetwood Town W
20 Oct 2026League Two Exeter City 2 - 0 Crewe W
17 Oct 2026League Two Colchester 0 - 0 Exeter City D
10 Oct 2026League Two Shrewsbury 0 - 1 Exeter City W
06 Oct 2026EFL Trophy Exeter City 2 - 2 Oxford United D
03 Oct 2026League Two Exeter City 1 - 0 Rotherham W
26 Sep 2026League Two Bristol Rovers 1 - 0 Exeter City L
22 Sep 2026EFL Trophy Cheltenham 2 - 2 Exeter City D
19 Sep 2026League Two Exeter City 0 - 0 Tranmere D
5 W 5 D 0 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026League One Barnsley 1 - 1 Oxford United D
27 Oct 2026League One Oxford United 1 - 0 Stockport County W
24 Oct 2026League One Oxford United 0 - 0 Bradford D
20 Oct 2026League One Oxford United 2 - 1 Wigan W
15 Oct 2026League One Mansfield Town 1 - 1 Oxford United D
10 Oct 2026League One Notts County 1 - 2 Oxford United W
06 Oct 2026EFL Trophy Exeter City 2 - 2 Oxford United D
19 Sep 2026League One Oxford United 1 - 1 Cambridge United D
12 Sep 2026League One Oxford United 3 - 0 Burton Albion W
05 Sep 2026League One Leicester 0 - 4 Oxford United W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Exeter City Draw Oxford United
Value spotted: Exeter City win at 3.72 (model 58% vs market 26%)

Most likely scores

1-1 9.9%
2-1 9.9%
1-0 9%
2-0 9%
3-1 6.6%
3-0 6%

Expected goals: 2 Exeter City · 1.1 Oxford United

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Over 3.5 goals37%
Both teams score58%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
100%
Form
0%
100%
Attack
0%
0%
Defence
100%
0%
Goal model
0%
60%
Head to head
40%
50%
Goals
50%
55%
Overall
45%

Season numbers

EFL Trophy 2026

Exeter City vs Oxford United: preview and prediction

Exeter City host Oxford United in the England EFL Trophy (Group South - 1) on Tuesday, 6th October 2026 at 19:00 at St James Park, Exeter.

Exeter City are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-W-W-L). Oxford United are unbeaten, with 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (D-W-D-W-D).

In the last 9 meetings, Exeter City won 3, Oxford United won 5 and 1 ended level. These games average 3.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% and over 2.5 goals in 67%.

Our goal model expects about 2 goals for Exeter City and 1.1 for Oxford United. It gives Exeter City the edge (58% home win, 21% draw, 20% away win), 60% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was BTTS No at odds of 2.23. We also like Under 3.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Exeter City vs Oxford United FAQs

What is the best prediction for Exeter City vs Oxford United?

Our top tip is Both Teams to Score: BTTS No (2.23 odds).

Who will win Exeter City vs Oxford United?

Exeter City are favourites: our model gives Exeter City 58%, the draw 21% and Oxford United 20%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 58% chance in our model, and it happened in 56% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.1 goals in total, with a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Exeter City vs Oxford United?

Kick-off is on Tuesday, 6th October 2026 at 19:00 at St James Park, Exeter.