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Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction, H2H & Stats

Netherlands: Eredivisie · Regular Season - 2
Excelsior

Excelsior

13th in table
DLLLW
Full time
1:2
HT 0 - 1
PSV Eindhoven

PSV Eindhoven

3rd in table
WLLWD
5' R. van Bommel
54' C. Widell
56' R. Pepi
88' Jan Plug
Saturday, 15 August 2026
Stadion Woudestein, Rotterdam
Marc Nagtegaal, Netherlands

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
0Excelsior wins
0Draws
9PSV Eindhoven wins
4.8Goals per game
56%Both scored
78%Over 2.5
10 Jan 2026Eredivisie PSV Eindhoven 5 - 1 Excelsior
27 Sep 2025Eredivisie Excelsior 1 - 2 PSV Eindhoven
14 Jan 2025KNVB Beker PSV Eindhoven 5 - 4 Excelsior
02 Apr 2024Eredivisie Excelsior 0 - 2 PSV Eindhoven
13 Jan 2024Eredivisie PSV Eindhoven 3 - 1 Excelsior
08 Apr 2023Eredivisie PSV Eindhoven 4 - 0 Excelsior
28 Aug 2022Eredivisie Excelsior 1 - 6 PSV Eindhoven
02 Mar 2019Eredivisie Excelsior 0 - 2 PSV Eindhoven
07 Dec 2018Eredivisie PSV Eindhoven 6 - 0 Excelsior

Eredivisie table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Feyenoord 10730 32:11 +21 24 DWWWW
2 Ajax 10631 29:13 +16 21 WWDDW
3 PSV Eindhoven 10622 28:13 +15 20 DLWLW
4 Twente 10622 19:10 +9 20 WLDWW
5 AZ Alkmaar 10622 20:12 +8 20 LDLWD
6 Fortuna Sittard 10532 17:17 0 18 WDDWL
7 Heerenveen 10433 18:13 +5 15 WWLWD
8 Groningen 10433 24:21 +3 15 DLWWD
9 GO Ahead Eagles 10352 23:23 0 14 WLDDD
10 Cambuur 10334 19:22 -3 12 WDWDW
11 Utrecht 10334 17:27 -10 12 DWWLW
12 NEC Nijmegen 10253 17:18 -1 11 DDDDL
13 Excelsior 10325 16:19 -3 11 LLLDL
14 Sparta Rotterdam 10235 17:24 -7 9 LWDLL
15 PEC Zwolle 10226 11:23 -12 8 DWLLL
16 Telstar 10136 12:21 -9 6 LLDLD
17 ADO Den Haag 10136 13:23 -10 6 LWDDL
18 Willem II 10028 10:32 -22 2 LLLLL

Top scorers

Eredivisie
1 S. TengstedtGO Ahead Eagles 8goals 2assists 10apps
2 B. WillumssonGroningen 8goals 0assists 10apps
3 J. BrandtAjax 6goals 2assists 10apps
4 J. TrenskowHeerenveen 6goals 2assists 10apps
5 M. ZonneveldSparta Rotterdam 6goals 1assists 10apps
6 G. TilPSV Eindhoven 6goals 1assists 10apps
7 Nacho FerriFeyenoord 6goals 1assists 9apps
8 A. Hadj-MoussaFeyenoord 6goals 1assists 9apps
9 T. van BergenGroningen 6goals 3assists 10apps
10 G. ZechiëlFeyenoord 5goals 4assists 10apps

Recent form

3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
28 Oct 2026KNVB Beker MVV 0 - 3 Excelsior W
25 Oct 2026Eredivisie Fortuna Sittard 1 - 0 Excelsior L
16 Oct 2026Eredivisie Heerenveen 4 - 0 Excelsior L
11 Oct 2026Eredivisie Excelsior 1 - 5 Groningen L
19 Sep 2026Eredivisie Ajax 2 - 2 Excelsior D
13 Sep 2026Eredivisie Excelsior 1 - 2 Utrecht L
08 Sep 2026Eredivisie NEC Nijmegen 2 - 2 Excelsior D
05 Sep 2026Eredivisie Willem II 0 - 3 Excelsior W
29 Aug 2026Eredivisie Excelsior 2 - 1 Sparta Rotterdam W
15 Aug 2026Eredivisie Excelsior 1 - 2 PSV Eindhoven L
5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
25 Oct 2026Eredivisie PSV Eindhoven 1 - 1 Feyenoord D
20 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League FC Porto 0 - 1 PSV Eindhoven W
17 Oct 2026Eredivisie ADO Den Haag 2 - 1 PSV Eindhoven L
13 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League RB Leipzig 1 - 0 PSV Eindhoven L
09 Oct 2026Eredivisie PSV Eindhoven 2 - 0 Heerenveen W
20 Sep 2026Eredivisie Twente 3 - 2 PSV Eindhoven L
13 Sep 2026Eredivisie PSV Eindhoven 4 - 1 Sparta Rotterdam W
10 Sep 2026UEFA Champions League PSV Eindhoven 1 - 1 Shakhtar Donetsk D
05 Sep 2026Eredivisie Ajax 1 - 3 PSV Eindhoven W
30 Aug 2026Eredivisie Utrecht 1 - 6 PSV Eindhoven W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Excelsior Draw PSV Eindhoven
Value spotted: Excelsior win at 5.25 (model 57% vs market 18%)

Most likely scores

2-1 6.1%
2-2 6.1%
3-1 6.1%
3-2 6.1%
4-1 4.5%
4-2 4.5%

Expected goals: 3 Excelsior · 2 PSV Eindhoven

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals95%
Over 2.5 goals86%
Over 3.5 goals72%
Both teams score81%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
75%
Form
25%
67%
Attack
33%
100%
Defence
0%
0%
Goal model
0%
0%
Head to head
100%
29%
Goals
71%
57%
Overall
43%

Season numbers

Eredivisie 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
2
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
1
Excelsior PSV Eindhoven

Side by side

Excelsior PSV Eindhoven
1 Played 1
1 Won 0
0 Drawn 1
0 Lost 0
4 Goals scored per game 2
0 Goals conceded per game 2
0 / 4 Scored per game (home / away) 2 / 0
1 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 0
1 Longest winning run 0
0-4 Biggest win -
- Biggest defeat -
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven: preview and prediction

Excelsior host PSV Eindhoven in the Netherlands Eredivisie (Regular Season - 2) on Saturday, 15th August 2026 at 19:00 at Stadion Woudestein, Rotterdam. Excelsior sit 13th in the table and PSV Eindhoven 3rd.

Excelsior are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-L-L-W). PSV Eindhoven have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-L-W-D).

In the last 9 meetings, Excelsior won 0, PSV Eindhoven won 9 and 0 ended level. These games average 4.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% and over 2.5 goals in 78%.

Our goal model expects about 3 goals for Excelsior and 2 for PSV Eindhoven. It gives Excelsior the edge (57% home win, 17% draw, 25% away win), 86% for over 2.5 goals and 81% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-1.

Our pick was Home Win at odds of 5.25. We also like Over 3.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven FAQs

What is the best prediction for Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven?

Our top tip is Home Win: Home Win (5.25 odds).

Who will win Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven?

Excelsior are favourites: our model gives Excelsior 57%, the draw 17% and PSV Eindhoven 25%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 81% chance in our model, and it happened in 56% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 5 goals in total, with a 86% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 15th August 2026 at 19:00 at Stadion Woudestein, Rotterdam.

Who is the referee?

Marc Nagtegaal, Netherlands is in charge of this game.