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Excelsior vs Heerenveen Prediction, H2H & Stats

Netherlands: Eredivisie · Regular Season - 26
Excelsior

Excelsior

13th in table
DLLLW
Full time
1:2
HT 0 - 1
Heerenveen

Heerenveen

8th in table
WLWWW
38' L. Brouwers
67' J. van Overeem
74' N. Naujoks (Penalty)
78' Hristiyan Petrov
89' Noah Naujoks
Saturday, 7 March 2026
Stadion Woudestein, Rotterdam
D. Makkelie

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7games
2Excelsior wins
1Draws
4Heerenveen wins
2.4Goals per game
29%Both scored
71%Over 2.5
04 Oct 2025Eredivisie Heerenveen 2 - 1 Excelsior
19 Jan 2024Eredivisie Excelsior 3 - 0 Heerenveen
23 Sep 2023Eredivisie Heerenveen 0 - 3 Excelsior
13 May 2023Eredivisie Heerenveen 0 - 0 Excelsior
05 Nov 2022Eredivisie Excelsior 0 - 1 Heerenveen
30 Jul 2022Friendlies Clubs Heerenveen 3 - 1 Excelsior
30 Oct 2019KNVB Beker Excelsior 0 - 3 Heerenveen

Eredivisie table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 PSV Eindhoven 342734 101:45 +56 84 WWDWW
2 Feyenoord 341987 70:44 +26 65 WDWWD
3 NEC Nijmegen 3416117 77:53 +24 59 WLDDD
4 Twente 3415136 59:40 +19 58 LWDDW
5 Ajax 3414146 62:41 +21 56 DLDWW
6 Utrecht 3415811 55:42 +13 53 WWWLW
7 AZ Alkmaar 34141010 58:51 +7 52 DDDDW
8 Heerenveen 3414911 57:53 +4 51 DLWWL
9 Groningen 3414614 49:45 +4 48 WWLLD
10 Sparta Rotterdam 3412715 40:62 -22 43 LLDLL
11 Fortuna Sittard 3411617 49:63 -14 39 LWLLD
12 GO Ahead Eagles 3481412 54:53 +1 38 LLDDD
13 Excelsior 3410816 43:56 -13 38 WDWWD
14 Telstar 3491015 49:55 -6 37 WWDWL
15 PEC Zwolle 3491015 44:71 -27 37 LLWLD
16 FC Volendam 348818 35:55 -20 32 LDLWL
17 NAC Breda 3461117 35:58 -23 29 DWLLD
18 Heracles 345425 35:85 -50 19 LLLLL

Top scorers

Eredivisie
1 A. UedaFeyenoord 25goals 1assists 31apps
2 M. GodtsAjax 17goals 13assists 34apps
3 T. ParrottAZ Alkmaar 16goals 4assists 28apps
4 R. PepiPSV Eindhoven 16goals 1assists 26apps
5 I. SaibariPSV Eindhoven 15goals 8assists 27apps
6 G. TilPSV Eindhoven 14goals 4assists 29apps
7 J. TrenskowHeerenveen 13goals 5assists 34apps
8 B. LinssenNEC Nijmegen 12goals 7assists 32apps
9 K. SierhuisFortuna Sittard 12goals 1assists 30apps
10 M. SurayGO Ahead Eagles 12goals 2assists 32apps

Recent form

3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
28 Oct 2026KNVB Beker MVV 0 - 3 Excelsior W
25 Oct 2026Eredivisie Fortuna Sittard 1 - 0 Excelsior L
16 Oct 2026Eredivisie Heerenveen 4 - 0 Excelsior L
11 Oct 2026Eredivisie Excelsior 1 - 5 Groningen L
19 Sep 2026Eredivisie Ajax 2 - 2 Excelsior D
13 Sep 2026Eredivisie Excelsior 1 - 2 Utrecht L
08 Sep 2026Eredivisie NEC Nijmegen 2 - 2 Excelsior D
05 Sep 2026Eredivisie Willem II 0 - 3 Excelsior W
29 Aug 2026Eredivisie Excelsior 2 - 1 Sparta Rotterdam W
15 Aug 2026Eredivisie Excelsior 1 - 2 PSV Eindhoven L
4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
28 Oct 2026KNVB Beker Excelsior Maassluis 0 - 2 Heerenveen W
24 Oct 2026Eredivisie ADO Den Haag 2 - 3 Heerenveen W
16 Oct 2026Eredivisie Heerenveen 4 - 0 Excelsior W
09 Oct 2026Eredivisie PSV Eindhoven 2 - 0 Heerenveen L
19 Sep 2026Eredivisie Sparta Rotterdam 0 - 4 Heerenveen W
13 Sep 2026Eredivisie Heerenveen 0 - 0 Telstar D
06 Sep 2026Eredivisie Heerenveen 2 - 3 AZ Alkmaar L
30 Aug 2026Eredivisie Willem II 2 - 2 Heerenveen D
22 Aug 2026Eredivisie Heerenveen 0 - 2 PEC Zwolle L
16 Aug 2026Eredivisie Ajax 2 - 2 Heerenveen D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Excelsior Draw Heerenveen

Most likely scores

1-1 11.9%
0-1 8.5%
1-0 8.5%
1-2 8.3%
2-1 8.3%
0-0 6.1%

Expected goals: 1.4 Excelsior · 1.4 Heerenveen

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Both teams score57%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
31%
Form
69%
38%
Attack
63%
63%
Defence
37%
41%
Goal model
59%
62%
Head to head
38%
78%
Goals
22%
52%
Overall
48%

Season numbers

Eredivisie 2025

When the goals come

6
0-15'
2
3
16-30'
6
5
31-45'
8
1
46-60'
8
2
61-75'
6
9
76-90'
11
3
0-15'
4
6
16-30'
9
7
31-45'
7
11
46-60'
7
7
61-75'
6
8
76-90'
11
Excelsior Heerenveen

Side by side

Excelsior Heerenveen
25 Played 25
7 Won 9
5 Drawn 7
13 Lost 9
1 Goals scored per game 1.7
1.7 Goals conceded per game 1.7
1 / 1.1 Scored per game (home / away) 1.8 / 1.5
5 Clean sheets 2
6 Failed to score 5
2 Longest winning run 2
2-1 Biggest win 4-2
0-2 Biggest defeat 0-2
2/2 Penalties scored 3/3

Excelsior vs Heerenveen: preview and prediction

Excelsior host Heerenveen in the Netherlands Eredivisie (Regular Season - 26) on Saturday, 7th March 2026 at 21:00 at Stadion Woudestein, Rotterdam. Excelsior sit 13th in the table and Heerenveen 8th.

Excelsior are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-L-L-W). Heerenveen are flying, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-L-W-W-W).

In the last 7 meetings, Excelsior won 2, Heerenveen won 4 and 1 ended level. These games average 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 29% and over 2.5 goals in 71%.

Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for Excelsior and 1.4 for Heerenveen. It gives Excelsior the edge (37% home win, 25% draw, 37% away win), 53% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away Win at odds of 2.46. We also like Under 3.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Excelsior vs Heerenveen FAQs

What is the best prediction for Excelsior vs Heerenveen?

Our top tip is Away Win: Away Win (2.46 odds).

Who will win Excelsior vs Heerenveen?

It looks very close: our model gives Excelsior 37%, the draw 25% and Heerenveen 37%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 57% chance in our model, and it happened in 29% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.8 goals in total, with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Excelsior vs Heerenveen?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 7th March 2026 at 21:00 at Stadion Woudestein, Rotterdam.

Who is the referee?

D. Makkelie is in charge of this game.