Everton vs Newcastle Prediction, H2H & Stats

England: League Cup · Round of 16
Everton

Everton

WWDLL
Kick-off
20:45
Thu, 29 Oct 2026
Newcastle

Newcastle

LWLLW
Thursday, 29 October 2026
Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool
Farai Hallam

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
10games
5Everton wins
2Draws
3Newcastle wins
2.7Goals per game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
12 Aug 2026Friendlies Clubs Newcastle 1 - 3 Everton
28 Feb 2026Premier League Newcastle 2 - 3 Everton
29 Nov 2025Premier League Everton 1 - 4 Newcastle
25 May 2025Premier League Newcastle 0 - 1 Everton
05 Oct 2024Premier League Everton 0 - 0 Newcastle
02 Apr 2024Premier League Newcastle 1 - 1 Everton
07 Dec 2023Premier League Everton 3 - 0 Newcastle
27 Apr 2023Premier League Everton 1 - 4 Newcastle
19 Oct 2022Premier League Newcastle 1 - 0 Everton
17 Mar 2022Premier League Everton 1 - 0 Newcastle

Top scorers

League Cup
1 H. LeonardPeterborough 4goals 0assists 3apps
2 R. ClearyBarnsley 3goals 1assists 3apps
3 T. BarryEverton 3goals 1assists 2apps
4 C. EvansFleetwood Town 3goals 0assists 4apps
5 V. CastellanosWest Ham 3goals 0assists 3apps
6 D. WelbeckChelsea 3goals 0assists 2apps
7 R. ChristieBournemouth 3goals 0assists 1apps
8 Y. SalechCardiff 3goals 1assists 2apps
9 J. BowenWest Ham 2goals 1assists 3apps
10 J. Strand LarsenCrystal Palace 2goals 1assists 1apps

Recent form

4 W 4 D 2 L in the last 10
24 Oct 2026Premier League Arsenal 2 - 0 Everton L
17 Oct 2026Premier League Everton 0 - 2 Chelsea L
11 Oct 2026Premier League Hull City 2 - 2 Everton D
19 Sep 2026Premier League Everton 1 - 0 Ipswich W
16 Sep 2026League Cup Everton 1 - 0 Wolves W
12 Sep 2026Premier League Tottenham 0 - 0 Everton D
06 Sep 2026Premier League Everton 2 - 2 Manchester United D
29 Aug 2026Premier League Bournemouth 1 - 1 Everton D
26 Aug 2026League Cup Preston 0 - 4 Everton W
22 Aug 2026Premier League Everton 2 - 0 Crystal Palace W
5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
25 Oct 2026Premier League Crystal Palace 0 - 2 Newcastle W
17 Oct 2026Premier League Newcastle 0 - 1 Aston Villa L
12 Oct 2026Premier League Coventry 4 - 1 Newcastle L
19 Sep 2026Premier League Newcastle 2 - 1 Hull City W
14 Sep 2026Premier League Leeds 4 - 1 Newcastle L
08 Sep 2026League Cup Millwall 0 - 1 Newcastle W
05 Sep 2026Premier League Newcastle 2 - 2 Bournemouth D
29 Aug 2026Premier League Tottenham 0 - 2 Newcastle W
26 Aug 2026League Cup Newcastle 3 - 2 West Brom W
23 Aug 2026Premier League Newcastle 2 - 2 Liverpool D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Everton Draw Newcastle

Most likely scores

0-0 13.5%
0-1 13.5%
1-0 13.5%
1-1 13.5%
0-2 6.8%
1-2 6.8%

Expected goals: 1 Everton · 1 Newcastle

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals59%
Over 2.5 goals32%
Over 3.5 goals14%
Both teams score40%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
56%
Attack
44%
100%
Defence
0%
0%
Goal model
0%
71%
Head to head
29%
53%
Goals
47%
57%
Overall
42%

Season numbers

League Cup 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
1
2
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
2
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
1
Everton Newcastle

Side by side

Everton Newcastle
2 Played 2
2 Won 2
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
2.5 Goals scored per game 2
0 Goals conceded per game 1
1 / 4 Scored per game (home / away) 3 / 1
2 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 0
2 Longest winning run 2
1-0 Biggest win 3-2
- Biggest defeat -
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

What comes next

Everton
Newcastle (H) 29 Oct
Newcastle (A) 02 Nov
Coventry (H) 06 Nov
Brentford (A) 23 Nov
Liverpool (H) 29 Nov
Newcastle
Everton (A) 29 Oct
Everton (H) 02 Nov
Fulham (A) 07 Nov
Arsenal (H) 21 Nov
Brighton (A) 29 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Everton 2.15 47% implied
Draw 3.50 29% implied
Newcastle 3.10 32% implied
Everton 1.57 64% implied
Newcastle 2.25 44% implied
Over 0.5 1.04 96% implied
Under 0.5 13.00 8% implied
Over 1.5 1.22 82% implied Our tip
Under 1.5 4.00 25% implied
Over 2.5 1.73 58% implied Our tip
Under 2.5 2.08 48% implied
Over 3.5 2.75 36% implied
Under 3.5 1.40 71% implied
Over 4.5 5.50 18% implied
Under 4.5 1.14 88% implied
Everton/Draw 13.00 8% implied
Everton/Newcastle 26.00 4% implied
Draw/Newcastle 7.50 13% implied
Draw/Draw 5.50 18% implied
Everton/Everton 3.50 29% implied
Draw/Everton 5.50 18% implied
Newcastle/Everton 23.00 4% implied
Newcastle/Draw 13.00 8% implied
Newcastle/Newcastle 5.00 20% implied
Yes 1.62 62% implied Our tip
No 2.20 45% implied
1:1 6.50 15% implied
2:1 9.00 11% implied
1:0 9.50 11% implied
2:0 12.00 8% implied
2:2 12.00 8% implied
0:1 12.00 8% implied
1:2 12.00 8% implied
0:0 13.00 8% implied
Everton/Draw 1.36 74% implied
Everton/Newcastle 1.28 78% implied
Draw/Newcastle 1.67 60% implied
Everton 2.75 36% implied
Draw 2.30 43% implied
Newcastle 3.60 28% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Everton vs Newcastle: preview and prediction

Everton host Newcastle in the England League Cup (Round of 16) on Thursday, 29th October 2026 at 20:45 at Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool.

Everton have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-D-L-L). Newcastle are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-L-W).

In the last 10 meetings, Everton won 5, Newcastle won 3 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 50%.

Our goal model expects about 1 goals for Everton and 1 for Newcastle. It gives Everton the edge (35% home win, 31% draw, 35% away win), 32% for over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-0.

Verdict: our pick is Over 1.5. We also like Over 2.5, BTTS Yes, Correct Score (2-1).

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Everton vs Newcastle FAQs

What is the best prediction for Everton vs Newcastle?

Our top tip is Banker: Over 1.5.

Who will win Everton vs Newcastle?

It looks very close: our model gives Everton 35%, the draw 31% and Newcastle 35%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 40% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2 goals in total, with a 32% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Everton vs Newcastle?

Kick-off is on Thursday, 29th October 2026 at 20:45 at Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool.

Who is the referee?

Farai Hallam is in charge of this game.