Étoile Carouge vs FC Winterthur Prediction, H2H & Stats

Switzerland: Challenge League · Regular Season - 8
Étoile Carouge

Étoile Carouge

7th in table
LLLWD
Full time
0:1
HT 0 - 0
FC Winterthur

FC Winterthur

2nd in table
WLLWW
42' F. Rohner
53' T. Golliard
58' S. Camara
90+4' A. Turkes
Friday, 11 September 2026
Stade de la Fontenette, Carouge
M. Drmic

Head to head

Last 1 meetings
1games
1Étoile Carouge wins
0Draws
0FC Winterthur wins
4Goals per game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
18 Sep 2021Schweizer Cup Étoile Carouge 3 - 1 FC Winterthur

Challenge League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 12840 23:5 +18 28 WDWDW
2 FC Winterthur 12732 26:11 +15 24 WWLWW
3 Yverdon Sport 12642 23:14 +9 22 LWWDL
4 SC Kriens 12444 21:19 +2 16 DLDWD
5 Neuchatel Xamax FC 12516 16:20 -4 16 LDWLW
6 FC Aarau 12435 19:21 -2 15 WLLLD
7 Étoile Carouge 12345 12:17 -5 13 DWLLL
8 Rapperswil 12327 18:25 -7 11 LDLWW
9 FC WIL 1900 12255 18:27 -9 11 LDDWL
10 Stade Nyonnais 12228 12:29 -17 8 WLWLL

Recent form

2 W 3 D 5 L in the last 10
30 Oct 2026Challenge League Étoile Carouge 2 - 2 SC Kriens D
24 Oct 2026Challenge League FC Aarau 1 - 2 Étoile Carouge W
16 Oct 2026Schweizer Cup Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 3 - 0 Étoile Carouge L
09 Oct 2026Challenge League Étoile Carouge 0 - 2 Yverdon Sport L
18 Sep 2026Challenge League SC Kriens 4 - 1 Étoile Carouge L
11 Sep 2026Challenge League Étoile Carouge 0 - 1 FC Winterthur L
04 Sep 2026Challenge League Étoile Carouge 1 - 1 FC WIL 1900 D
01 Sep 2026Challenge League Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 3 - 0 Étoile Carouge L
28 Aug 2026Challenge League Étoile Carouge 2 - 1 Rapperswil W
21 Aug 2026Challenge League Stade Nyonnais 0 - 0 Étoile Carouge D
7 W 1 D 2 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Challenge League FC WIL 1900 0 - 3 FC Winterthur W
23 Oct 2026Challenge League FC Winterthur 4 - 0 Stade Nyonnais W
17 Oct 2026Schweizer Cup FC Winterthur 0 - 1 FC Luzern L
09 Oct 2026Challenge League Neuchatel Xamax FC 3 - 0 FC Winterthur L
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs FC Winterthur 7 - 3 FC Basel 1893 W
30 Sep 2026Friendlies Clubs Seuzach 1 - 4 FC Winterthur W
18 Sep 2026Challenge League FC Winterthur 2 - 1 FC Aarau W
11 Sep 2026Challenge League Étoile Carouge 0 - 1 FC Winterthur W
04 Sep 2026Challenge League FC Winterthur 4 - 0 Neuchatel Xamax FC W
01 Sep 2026Challenge League Stade Nyonnais 2 - 2 FC Winterthur D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Étoile Carouge Draw FC Winterthur
Value spotted: Étoile Carouge win at 2.46 (model 45% vs market 37%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.7%
1-0 12.1%
0-1 9.1%
2-1 8.9%
0-0 8.6%
2-0 8.5%

Expected goals: 1.4 Étoile Carouge · 1.05 FC Winterthur

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals70%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Over 3.5 goals23%
Both teams score49%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
31%
Form
69%
18%
Attack
82%
33%
Defence
67%
57%
Goal model
43%
100%
Head to head
0%
75%
Goals
25%
42%
Overall
57%

Season numbers

Challenge League 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
2
1
16-30'
3
2
31-45'
3
2
46-60'
2
1
61-75'
2
0
76-90'
3
1
0-15'
2
2
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
1
2
61-75'
2
2
76-90'
1
Étoile Carouge FC Winterthur

Side by side

Étoile Carouge FC Winterthur
7 Played 7
2 Won 3
3 Drawn 3
2 Lost 1
1 Goals scored per game 2.3
1 Goals conceded per game 1
1.5 / 0.3 Scored per game (home / away) 3 / 1.3
2 Clean sheets 3
3 Failed to score 1
1 Longest winning run 2
3-0 Biggest win 5-0
0-1 Biggest defeat 2-0
1/2 Penalties scored 4/4

Étoile Carouge vs FC Winterthur: preview and prediction

Étoile Carouge host FC Winterthur in the Switzerland Challenge League (Regular Season - 8) on Friday, 11th September 2026 at 19:15 at Stade de la Fontenette, Carouge. Étoile Carouge sit 7th in the table and FC Winterthur 2nd.

Étoile Carouge are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-L-W-D). FC Winterthur are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-L-W-W).

In the last 1 meetings, Étoile Carouge won 1, FC Winterthur won 0 and 0 ended level. These games average 4 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% and over 2.5 goals in 100%.

Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for Étoile Carouge and 1.05 for FC Winterthur. It gives Étoile Carouge the edge (45% home win, 27% draw, 28% away win), 44% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.43. We also like Under 3.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Étoile Carouge vs FC Winterthur FAQs

What is the best prediction for Étoile Carouge vs FC Winterthur?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.43 odds).

Who will win Étoile Carouge vs FC Winterthur?

Étoile Carouge are favourites: our model gives Étoile Carouge 45%, the draw 27% and FC Winterthur 28%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 49% chance in our model, and it happened in 100% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Étoile Carouge vs FC Winterthur?

Kick-off is on Friday, 11th September 2026 at 19:15 at Stade de la Fontenette, Carouge.

Who is the referee?

M. Drmic is in charge of this game.