Étoile Carouge vs FC Aarau Prediction, H2H & Stats

Switzerland: Challenge League · Regular Season - 1
Étoile Carouge

Étoile Carouge

7th in table
LLLWD
Full time
3:0
HT 0 - 0
FC Aarau

FC Aarau

6th in table
LLWLW
30' I. Strohbach
46' S. Camara
52' S. Camara
59' O. Sene
60' T. Escorza
67' O. Correia
78' R. Guzzo (Own Goal)
Friday, 24 July 2026
Stade de la Fontenette, Carouge
H. Qovanaj

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
3Étoile Carouge wins
1Draws
4FC Aarau wins
3.3Goals per game
75%Both scored
88%Over 2.5
07 Apr 2026Challenge League FC Aarau 1 - 3 Étoile Carouge
06 Mar 2026Challenge League Étoile Carouge 0 - 3 FC Aarau
12 Dec 2025Challenge League FC Aarau 2 - 1 Étoile Carouge
26 Sep 2025Challenge League Étoile Carouge 1 - 3 FC Aarau
16 May 2025Challenge League Étoile Carouge 1 - 3 FC Aarau
28 Mar 2025Challenge League FC Aarau 2 - 2 Étoile Carouge
05 Dec 2024Schweizer Cup FC Aarau 0 - 1 Étoile Carouge
01 Nov 2024Challenge League Étoile Carouge 2 - 1 FC Aarau

Challenge League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 12840 23:5 +18 28 WDWDW
2 FC Winterthur 12732 26:11 +15 24 WWLWW
3 Yverdon Sport 12642 23:14 +9 22 LWWDL
4 SC Kriens 12444 21:19 +2 16 DLDWD
5 Neuchatel Xamax FC 12516 16:20 -4 16 LDWLW
6 FC Aarau 12435 19:21 -2 15 WLLLD
7 Étoile Carouge 12345 12:17 -5 13 DWLLL
8 Rapperswil 12327 18:25 -7 11 LDLWW
9 FC WIL 1900 12255 18:27 -9 11 LDDWL
10 Stade Nyonnais 12228 12:29 -17 8 WLWLL

Recent form

2 W 3 D 5 L in the last 10
30 Oct 2026Challenge League Étoile Carouge 2 - 2 SC Kriens D
24 Oct 2026Challenge League FC Aarau 1 - 2 Étoile Carouge W
16 Oct 2026Schweizer Cup Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 3 - 0 Étoile Carouge L
09 Oct 2026Challenge League Étoile Carouge 0 - 2 Yverdon Sport L
18 Sep 2026Challenge League SC Kriens 4 - 1 Étoile Carouge L
11 Sep 2026Challenge League Étoile Carouge 0 - 1 FC Winterthur L
04 Sep 2026Challenge League Étoile Carouge 1 - 1 FC WIL 1900 D
01 Sep 2026Challenge League Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 3 - 0 Étoile Carouge L
28 Aug 2026Challenge League Étoile Carouge 2 - 1 Rapperswil W
21 Aug 2026Challenge League Stade Nyonnais 0 - 0 Étoile Carouge D
3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
30 Oct 2026Challenge League Neuchatel Xamax FC 1 - 3 FC Aarau W
24 Oct 2026Challenge League FC Aarau 1 - 2 Étoile Carouge L
18 Oct 2026Schweizer Cup FC Aarau 2 - 0 FC Zurich W
09 Oct 2026Challenge League Stade Nyonnais 2 - 1 FC Aarau L
02 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs FC Aarau 1 - 2 BSC Young Boys L
24 Sep 2026Friendlies Clubs Grasshoppers 4 - 1 FC Aarau L
18 Sep 2026Challenge League FC Winterthur 2 - 1 FC Aarau L
12 Sep 2026Challenge League FC Aarau 2 - 2 SC Kriens D
04 Sep 2026Challenge League FC Aarau 3 - 2 Rapperswil W
31 Aug 2026Challenge League FC WIL 1900 2 - 2 FC Aarau D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Étoile Carouge Draw FC Aarau
Value spotted: Étoile Carouge win at 4.84 (model 44% vs market 19%) · Draw at 4.33 (model 27% vs market 21%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.6%
1-0 11.5%
0-1 9%
2-1 8.8%
0-0 8.2%
2-0 8%

Expected goals: 1.4 Étoile Carouge · 1.1 FC Aarau

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams score50%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
0%
Form
0%
0%
Attack
0%
0%
Defence
0%
0%
Goal model
0%
20%
Head to head
80%
33%
Goals
67%
26%
Overall
73%

Étoile Carouge vs FC Aarau: preview and prediction

Étoile Carouge host FC Aarau in the Switzerland Challenge League (Regular Season - 1) on Friday, 24th July 2026 at 19:15 at Stade de la Fontenette, Carouge. Étoile Carouge sit 7th in the table and FC Aarau 6th.

Étoile Carouge are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-L-W-D). FC Aarau are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-L-W).

In the last 8 meetings, Étoile Carouge won 3, FC Aarau won 4 and 1 ended level. These games average 3.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% and over 2.5 goals in 88%.

Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for Étoile Carouge and 1.1 for FC Aarau. It gives Étoile Carouge the edge (44% home win, 27% draw, 30% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away Win at odds of 1.51.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Étoile Carouge vs FC Aarau FAQs

What is the best prediction for Étoile Carouge vs FC Aarau?

Our top tip is Away Win: Away Win (1.51 odds).

Who will win Étoile Carouge vs FC Aarau?

Étoile Carouge are favourites: our model gives Étoile Carouge 44%, the draw 27% and FC Aarau 30%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 50% chance in our model, and it happened in 75% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Étoile Carouge vs FC Aarau?

Kick-off is on Friday, 24th July 2026 at 19:15 at Stade de la Fontenette, Carouge.

Who is the referee?

H. Qovanaj is in charge of this game.