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Estac Troyes vs Marseille Prediction, H2H & Stats

France: Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 6
Estac Troyes

Estac Troyes

16th in table
DLLDW
Full time
0:2
HT 0 - 0
Marseille

Marseille

6th in table
LWLWW
22' Lucas Maronnier
45' Angel Gomes
50' Amine Harit
58' Karim Dermane
88' Antoine Mille
90+6' Patrick Beach
90+8' Himad Abdelli (Penalty)
Sunday, 11 October 2026
Stade de l'Aube, Troyes
Guillaume Paradis, France

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
0Estac Troyes wins
2Draws
7Marseille wins
3.2Goals per game
67%Both scored
56%Over 2.5
16 Apr 2023Ligue 1 Marseille 3 - 1 Estac Troyes
11 Jan 2023Ligue 1 Estac Troyes 0 - 2 Marseille
27 Feb 2022Ligue 1 Estac Troyes 1 - 1 Marseille
28 Nov 2021Ligue 1 Marseille 1 - 0 Estac Troyes
15 Apr 2018Ligue 1 Estac Troyes 2 - 3 Marseille
20 Dec 2017Ligue 1 Marseille 3 - 1 Estac Troyes
14 May 2016Ligue 1 Estac Troyes 1 - 1 Marseille
23 Aug 2015Ligue 1 Marseille 6 - 0 Estac Troyes
03 Mar 2013Ligue 1 Marseille 2 - 1 Estac Troyes

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 9621 21:10 +11 20 WWWWW
2 Lille 9531 12:6 +6 18 WDDWL
3 Lyon 9522 15:7 +8 17 WLWLW
4 Paris FC 9522 16:10 +6 17 WLWLW
5 Rennes 9513 20:19 +1 16 LWLWL
6 Marseille 9504 20:13 +7 15 WWWWL
7 Monaco 9432 12:10 +2 15 LDLDW
8 Nice 9423 13:12 +1 14 WWLWW
9 Lens 9414 16:13 +3 13 LWWWL
10 Stade Brestois 29 9333 16:12 +4 12 WLDWL
11 Lorient 9333 7:8 -1 12 LDWWL
12 Toulouse 9243 12:13 -1 10 LDWDW
13 Strasbourg 9315 17:19 -2 10 WLLLL
14 Auxerre 9315 13:23 -10 10 LDWLW
15 Angers 9225 9:17 -8 8 LDLLW
16 Estac Troyes 9225 7:16 -9 8 WDLLL
17 Le Mans 9144 11:18 -7 7 LDLLW
18 Le Havre 9027 9:20 -11 2 LLLLL

Top scorers

Ligue 1
1 L. SinayokoParis FC 8goals 5assists 9apps
2 E. LepaulRennes 7goals 0assists 7apps
3 C. ArcherAuxerre 6goals 0assists 7apps
4 A. GouiriMarseille 6goals 3assists 9apps
5 E. WahiNice 6goals 2assists 8apps
6 C. TengstedtToulouse 5goals 1assists 7apps
7 Gessime YassineStrasbourg 4goals 3assists 9apps
8 Ferran TorresParis Saint Germain 4goals 1assists 9apps
9 L. AjorqueStade Brestois 29 4goals 1assists 9apps
10 S. SzymańskiRennes 4goals 1assists 7apps

Recent form

2 W 3 D 5 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Estac Troyes 2 - 0 Le Mans W
25 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Toulouse 0 - 0 Estac Troyes D
17 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Estac Troyes 1 - 3 Lens L
11 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Estac Troyes 0 - 2 Marseille L
02 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Dijon 2 - 2 Estac Troyes D
19 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Angers 2 - 0 Estac Troyes L
13 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Lille 2 - 0 Estac Troyes L
06 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Estac Troyes 2 - 6 Strasbourg L
29 Aug 2026Ligue 1 Lorient 1 - 2 Estac Troyes W
22 Aug 2026Ligue 1 Estac Troyes 0 - 0 Paris FC D
4 W 0 D 6 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Ligue 1 Marseille 2 - 0 Toulouse W
25 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Marseille 4 - 3 Le Havre W
22 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League Sturm Graz 1 - 0 Marseille L
18 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Angers 2 - 5 Marseille W
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League Marseille 0 - 1 Olympiakos Piraeus L
11 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Estac Troyes 0 - 2 Marseille W
20 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Marseille 1 - 2 Paris Saint Germain L
17 Sep 2026UEFA Europa League Beşiktaş 4 - 1 Marseille L
11 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Rennes 1 - 0 Marseille L
06 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Marseille 2 - 3 Paris FC L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Estac Troyes Draw Marseille
Value spotted: Marseille win at 1.92 (model 59% vs market 51%)

Most likely scores

1-2 9.6%
1-1 8.7%
0-2 7.7%
1-3 7%
0-1 7%
2-2 6%

Expected goals: 1.25 Estac Troyes · 2.2 Marseille

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Over 3.5 goals45%
Both teams score63%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
57%
Form
43%
36%
Attack
64%
42%
Defence
58%
100%
Goal model
0%
7%
Head to head
93%
29%
Goals
71%
34%
Overall
65%

Season numbers

Ligue 1 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
2
0
61-75'
2
0
76-90'
2
0
0-15'
2
1
16-30'
1
3
31-45'
0
3
46-60'
2
0
61-75'
2
3
76-90'
1
Estac Troyes Marseille

Side by side

Estac Troyes Marseille
5 Played 5
1 Won 1
1 Drawn 0
3 Lost 4
0.8 Goals scored per game 1.4
2.2 Goals conceded per game 1.6
1 / 0.7 Scored per game (home / away) 2.3 / 0
1 Clean sheets 1
3 Failed to score 2
1 Longest winning run 1
1-2 Biggest win 4-0
2-6 Biggest defeat 2-3
1/1 Penalties scored 1/1

Estac Troyes vs Marseille: preview and prediction

Estac Troyes host Marseille in the France Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 6) on Sunday, 11th October 2026 at 19:45 at Stade de l'Aube, Troyes. Estac Troyes sit 16th in the table and Marseille 6th.

Estac Troyes have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-L-D-W). Marseille are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-W-W).

In the last 9 meetings, Estac Troyes won 0, Marseille won 7 and 2 ended level. These games average 3.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% and over 2.5 goals in 56%.

Our goal model expects about 1.25 goals for Estac Troyes and 2.2 for Marseille. It gives Marseille the edge (21% home win, 20% draw, 59% away win), 67% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-2.

Our pick was Home Win at odds of 4.03.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Estac Troyes vs Marseille FAQs

What is the best prediction for Estac Troyes vs Marseille?

Our top tip is Home Win: Home Win (4.03 odds).

Who will win Estac Troyes vs Marseille?

Marseille are favourites: our model gives Estac Troyes 21%, the draw 20% and Marseille 59%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 63% chance in our model, and it happened in 67% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.5 goals in total, with a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Estac Troyes vs Marseille?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 11th October 2026 at 19:45 at Stade de l'Aube, Troyes.

Who is the referee?

Guillaume Paradis, France is in charge of this game.