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Estac Troyes vs Lens Prediction, H2H & Stats

France: Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 7
Estac Troyes

Estac Troyes

16th in table
DLLDW
Full time
1:3
HT 1 - 2
Lens

Lens

9th in table
LWLWL
13' A. Monfray (Own Goal)
26' T. Nkada
45' O. Edouard
55' R. Aguilar
76' Renaud Ripart
76' Michel Diaz
77' Samson Baidoo
82' Amadou Haidara
Saturday, 17 October 2026
Stade de l'Aube, Troyes
H. Ben El Hadj Salem

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
2Estac Troyes wins
1Draws
6Lens wins
2.7Goals per game
44%Both scored
44%Over 2.5
04 Feb 2026Coupe de France Estac Troyes 2 - 4 Lens
28 Jan 2023Ligue 1 Estac Troyes 1 - 1 Lens
09 Sep 2022Ligue 1 Lens 1 - 0 Estac Troyes
14 May 2022Ligue 1 Estac Troyes 1 - 3 Lens
05 Nov 2021Ligue 1 Lens 4 - 0 Estac Troyes
04 Feb 2020Ligue 2 Lens 1 - 0 Estac Troyes
24 Aug 2019Ligue 2 Estac Troyes 2 - 0 Lens
13 Aug 2019Coupe de la Ligue Estac Troyes 1 - 2 Lens
28 Jan 2019Ligue 2 Estac Troyes 1 - 0 Lens

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 9621 21:10 +11 20 WWWWW
2 Lille 9531 12:6 +6 18 WDDWL
3 Lyon 9522 15:7 +8 17 WLWLW
4 Paris FC 9522 16:10 +6 17 WLWLW
5 Rennes 9513 20:19 +1 16 LWLWL
6 Marseille 9504 20:13 +7 15 WWWWL
7 Monaco 9432 12:10 +2 15 LDLDW
8 Nice 9423 13:12 +1 14 WWLWW
9 Lens 9414 16:13 +3 13 LWWWL
10 Stade Brestois 29 9333 16:12 +4 12 WLDWL
11 Lorient 9333 7:8 -1 12 LDWWL
12 Toulouse 9243 12:13 -1 10 LDWDW
13 Strasbourg 9315 17:19 -2 10 WLLLL
14 Auxerre 9315 13:23 -10 10 LDWLW
15 Angers 9225 9:17 -8 8 LDLLW
16 Estac Troyes 9225 7:16 -9 8 WDLLL
17 Le Mans 9144 11:18 -7 7 LDLLW
18 Le Havre 9027 9:20 -11 2 LLLLL

Top scorers

Ligue 1
1 L. SinayokoParis FC 8goals 5assists 9apps
2 E. LepaulRennes 7goals 0assists 7apps
3 C. ArcherAuxerre 6goals 0assists 7apps
4 A. GouiriMarseille 6goals 3assists 9apps
5 E. WahiNice 6goals 2assists 8apps
6 C. TengstedtToulouse 5goals 1assists 7apps
7 Gessime YassineStrasbourg 4goals 3assists 9apps
8 Ferran TorresParis Saint Germain 4goals 1assists 9apps
9 L. AjorqueStade Brestois 29 4goals 1assists 9apps
10 S. SzymańskiRennes 4goals 1assists 7apps

Recent form

2 W 3 D 5 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Estac Troyes 2 - 0 Le Mans W
25 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Toulouse 0 - 0 Estac Troyes D
17 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Estac Troyes 1 - 3 Lens L
11 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Estac Troyes 0 - 2 Marseille L
02 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Dijon 2 - 2 Estac Troyes D
19 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Angers 2 - 0 Estac Troyes L
13 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Lille 2 - 0 Estac Troyes L
06 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Estac Troyes 2 - 6 Strasbourg L
29 Aug 2026Ligue 1 Lorient 1 - 2 Estac Troyes W
22 Aug 2026Ligue 1 Estac Troyes 0 - 0 Paris FC D
5 W 1 D 4 L in the last 10
30 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Lille 1 - 0 Lens L
24 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Lens 2 - 1 Paris FC W
21 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Club Brugge KV 3 - 0 Lens L
17 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Estac Troyes 1 - 3 Lens W
13 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Lens 0 - 2 Sporting CP L
09 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Lens 2 - 1 Lyon W
02 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Standard Liege 0 - 2 Lens W
18 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Monaco 2 - 1 Lens L
13 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Le Mans 2 - 2 Lens D
10 Sep 2026UEFA Champions League Slavia Praha 2 - 3 Lens W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Estac Troyes Draw Lens

Most likely scores

1-1 9.5%
1-2 9.5%
0-1 7%
0-2 7%
2-1 6.4%
2-2 6.4%

Expected goals: 1.35 Estac Troyes · 2 Lens

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals65%
Over 3.5 goals43%
Both teams score64%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
43%
Form
57%
40%
Attack
60%
38%
Defence
62%
23%
Goal model
77%
7%
Head to head
93%
24%
Goals
76%
29%
Overall
70%

Season numbers

Ligue 1 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
3
0
46-60'
4
0
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
3
0
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
3
31-45'
3
4
46-60'
2
0
61-75'
2
3
76-90'
2
Estac Troyes Lens

Side by side

Estac Troyes Lens
6 Played 6
1 Won 2
1 Drawn 1
4 Lost 3
0.7 Goals scored per game 1.8
2.2 Goals conceded per game 1.7
0.7 / 0.7 Scored per game (home / away) 2.3 / 1.3
1 Clean sheets 0
4 Failed to score 1
1 Longest winning run 1
1-2 Biggest win 5-2
2-6 Biggest defeat 0-1
1/1 Penalties scored 3/3

Estac Troyes vs Lens: preview and prediction

Estac Troyes host Lens in the France Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 7) on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 19:45 at Stade de l'Aube, Troyes. Estac Troyes sit 16th in the table and Lens 9th.

Estac Troyes have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-L-D-W). Lens are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-W-L).

In the last 9 meetings, Estac Troyes won 2, Lens won 6 and 1 ended level. These games average 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 44% and over 2.5 goals in 44%.

Our goal model expects about 1.35 goals for Estac Troyes and 2 for Lens. It gives Lens the edge (26% home win, 22% draw, 52% away win), 65% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away +0.25.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Estac Troyes vs Lens FAQs

What is the best prediction for Estac Troyes vs Lens?

Our top tip is Handicap: Away +0.25.

Who will win Estac Troyes vs Lens?

Lens are favourites: our model gives Estac Troyes 26%, the draw 22% and Lens 52%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 64% chance in our model, and it happened in 44% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.4 goals in total, with a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Estac Troyes vs Lens?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 19:45 at Stade de l'Aube, Troyes.

Who is the referee?

H. Ben El Hadj Salem is in charge of this game.