Erzgebirge Aue vs 1899 Hoffenheim Prediction, H2H & Stats

Germany: DFB Pokal · Round of 64
Full time
0:4
HT 0 - 3
6' P. Wimmer
17' W. Burger
42' Maxim Burghardt
45' P. Wimmer
63' M. Moerstedt
Saturday, 22 August 2026
Erzgebirgsstadion, Aue
K. Oldhafer

Top scorers

DFB Pokal
1 P. TietzFSV Mainz 05 4goals 0assists 2apps
2 I. MatanovićSC Freiburg 3goals 1assists 2apps
3 D. PejčinovićVfB Stuttgart 3goals 0assists 2apps
4 Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson1. FC Köln 3goals 0assists 2apps
5 M. Żukowski1. FC Magdeburg 3goals 0assists 2apps
6 L. GindorfHannover 96 3goals 0assists 1apps
7 M. OliseBayern München 3goals 1assists 2apps
8 N. FüllkrugWerder Bremen 3goals 0assists 2apps
9 N. AmiriFSV Mainz 05 2goals 2assists 1apps
10 M. LjubičićUnion Berlin 2goals 1assists 2apps

Recent form

5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Regionalliga - Nordost Erzgebirge Aue 1 - 0 FC Carl Zeiss Jena W
24 Oct 2026Regionalliga - Nordost FSV Zwickau 0 - 3 Erzgebirge Aue W
18 Oct 2026Regionalliga - Nordost Erzgebirge Aue 0 - 1 Hallescher FC L
11 Oct 2026Regionalliga - Nordost Greifswalder FC 1 - 0 Erzgebirge Aue L
27 Sep 2026Regionalliga - Nordost Erzgebirge Aue 1 - 2 BSG Chemie Leipzig L
19 Sep 2026Regionalliga - Nordost FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 2 - 2 Erzgebirge Aue D
16 Sep 2026Regionalliga - Nordost Magdeburg II 1 - 2 Erzgebirge Aue W
12 Sep 2026Regionalliga - Nordost Erzgebirge Aue 2 - 1 Luckenwalde W
30 Aug 2026Regionalliga - Nordost Lokomotive Leipzig 1 - 2 Erzgebirge Aue W
26 Aug 2026Regionalliga - Nordost Erzgebirge Aue 0 - 0 Hertha BSC II D
4 W 1 D 5 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Bundesliga Werder Bremen 2 - 0 1899 Hoffenheim L
28 Oct 2026DFB Pokal Holstein Kiel 1 - 1 1899 Hoffenheim D
25 Oct 2026Bundesliga 1899 Hoffenheim 3 - 0 Bayer Leverkusen W
22 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League 1899 Hoffenheim 3 - 0 Lyon W
18 Oct 2026Bundesliga Borussia Mönchengladbach 1 - 2 1899 Hoffenheim W
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League 1899 Hoffenheim 2 - 3 Beşiktaş L
10 Oct 2026Bundesliga 1899 Hoffenheim 2 - 3 Hamburger SV L
20 Sep 2026Bundesliga SC Paderborn 07 3 - 1 1899 Hoffenheim L
17 Sep 2026UEFA Europa League OFI 2 - 0 1899 Hoffenheim L
12 Sep 2026Bundesliga 1899 Hoffenheim 2 - 1 VfB Stuttgart W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Erzgebirge Aue Draw 1899 Hoffenheim
Value spotted: Erzgebirge Aue win at 23.00 (model 44% vs market 4%) · Draw at 10.50 (model 27% vs market 9%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.6%
1-0 11.5%
0-1 9%
2-1 8.8%
0-0 8.2%
2-0 8%

Expected goals: 1.4 Erzgebirge Aue · 1.1 1899 Hoffenheim

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams score50%

Team comparison

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Erzgebirge Aue vs 1899 Hoffenheim: preview and prediction

Erzgebirge Aue host 1899 Hoffenheim in the Germany DFB Pokal (Round of 64) on Saturday, 22nd August 2026 at 14:30 at Erzgebirgsstadion, Aue.

Erzgebirge Aue are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-L-W-W). 1899 Hoffenheim are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-W-D-L).

Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for Erzgebirge Aue and 1.1 for 1899 Hoffenheim. It gives Erzgebirge Aue the edge (44% home win, 27% draw, 30% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 7.30. We also like BTTS Yes, Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Erzgebirge Aue vs 1899 Hoffenheim FAQs

What is the best prediction for Erzgebirge Aue vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (7.30 odds).

Who will win Erzgebirge Aue vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

Erzgebirge Aue are favourites: our model gives Erzgebirge Aue 44%, the draw 27% and 1899 Hoffenheim 30%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 50% chance in our model.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Erzgebirge Aue vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 22nd August 2026 at 14:30 at Erzgebirgsstadion, Aue.

Who is the referee?

K. Oldhafer is in charge of this game.