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El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising Prediction, H2H & Stats

USA: USL Championship · Group Stage
El Paso Locomotive

El Paso Locomotive

3rd in table
DLWLL
Full time
1:1
HT 0 - 0
Phoenix Rising

Phoenix Rising

8th in table
LLWWD
12' G. Rivera
26' L. Biasi
35' JP Scearce
46' A. Mendez
59' A. Quezada
67' E. Calvillo
70' JP Scearce
Sunday, 14 June 2026
Southwest University Park
B. Stevis

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
0El Paso Locomotive wins
5Draws
3Phoenix Rising wins
3.8Goals per game
63%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
02 Nov 2025USL Championship El Paso Locomotive 0 - 1 Phoenix Rising
31 Aug 2025USL Championship Phoenix Rising 3 - 3 El Paso Locomotive
20 Jul 2025USL League One Cup El Paso Locomotive 2 - 2 Phoenix Rising
16 Mar 2025USL Championship El Paso Locomotive 4 - 4 Phoenix Rising
20 Jul 2024USL Championship Phoenix Rising 2 - 0 El Paso Locomotive
16 Jun 2024USL Championship El Paso Locomotive 1 - 1 Phoenix Rising
24 Sep 2023USL Championship El Paso Locomotive 1 - 1 Phoenix Rising
13 Aug 2023USL Championship Phoenix Rising 5 - 0 El Paso Locomotive

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 New Mexico United 301578 45:34 +11 52 WLWWL
2 Sacramento Republic 3013125 42:28 +14 51 WWDDW
3 El Paso Locomotive 3015510 48:38 +10 50 LLWLD
4 Lexington 3014610 57:39 +18 48 DWDWW
5 Colorado Springs 301389 44:38 +6 47 WWDDD
6 San Antonio 3011127 32:30 +2 45 WWDLD
7 FC Tulsa 3011109 34:31 +3 43 LLDDW
8 Phoenix Rising 30101010 45:46 -1 40 DWWLL
9 Orange County SC 3010911 39:49 -10 39 LLLLW
10 Oakland Roots 3091110 39:40 -1 38 LWDDW
11 Las Vegas Lights 3010614 41:48 -7 36 LLLWL
12 Monterey Bay 306618 32:52 -20 24 WLLWL

Top scorers

USL Championship
1 J. LocadiaMiami FC 6goals 0assists 14apps
2 A. MéndezEl Paso Locomotive 2goals 1assists 4apps
3 Pedro SantosLoudoun United 0goals 0assists 5apps
4 J. SoñoraMiami FC 0goals 0assists 2apps
5 Mattheus OliveiraTampa Bay Rowdies 0goals 0assists 2apps

Recent form

6 W 1 D 3 L in the last 10
25 Oct 2026USL Championship El Paso Locomotive 0 - 1 New Mexico United L
18 Oct 2026USL Championship El Paso Locomotive 0 - 1 Sacramento Republic L
11 Oct 2026USL Championship El Paso Locomotive 2 - 1 Orange County SC W
03 Oct 2026USL Championship Lexington 3 - 1 El Paso Locomotive L
26 Sep 2026USL Championship El Paso Locomotive 1 - 1 FC Tulsa D
20 Sep 2026USL Championship Phoenix Rising 1 - 3 El Paso Locomotive W
12 Sep 2026USL Championship Louisville City 1 - 2 El Paso Locomotive W
30 Aug 2026USL Championship El Paso Locomotive 4 - 1 Loudoun United W
27 Aug 2026USL Championship El Paso Locomotive 2 - 1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds W
23 Aug 2026USL Championship Colorado Springs 0 - 1 El Paso Locomotive W
4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
25 Oct 2026USL Championship Phoenix Rising 3 - 3 Lexington D
18 Oct 2026USL Championship Orange County SC 1 - 3 Phoenix Rising W
11 Oct 2026USL Championship Phoenix Rising 3 - 2 Las Vegas Lights W
04 Oct 2026USL Championship New Mexico United 2 - 1 Phoenix Rising L
27 Sep 2026USL Championship Oakland Roots 3 - 0 Phoenix Rising L
20 Sep 2026USL Championship Phoenix Rising 1 - 3 El Paso Locomotive L
13 Sep 2026USL Championship Phoenix Rising 2 - 1 FC Tulsa W
06 Sep 2026USL Championship Monterey Bay 1 - 1 Phoenix Rising D
30 Aug 2026USL Championship Phoenix Rising 2 - 1 Indy Eleven W
23 Aug 2026USL Championship Sacramento Republic 2 - 2 Phoenix Rising D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
El Paso Locomotive Draw Phoenix Rising
Value spotted: Phoenix Rising win at 3.76 (model 48% vs market 24%)

Most likely scores

1-1 8.9%
1-2 8.9%
2-1 6.9%
2-2 6.9%
1-3 5.9%
0-1 5.7%

Expected goals: 1.55 El Paso Locomotive · 2 Phoenix Rising

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals69%
Over 3.5 goals47%
Both teams score68%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
22%
Form
78%
60%
Attack
40%
32%
Defence
68%
38%
Goal model
62%
25%
Head to head
75%
43%
Goals
57%
36%
Overall
63%

Season numbers

USL Championship 2026

When the goals come

5
0-15'
2
4
16-30'
0
5
31-45'
3
6
46-60'
2
1
61-75'
3
2
76-90'
5
2
0-15'
3
3
16-30'
2
4
31-45'
4
3
46-60'
3
3
61-75'
1
5
76-90'
1
El Paso Locomotive Phoenix Rising

Side by side

El Paso Locomotive Phoenix Rising
11 Played 12
4 Won 4
3 Drawn 4
4 Lost 4
2 Goals scored per game 1.3
1.9 Goals conceded per game 1.2
1.8 / 2.2 Scored per game (home / away) 1.5 / 1
2 Clean sheets 4
0 Failed to score 3
4 Longest winning run 3
3-2 Biggest win 3-0
1-4 Biggest defeat 0-2
4/4 Penalties scored 5/5

El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising: preview and prediction

El Paso Locomotive host Phoenix Rising in the USA USL Championship (Group Stage) on Sunday, 14th June 2026 at 02:00 at Southwest University Park. El Paso Locomotive sit 3rd in the table and Phoenix Rising 8th.

El Paso Locomotive are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-W-L-L). Phoenix Rising have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-W-D).

In the last 8 meetings, El Paso Locomotive won 0, Phoenix Rising won 3 and 5 ended level. These games average 3.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 63% and over 2.5 goals in 50%.

Our goal model expects about 1.55 goals for El Paso Locomotive and 2 for Phoenix Rising. It gives Phoenix Rising the edge (30% home win, 22% draw, 48% away win), 69% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.85. We also like BTTS Yes, Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising FAQs

What is the best prediction for El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.85 odds).

Who will win El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising?

Phoenix Rising are favourites: our model gives El Paso Locomotive 30%, the draw 22% and Phoenix Rising 48%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 68% chance in our model, and it happened in 63% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.6 goals in total, with a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 14th June 2026 at 02:00 at Southwest University Park.

Who is the referee?

B. Stevis is in charge of this game.