Dunfermline vs Arbroath Prediction, H2H & Stats
Scotland: Premiership
· Quarter-finals Head to head
Last 7 meetings
0 - 0
Arbroath
4 - 2
Dunfermline
1 - 2
Arbroath
0 - 5
Dunfermline
2 - 3
Dunfermline
1 - 1
Arbroath
1 - 1
Dunfermline
Premiership table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Heart Of Midlothian |
33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 58:28 | +30 | 70 |
| 2 |  Rangers |
33 | 19 | 12 | 2 | 66:31 | +35 | 69 |
| 3 |  Celtic |
33 | 21 | 4 | 8 | 59:35 | +24 | 67 |
| 4 |  Motherwell |
33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 52:29 | +23 | 54 |
| 5 |  Hibernian |
33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 51:37 | +14 | 51 |
| 6 |  Falkirk |
33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 45:48 | -3 | 46 |
| 7 |  Dundee Utd |
33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 45:54 | -9 | 40 |
| 8 |  Aberdeen |
33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 33:48 | -15 | 33 |
| 9 |  Dundee |
33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 34:53 | -19 | 33 |
| 10 |  ST Mirren |
33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 27:48 | -21 | 30 |
| 11 |  Kilmarnock |
33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 37:65 | -28 | 28 |
| 12 |  Livingston |
33 | 1 | 13 | 19 | 35:66 | -31 | 16 |
Top scorers
Premiership
Tawanda Jethro MaswanhiseMotherwell
17goals
B. NygrenCeltic
16goals
L. ShanklandHeart Of Midlothian
16goals
Youssef ChermitiRangers
15goals
D. MaedaCeltic
14goals
Cláudio BragaHeart Of Midlothian
14goals
Z. SapsfordDundee Utd
9goals
K. NisbetAberdeen
9goals
M. EmmanuelMotherwell
8goals
K. BowieHibernian
8goals
Recent form
2 - 4
Dunfermline
W
5 - 1
Inverness CT
W
0 - 1
Dunfermline
W
0 - 1
Dunfermline
W
1 - 1
Partick
D
0 - 0
Livingston
D
1 - 1
Dunfermline
D
1 - 4
Aberdeen
L
0 - 1
Dunfermline
W
2 - 0
Queen's Park
W
1 - 0
Queen of the South
W
0 - 4
Raith Rovers
L
1 - 0
Arbroath
L
2 - 0
Arbroath
L
1 - 2
Morton
L
3 - 0
Arbroath
L
2 - 1
Queen's Park
W
1 - 0
Arbroath
L
4 - 0
Arbroath
L
1 - 1
Dunfermline
D
Who wins? Three ways to read it
1 · X · 2Most likely scores
Expected goals: 1.4 Dunfermline · 1.1 Arbroath
Goal lines
Team comparison
Dunfermline vs Arbroath: preview and prediction
Dunfermline host Arbroath in the Scotland Premiership (Quarter-finals) on Tuesday, 5th May 2026 at 19:45 at East End Park, Dunfermline.
Dunfermline are flying, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (D-W-W-W-W). Arbroath are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-L-L-W).
In the last 7 meetings, Dunfermline won 2, Arbroath won 2 and 3 ended level. These games average 3.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 71% and over 2.5 goals in 57%.
Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for Dunfermline and 1.1 for Arbroath. It gives Dunfermline the edge (44% home win, 27% draw, 30% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.
Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.33. We also like Under 2.5, BTTS No.
Dunfermline vs Arbroath FAQs
What is the best prediction for Dunfermline vs Arbroath?
Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.33 odds).
Who will win Dunfermline vs Arbroath?
Dunfermline are favourites: our model gives Dunfermline 44%, the draw 27% and Arbroath 30%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams scoring has a 50% chance in our model, and it happened in 71% of recent meetings.
How many goals are expected?
Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals.
When is Dunfermline vs Arbroath?
Kick-off is on Tuesday, 5th May 2026 at 19:45 at East End Park, Dunfermline.
Who is the referee?
R. Lee is in charge of this game.