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Dundee vs Aberdeen Prediction, H2H & Stats

Scotland: Premiership · Relegation Group - 38
Dundee

Dundee

9th in table
WWDLW
Full time
3:2
HT 1 - 2
Aberdeen

Aberdeen

8th in table
LWLLL
10' D. Wright
23' L. Morrison
45' T. Olusanya
61' J. Westley
90' R. Astley
Sunday, 17 May 2026
Dens Park, Dundee
R. Hardie

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7games
1Dundee wins
1Draws
5Aberdeen wins
3.4Goals per game
71%Both scored
86%Over 2.5
21 Feb 2026Premiership Aberdeen 2 - 3 Dundee
06 Dec 2025Premiership Dundee 1 - 3 Aberdeen
05 Oct 2025Premiership Aberdeen 4 - 0 Dundee
15 Feb 2025Premiership Dundee 1 - 2 Aberdeen
09 Nov 2024Premiership Aberdeen 4 - 1 Dundee
28 Sep 2024Premiership Dundee 1 - 2 Aberdeen
13 Apr 2024Premiership Aberdeen 0 - 0 Dundee

Premiership table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Heart Of Midlothian 332175 58:28 +30 70 LWDWW
2 Rangers 3319122 66:31 +35 69 WLLLL
3 Celtic 332148 59:35 +24 67 WWWWW
4 Motherwell 3314127 52:29 +23 54 WLDLW
5 Hibernian 3313128 51:37 +14 51 LWWLL
6 Falkirk 3313713 45:48 -3 46 LLLWL
7 Dundee Utd 3391311 45:54 -9 40 DDLLW
8 Aberdeen 339618 33:48 -15 33 LLWDW
9 Dundee 338916 34:53 -19 33 WLWWL
10 ST Mirren 337917 27:48 -21 30 WDDWL
11 Kilmarnock 3361017 37:65 -28 28 WWWWL
12 Livingston 3311319 35:66 -31 16 LDLDW

Top scorers

Premiership
1 Tawanda Jethro MaswanhiseMotherwell 17goals 2assists 35apps
2 B. NygrenCeltic 16goals 5assists 38apps
3 L. ShanklandHeart Of Midlothian 16goals 3assists 29apps
4 Youssef ChermitiRangers 15goals 5assists 30apps
5 D. MaedaCeltic 14goals 6assists 36apps
6 Cláudio BragaHeart Of Midlothian 14goals 3assists 38apps
7 Z. SapsfordDundee Utd 9goals 2assists 38apps
8 K. NisbetAberdeen 9goals 1assists 35apps
9 M. EmmanuelMotherwell 8goals 4assists 36apps
10 K. BowieHibernian 8goals 3assists 22apps

Recent form

4 W 2 D 4 L in the last 10
28 Oct 2026Premiership Dundee 3 - 1 Kilmarnock W
24 Oct 2026Premiership ST Mirren 2 - 1 Dundee L
17 Oct 2026Premiership Dundee 2 - 2 Rangers D
10 Oct 2026Premiership Falkirk 1 - 2 Dundee W
19 Sep 2026Premiership Dundee 2 - 1 Motherwell W
06 Sep 2026Premiership Heart Of Midlothian 2 - 1 Dundee L
02 Sep 2026Premiership Dundee 1 - 1 ST Johnstone D
30 Aug 2026Premiership Dundee 1 - 2 Hibernian L
22 Aug 2026Premiership Dundee Utd 0 - 2 Dundee W
15 Aug 2026League Cup Aberdeen 3 - 0 Dundee L
3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026League Cup Rangers 1 - 0 Aberdeen L
28 Oct 2026Premiership Aberdeen 0 - 1 Falkirk L
24 Oct 2026Premiership Dundee Utd 3 - 2 Aberdeen L
17 Oct 2026Premiership Aberdeen 3 - 1 ST Mirren W
11 Oct 2026Premiership Aberdeen 0 - 1 ST Johnstone L
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Dunfermline 1 - 4 Aberdeen W
19 Sep 2026Premiership Hibernian 1 - 1 Aberdeen D
15 Sep 2026Premiership Motherwell 0 - 4 Aberdeen W
12 Sep 2026League Cup Kilmarnock 1 - 1 Aberdeen D
05 Sep 2026Premiership Aberdeen 0 - 0 Kilmarnock D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Dundee Draw Aberdeen
Value spotted: Dundee win at 2.42 (model 51% vs market 39%)

Most likely scores

1-0 11.9%
1-1 11.9%
2-0 9.5%
2-1 9.5%
0-0 7.4%
0-1 7.4%

Expected goals: 1.6 Dundee · 1 Aberdeen

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Both teams score50%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
41%
Form
59%
50%
Attack
50%
33%
Defence
67%
70%
Goal model
30%
20%
Head to head
80%
29%
Goals
71%
40%
Overall
59%

Season numbers

Premiership 2025

When the goals come

6
0-15'
4
4
16-30'
9
8
31-45'
4
6
46-60'
2
5
61-75'
9
8
76-90'
11
10
0-15'
4
10
16-30'
7
9
31-45'
10
5
46-60'
8
7
61-75'
8
20
76-90'
14
Dundee Aberdeen

Side by side

Dundee Aberdeen
37 Played 37
10 Won 11
9 Drawn 7
18 Lost 19
1.1 Goals scored per game 1
1.6 Goals conceded per game 1.4
1.6 / 0.6 Scored per game (home / away) 1.5 / 0.6
7 Clean sheets 10
15 Failed to score 16
3 Longest winning run 2
3-0 Biggest win 6-2
0-3 Biggest defeat 0-2
4/4 Penalties scored 4/4

Dundee vs Aberdeen: preview and prediction

Dundee host Aberdeen in the Scotland Premiership (Relegation Group - 38) on Sunday, 17th May 2026 at 14:00 at Dens Park, Dundee. Dundee sit 9th in the table and Aberdeen 8th.

Dundee are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-D-L-W). Aberdeen are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-L-L).

In the last 7 meetings, Dundee won 1, Aberdeen won 5 and 1 ended level. These games average 3.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 71% and over 2.5 goals in 86%.

Our goal model expects about 1.6 goals for Dundee and 1 for Aberdeen. It gives Dundee the edge (51% home win, 25% draw, 24% away win), 48% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Over 1.5. We also like Over 2.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Dundee vs Aberdeen FAQs

What is the best prediction for Dundee vs Aberdeen?

Our top tip is Tip of the Day: Over 1.5.

Who will win Dundee vs Aberdeen?

Dundee are favourites: our model gives Dundee 51%, the draw 25% and Aberdeen 24%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 50% chance in our model, and it happened in 71% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.6 goals in total, with a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Dundee vs Aberdeen?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 17th May 2026 at 14:00 at Dens Park, Dundee.

Who is the referee?

R. Hardie is in charge of this game.