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Dundalk vs Derry City Prediction, H2H & Stats

Ireland: Premier Division · Regular Season - 19
Dundalk

Dundalk

6th in table
LLDLW
Full time
2:1
HT 1 - 0
Derry City

Derry City

5th in table
WLWWD
20' D. Horgan
39' Josh Thomas
45+1' Brandon Fleming
59' C. Dummigan
60' G. Arubi
73' Aodh Dervin
76' James Olayinka
90+7' Bobby Burns
90+5' Patrick McClean
Friday, 29 May 2026
Oriel Park, Dundalk
O. Moran

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7games
0Dundalk wins
4Draws
3Derry City wins
3Goals per game
71%Both scored
57%Over 2.5
10 Apr 2026Premier Division Dundalk 2 - 2 Derry City
13 Feb 2026Premier Division Derry City 2 - 2 Dundalk
18 Oct 2024Premier Division Dundalk 0 - 2 Derry City
09 Aug 2024Premier Division Derry City 1 - 1 Dundalk
31 May 2024Premier Division Dundalk 0 - 0 Derry City
05 Apr 2024Premier Division Derry City 4 - 1 Dundalk
01 Sep 2023Premier Division Dundalk 1 - 3 Derry City

Premier Division table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Shamrock Rovers 362088 59:38 +21 68 LWLWW
2 Bohemians 361989 63:44 +19 65 WLWLW
3 St Patrick's Athl. 3617910 55:31 +24 60 LDLLW
4 Shelbourne 36121311 52:50 +2 49 LWWWD
5 Derry City 36111510 50:47 +3 48 DWWLW
6 Dundalk 36111213 55:59 -4 45 WLDLL
7 Waterford 36101313 54:61 -7 43 WWWLL
8 Galway United 36101214 46:53 -7 42 LDLWD
9 Drogheda United 36101016 44:57 -13 40 WLWLL
10 Sligo Rovers 3651021 28:66 -38 25 DLDLL

Top scorers

Premier Division
1 T. LonerganWaterford 16goals 7assists 34apps
2 P. AmondWaterford 14goals 1assists 36apps
3 C. WhelanBohemians 13goals 6assists 36apps
4 D. HorganDundalk 12goals 10assists 35apps
5 R. TierneyBohemians 11goals 3assists 35apps
6 M. DuffyDerry City 11goals 5assists 27apps
7 J. McGovernShamrock Rovers 10goals 7assists 31apps
8 R. EdmondsonSt Patrick's Athl. 10goals 1assists 36apps
9 M. DoyleDrogheda United 10goals 1assists 34apps
10 A. KeenaSt Patrick's Athl. 10goals 5assists 31apps

Recent form

2 W 2 D 6 L in the last 10
30 Oct 2026Premier Division Dundalk 3 - 1 Shamrock Rovers W
23 Oct 2026Premier Division Derry City 2 - 1 Dundalk L
17 Oct 2026Premier Division Sligo Rovers 1 - 1 Dundalk D
02 Oct 2026Premier Division Dundalk 1 - 2 Bohemians L
18 Sep 2026Premier Division Dundalk 2 - 3 Shelbourne L
14 Sep 2026Premier Division Dundalk 0 - 4 St Patrick's Athl. L
11 Sep 2026Premier Division Waterford 1 - 1 Dundalk D
06 Sep 2026FAI Cup Derry City 4 - 2 Dundalk L
28 Aug 2026Premier Division Drogheda United 2 - 3 Dundalk W
21 Aug 2026Premier Division Dundalk 1 - 2 Galway United L
6 W 3 D 1 L in the last 10
30 Oct 2026Premier Division Sligo Rovers 2 - 2 Derry City D
23 Oct 2026Premier Division Derry City 2 - 1 Dundalk W
19 Oct 2026Premier Division Derry City 1 - 0 St Patrick's Athl. W
16 Oct 2026Premier Division Drogheda United 2 - 0 Derry City L
10 Oct 2026FAI Cup Galway United 0 - 2 Derry City W
18 Sep 2026Premier Division Derry City 1 - 0 Galway United W
14 Sep 2026Premier Division Waterford 2 - 2 Derry City D
11 Sep 2026Premier Division Shelbourne 0 - 1 Derry City W
06 Sep 2026FAI Cup Derry City 4 - 2 Dundalk W
30 Aug 2026Premier Division Derry City 3 - 3 Shamrock Rovers D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Dundalk Draw Derry City
Value spotted: Dundalk win at 2.28 (model 49% vs market 41%)

Most likely scores

1-0 13.2%
1-1 12.5%
2-0 9.5%
0-0 9.1%
2-1 9.1%
0-1 8.6%

Expected goals: 1.45 Dundalk · 0.95 Derry City

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals69%
Over 2.5 goals43%
Over 3.5 goals22%
Both teams score47%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
56%
Form
44%
70%
Attack
30%
31%
Defence
69%
65%
Goal model
35%
36%
Head to head
64%
42%
Goals
58%
50%
Overall
50%

Season numbers

Premier Division 2026

When the goals come

4
0-15'
3
5
16-30'
3
4
31-45'
3
1
46-60'
3
1
61-75'
3
12
76-90'
7
3
0-15'
1
4
16-30'
4
2
31-45'
2
10
46-60'
5
3
61-75'
4
7
76-90'
4
Dundalk Derry City

Side by side

Dundalk Derry City
18 Played 19
6 Won 4
8 Drawn 10
4 Lost 5
1.6 Goals scored per game 1.1
1.5 Goals conceded per game 1.1
1.8 / 1.4 Scored per game (home / away) 1.3 / 0.9
4 Clean sheets 5
2 Failed to score 7
2 Longest winning run 2
5-0 Biggest win 4-2
1-3 Biggest defeat 1-2
2/2 Penalties scored 2/2

Dundalk vs Derry City: preview and prediction

Dundalk host Derry City in the Ireland Premier Division (Regular Season - 19) on Friday, 29th May 2026 at 19:45 at Oriel Park, Dundalk. Dundalk sit 6th in the table and Derry City 5th.

Dundalk are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-D-L-W). Derry City are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-L-W-W-D).

In the last 7 meetings, Dundalk won 0, Derry City won 3 and 4 ended level. These games average 3 goals, with both teams scoring in 71% and over 2.5 goals in 57%.

Our goal model expects about 1.45 goals for Dundalk and 0.95 for Derry City. It gives Dundalk the edge (49% home win, 27% draw, 25% away win), 43% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.38.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Dundalk vs Derry City FAQs

What is the best prediction for Dundalk vs Derry City?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.38 odds).

Who will win Dundalk vs Derry City?

Dundalk are favourites: our model gives Dundalk 49%, the draw 27% and Derry City 25%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 47% chance in our model, and it happened in 71% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.4 goals in total, with a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Dundalk vs Derry City?

Kick-off is on Friday, 29th May 2026 at 19:45 at Oriel Park, Dundalk.

Who is the referee?

O. Moran is in charge of this game.