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Derry City vs Galway United Prediction, H2H & Stats

Ireland: Premier Division · Regular Season - 15
Derry City

Derry City

5th in table
WLWWD
Full time
1:1
HT 0 - 1
Galway United

Galway United

8th in table
LWLDL
44' J. Clarke (Own Goal)
73' Barry Cotter
85' Wasiri Ola Williams
87' Axel Piesold
90' K. Santos
Monday, 4 May 2026
The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Derry
A. Patchell

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
6games
2Derry City wins
2Draws
2Galway United wins
2.7Goals per game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
03 Apr 2026Premier Division Galway United 2 - 1 Derry City
22 Aug 2025Premier Division Galway United 1 - 2 Derry City
13 Jun 2025Premier Division Derry City 1 - 1 Galway United
18 Apr 2025Premier Division Galway United 2 - 3 Derry City
07 Mar 2025Premier Division Derry City 1 - 1 Galway United
30 Aug 2024Premier Division Galway United 1 - 0 Derry City

Premier Division table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Shamrock Rovers 362088 59:38 +21 68 LWLWW
2 Bohemians 361989 63:44 +19 65 WLWLW
3 St Patrick's Athl. 3617910 55:31 +24 60 LDLLW
4 Shelbourne 36121311 52:50 +2 49 LWWWD
5 Derry City 36111510 50:47 +3 48 DWWLW
6 Dundalk 36111213 55:59 -4 45 WLDLL
7 Waterford 36101313 54:61 -7 43 WWWLL
8 Galway United 36101214 46:53 -7 42 LDLWD
9 Drogheda United 36101016 44:57 -13 40 WLWLL
10 Sligo Rovers 3651021 28:66 -38 25 DLDLL

Top scorers

Premier Division
1 T. LonerganWaterford 16goals 7assists 34apps
2 P. AmondWaterford 14goals 1assists 36apps
3 C. WhelanBohemians 13goals 6assists 36apps
4 D. HorganDundalk 12goals 10assists 35apps
5 R. TierneyBohemians 11goals 3assists 35apps
6 M. DuffyDerry City 11goals 5assists 27apps
7 J. McGovernShamrock Rovers 10goals 7assists 31apps
8 R. EdmondsonSt Patrick's Athl. 10goals 1assists 36apps
9 M. DoyleDrogheda United 10goals 1assists 34apps
10 A. KeenaSt Patrick's Athl. 10goals 5assists 31apps

Recent form

6 W 3 D 1 L in the last 10
30 Oct 2026Premier Division Sligo Rovers 2 - 2 Derry City D
23 Oct 2026Premier Division Derry City 2 - 1 Dundalk W
19 Oct 2026Premier Division Derry City 1 - 0 St Patrick's Athl. W
16 Oct 2026Premier Division Drogheda United 2 - 0 Derry City L
10 Oct 2026FAI Cup Galway United 0 - 2 Derry City W
18 Sep 2026Premier Division Derry City 1 - 0 Galway United W
14 Sep 2026Premier Division Waterford 2 - 2 Derry City D
11 Sep 2026Premier Division Shelbourne 0 - 1 Derry City W
06 Sep 2026FAI Cup Derry City 4 - 2 Dundalk W
30 Aug 2026Premier Division Derry City 3 - 3 Shamrock Rovers D
3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
30 Oct 2026Premier Division Drogheda United 2 - 0 Galway United L
23 Oct 2026Premier Division Galway United 0 - 0 St Patrick's Athl. D
19 Oct 2026Premier Division Waterford 3 - 2 Galway United L
16 Oct 2026Premier Division Galway United 2 - 0 Shamrock Rovers W
10 Oct 2026FAI Cup Galway United 0 - 2 Derry City L
25 Sep 2026Premier Division Galway United 1 - 1 Shelbourne D
18 Sep 2026Premier Division Derry City 1 - 0 Galway United L
14 Sep 2026Premier Division Sligo Rovers 1 - 3 Galway United W
11 Sep 2026Premier Division Galway United 2 - 3 Bohemians L
04 Sep 2026FAI Cup Drogheda United 1 - 2 Galway United W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Derry City Draw Galway United
Value spotted: Galway United win at 4.32 (model 28% vs market 22%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12%
1-0 10.4%
2-1 9.3%
2-0 8.1%
0-1 7.7%
1-2 6.9%

Expected goals: 1.55 Derry City · 1.15 Galway United

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Both teams score54%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
53%
Form
47%
40%
Attack
60%
67%
Defence
33%
61%
Goal model
39%
62%
Head to head
38%
53%
Goals
47%
56%
Overall
44%

Season numbers

Premier Division 2026

When the goals come

3
0-15'
1
2
16-30'
3
2
31-45'
3
3
46-60'
1
3
61-75'
6
5
76-90'
4
1
0-15'
3
4
16-30'
1
2
31-45'
2
3
46-60'
1
4
61-75'
2
3
76-90'
9
Derry City Galway United

Side by side

Derry City Galway United
14 Played 13
4 Won 4
6 Drawn 4
4 Lost 5
1.3 Goals scored per game 1.3
1.2 Goals conceded per game 1.5
1.7 / 0.9 Scored per game (home / away) 1.8 / 0.9
3 Clean sheets 1
4 Failed to score 4
2 Longest winning run 2
4-2 Biggest win 4-3
1-2 Biggest defeat 0-1
2/2 Penalties scored 1/2

Derry City vs Galway United: preview and prediction

Derry City host Galway United in the Ireland Premier Division (Regular Season - 15) on Monday, 4th May 2026 at 17:00 at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Derry. Derry City sit 5th in the table and Galway United 8th.

Derry City are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-L-W-W-D). Galway United are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-D-L).

In the last 6 meetings, Derry City won 2, Galway United won 2 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 83% and over 2.5 goals in 50%.

Our goal model expects about 1.55 goals for Derry City and 1.15 for Galway United. It gives Derry City the edge (47% home win, 25% draw, 28% away win), 51% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.19.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Derry City vs Galway United FAQs

What is the best prediction for Derry City vs Galway United?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.19 odds).

Who will win Derry City vs Galway United?

Derry City are favourites: our model gives Derry City 47%, the draw 25% and Galway United 28%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 54% chance in our model, and it happened in 83% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.7 goals in total, with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Derry City vs Galway United?

Kick-off is on Monday, 4th May 2026 at 17:00 at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Derry.

Who is the referee?

A. Patchell is in charge of this game.