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Deportivo Cuenca vs Emelec Prediction, H2H & Stats

Ecuador: Liga Pro · Regular Season - 22
Deportivo Cuenca

Deportivo Cuenca

12th in table
DDWWL
Full time
2:1
HT 1 - 0
Emelec

Emelec

10th in table
LLWLL
32' Víctor Griffith
35' Melvin Diaz
45+1' Orlando Herrera
46' Ignacio Guerrico
62' Melvin Diaz
66' Mateo Piedra
70' Jaime Ayoví
90+1' Facundo Ferrero
90+5' Mario Valero
90' Luis Fernando León
Tuesday, 28 July 2026
Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar, Cuenca
R. Cabrera

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
4Deportivo Cuenca wins
1Draws
4Emelec wins
3Goals per game
67%Both scored
56%Over 2.5
05 Apr 2026Liga Pro Emelec 0 - 2 Deportivo Cuenca
20 Dec 2025Liga Pro Deportivo Cuenca 5 - 1 Emelec
04 Oct 2025Liga Pro Emelec 3 - 1 Deportivo Cuenca
11 Aug 2025Liga Pro Emelec 1 - 1 Deportivo Cuenca
19 Apr 2025Liga Pro Deportivo Cuenca 0 - 1 Emelec
04 Aug 2024Liga Pro Emelec 0 - 1 Deportivo Cuenca
02 Mar 2024Liga Pro Deportivo Cuenca 1 - 2 Emelec
03 Dec 2023Liga Pro Emelec 2 - 1 Deportivo Cuenca
18 Jun 2023Liga Pro Deportivo Cuenca 3 - 2 Emelec

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Independiente del Valle 302424 73:33 +40 74 WWLDW
2 Universidad Catolica 301497 51:27 +24 51 WWDDW
3 Macara 301569 41:33 +8 51 WLWWL
4 Aucas 301488 33:28 +5 50 DDDWW
5 LDU de Quito 3013710 31:24 +7 46 DWDLW
6 Barcelona SC 3011118 32:25 +7 44 DDWLW
7 Libertad 3011811 33:34 -1 41 LWDLW
8 Leones del Norte 3010911 31:32 -1 39 LDWLL
9 Guayaquil City FC 3010911 33:36 -3 39 WLLWW
10 Emelec 3010911 25:34 -9 39 LWDWL
11 Mushuc Runa SC 3091110 35:38 -3 38 LDDWD
12 Deportivo Cuenca 3010614 25:37 -12 36 DLWLD
13 Orense SC 309615 36:47 -11 33 LWLLL
14 Tecnico Universitario 3010218 28:42 -14 32 WLLWL
15 Delfin SC 307716 19:31 -12 28 DLWLL
16 Manta FC 305619 17:42 -25 21 DLLWL

Top scorers

Liga Pro
1 F. PosseMacara 16goals 5assists 34apps
2 E. MeroGuayaquil City FC 13goals 5assists 35apps
3 Vilinton Germán Branda MerlínLibertad 13goals 2assists 34apps
4 R. CarrilloEmelec 13goals 3assists 34apps
5 A. CampanaMacara 12goals 3assists 19apps
6 A. HerreraOrense SC 12goals 3assists 35apps
7 J. FajardoUniversidad Catolica 11goals 3assists 33apps
8 Juan Luis Anangonó LeónLeones del Norte 11goals 1assists 35apps
9 F. AyuntaDelfin SC 11goals 1assists 33apps
10 C. GonzálezIndependiente del Valle 10goals 1assists 22apps

Recent form

3 W 4 D 3 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Liga Pro Delfin SC 3 - 1 Deportivo Cuenca L
24 Oct 2026Liga Pro Manta FC 0 - 2 Deportivo Cuenca W
16 Oct 2026Liga Pro Deportivo Cuenca 2 - 1 Tecnico Universitario W
11 Oct 2026Liga Pro Orense SC 0 - 0 Deportivo Cuenca D
20 Sep 2026Liga Pro Deportivo Cuenca 1 - 1 Mushuc Runa SC D
13 Sep 2026Liga Pro LDU de Quito 1 - 1 Deportivo Cuenca D
07 Sep 2026Liga Pro Deportivo Cuenca 0 - 1 Libertad L
02 Sep 2026Liga Pro Deportivo Cuenca 1 - 0 Guayaquil City FC W
29 Aug 2026Liga Pro Tecnico Universitario 3 - 1 Deportivo Cuenca L
22 Aug 2026Liga Pro Deportivo Cuenca 0 - 0 Mushuc Runa SC D
3 W 1 D 6 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Liga Pro Emelec 0 - 2 Leones del Norte L
25 Oct 2026Liga Pro Emelec 0 - 1 Guayaquil City FC L
18 Oct 2026Liga Pro Leones del Norte 1 - 3 Emelec W
10 Oct 2026Liga Pro Guayaquil City FC 3 - 2 Emelec L
20 Sep 2026Liga Pro Emelec 1 - 2 Libertad L
13 Sep 2026Liga Pro Macara 1 - 0 Emelec L
08 Sep 2026Liga Pro Emelec 1 - 0 Manta FC W
04 Sep 2026Liga Pro Libertad 1 - 1 Emelec D
30 Aug 2026Liga Pro Emelec 2 - 1 Leones del Norte W
24 Aug 2026Liga Pro LDU de Quito 2 - 0 Emelec L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Deportivo Cuenca Draw Emelec

Most likely scores

1-0 13%
1-1 13%
0-0 10%
0-1 10%
2-0 8.5%
2-1 8.5%

Expected goals: 1.3 Deportivo Cuenca · 1 Emelec

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals67%
Over 2.5 goals40%
Over 3.5 goals20%
Both teams score46%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
14%
Form
86%
17%
Attack
83%
47%
Defence
53%
60%
Goal model
40%
50%
Head to head
50%
60%
Goals
40%
41%
Overall
58%

Season numbers

Liga Pro 2026

When the goals come

4
0-15'
0
3
16-30'
8
1
31-45'
2
3
46-60'
5
5
61-75'
0
3
76-90'
2
1
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
5
6
31-45'
3
4
46-60'
5
8
61-75'
2
4
76-90'
7
Deportivo Cuenca Emelec

Side by side

Deportivo Cuenca Emelec
21 Played 21
8 Won 7
4 Drawn 7
9 Lost 7
0.9 Goals scored per game 0.9
1.2 Goals conceded per game 1.1
1.1 / 0.7 Scored per game (home / away) 1.1 / 0.6
6 Clean sheets 8
6 Failed to score 7
3 Longest winning run 2
2-1 Biggest win 2-0
1-3 Biggest defeat 1-3
3/3 Penalties scored 1/2

Deportivo Cuenca vs Emelec: preview and prediction

Deportivo Cuenca host Emelec in the Ecuador Liga Pro (Regular Season - 22) on Tuesday, 28th July 2026 at 01:00 at Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar, Cuenca. Deportivo Cuenca sit 12th in the table and Emelec 10th.

Deportivo Cuenca have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-D-W-W-L). Emelec are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-L-L).

In the last 9 meetings, Deportivo Cuenca won 4, Emelec won 4 and 1 ended level. These games average 3 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% and over 2.5 goals in 56%.

Our goal model expects about 1.3 goals for Deportivo Cuenca and 1 for Emelec. It gives Deportivo Cuenca the edge (43% home win, 28% draw, 29% away win), 40% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.32. We also like Under 2.5, BTTS No.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Deportivo Cuenca vs Emelec FAQs

What is the best prediction for Deportivo Cuenca vs Emelec?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.32 odds).

Who will win Deportivo Cuenca vs Emelec?

Deportivo Cuenca are favourites: our model gives Deportivo Cuenca 43%, the draw 28% and Emelec 29%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 46% chance in our model, and it happened in 67% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.3 goals in total, with a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Deportivo Cuenca vs Emelec?

Kick-off is on Tuesday, 28th July 2026 at 01:00 at Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar, Cuenca.

Who is the referee?

R. Cabrera is in charge of this game.