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Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin Prediction, H2H & Stats

Colombia: Primera A · Clausura - 3
Deportes Tolima

Deportes Tolima

6th in table
DDDLL
Full time
2:3
HT 0 - 2
Independiente Medellin

Independiente Medellin

11th in table
DLWLL
1' D. Catano
16' J. Montano
41' Homer Martinez
47' Jeison Medina
56' S. Guzman (Penalty)
57' J. Cordoba
60' Joaquin Varela
77' Sebastián Guzmán
84' J. Hernandez
90+5' Baldomero Perlaza
Wednesday, 5 August 2026
Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Iwag
Carlos Ortega, Colombia

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
2Deportes Tolima wins
4Draws
3Independiente Medellin wins
2.7Goals per game
67%Both scored
56%Over 2.5
28 Jan 2026Primera A Independiente Medellin 2 - 2 Deportes Tolima
27 Sep 2025Primera A Deportes Tolima 2 - 3 Independiente Medellin
15 Jun 2025Primera A Independiente Medellin 2 - 1 Deportes Tolima
04 Jun 2025Primera A Deportes Tolima 1 - 3 Independiente Medellin
16 May 2025Primera A Independiente Medellin 0 - 1 Deportes Tolima
22 Sep 2024Primera A Independiente Medellin 0 - 1 Deportes Tolima
10 Mar 2024Primera A Deportes Tolima 2 - 2 Independiente Medellin
06 Mar 2024CONMEBOL Sudamericana Deportes Tolima 0 - 0 Independiente Medellin
14 Sep 2023Primera A Deportes Tolima 1 - 1 Independiente Medellin

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Atletico Nacional 191315 35:15 +20 40 WLWDW
2 Junior 191126 31:24 +7 35 WDDDL
3 Deportivo Pasto 191045 29:25 +4 34 LLDLW
4 America de Cali 191036 25:15 +10 33 WDLWW
5 Once Caldas 19892 31:22 +9 33 DDWWD
6 Deportes Tolima 19874 27:17 +10 31 LLDDD
7 Santa Fe 19784 29:22 +7 29 WLWWL
8 Internacional de Bogota 19775 26:26 0 28 WDDDL
9 Deportivo Cali 19766 20:16 +4 27 WDDWW
10 Millonarios 19757 31:23 +8 26 DWDDD
11 Independiente Medellin 19757 26:24 +2 26 LWLDL
12 Águilas Doradas 19757 20:25 -5 26 LWDDW
13 Bucaramanga 19586 26:20 +6 23 LDDWW
14 Llaneros 194105 17:20 -3 22 LWLLL
15 Fortaleza FC 19577 22:27 -5 22 LDDDL
16 Jaguares 195311 20:33 -13 18 LLWLL
17 Alianza Valledupar 19388 13:27 -14 17 WDLWL
18 Chico 195212 15:32 -17 17 WLLLD
19 Cucuta 19379 22:35 -13 16 LWWWW
20 Deportivo Pereira 191711 15:32 -17 10 DWDDL

Top scorers

Primera A
1 A. EstupiñánMillonarios 19goals 4assists 34apps
2 Y. GuzmánAmerica de Cali 18goals 6assists 32apps
3 D. MorenoOnce Caldas 16goals 1assists 34apps
4 L. MurielJunior 16goals 2assists 35apps
5 A. MorelosAtletico Nacional 14goals 6assists 30apps
6 H. RodallegaSanta Fe 14goals 3assists 36apps
7 L. PonsBucaramanga 12goals 5assists 31apps
8 J. ZapataOnce Caldas 12goals 3assists 34apps
9 L. CastroMillonarios 12goals 6assists 31apps
10 E. BatallaBucaramanga 11goals 5assists 28apps

Recent form

2 W 4 D 4 L in the last 10
18 Oct 2026Primera A Águilas Doradas 2 - 1 Deportes Tolima L
11 Oct 2026Primera A Jaguares 3 - 2 Deportes Tolima L
08 Oct 2026Primera A Atletico Nacional 0 - 0 Deportes Tolima D
03 Oct 2026Primera A Deportes Tolima 0 - 0 Chico D
27 Sep 2026Primera A Fortaleza FC 2 - 2 Deportes Tolima D
20 Sep 2026Primera A Deportes Tolima 1 - 1 America de Cali D
16 Sep 2026Primera A Once Caldas 1 - 0 Deportes Tolima L
12 Sep 2026Primera A Santa Fe 1 - 0 Deportes Tolima L
07 Sep 2026Primera A Llaneros 1 - 2 Deportes Tolima W
01 Sep 2026Primera A Deportes Tolima 2 - 1 Cucuta W
3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
18 Oct 2026Primera A Independiente Medellin 0 - 2 Once Caldas L
15 Oct 2026Copa Colombia Atletico Nacional 3 - 2 Independiente Medellin L
12 Oct 2026Primera A America de Cali 1 - 2 Independiente Medellin W
06 Oct 2026Primera A Independiente Medellin 0 - 1 Santa Fe L
30 Sep 2026Primera A Independiente Medellin 2 - 2 Millonarios D
27 Sep 2026Primera A Junior 2 - 0 Independiente Medellin L
22 Sep 2026Primera A Independiente Medellin 2 - 1 Jaguares W
18 Sep 2026Primera A Bucaramanga 2 - 2 Independiente Medellin D
12 Sep 2026Primera A Chico 2 - 1 Independiente Medellin L
10 Sep 2026Copa Colombia Deportivo Pasto 1 - 4 Independiente Medellin W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Deportes Tolima Draw Independiente Medellin

Most likely scores

1-0 13.2%
1-1 12.5%
2-0 9.5%
0-0 9.1%
2-1 9.1%
0-1 8.6%

Expected goals: 1.45 Deportes Tolima · 0.95 Independiente Medellin

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals69%
Over 2.5 goals43%
Over 3.5 goals22%
Both teams score47%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
43%
Form
57%
47%
Attack
53%
40%
Defence
60%
60%
Goal model
40%
29%
Head to head
71%
41%
Goals
59%
43%
Overall
56%

Season numbers

Primera A 2026

When the goals come

6
0-15'
3
4
16-30'
4
8
31-45'
3
7
46-60'
4
4
61-75'
5
6
76-90'
10
1
0-15'
3
4
16-30'
6
4
31-45'
9
7
46-60'
3
3
61-75'
1
4
76-90'
5
Deportes Tolima Independiente Medellin

Side by side

Deportes Tolima Independiente Medellin
25 Played 21
12 Won 9
7 Drawn 5
6 Lost 7
1.4 Goals scored per game 1.4
0.9 Goals conceded per game 1.2
1.7 / 1.1 Scored per game (home / away) 1.6 / 1.2
9 Clean sheets 6
6 Failed to score 2
2 Longest winning run 3
4-1 Biggest win 2-0
0-1 Biggest defeat 2-3
5/6 Penalties scored 3/3

Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin: preview and prediction

Deportes Tolima host Independiente Medellin in the Colombia Primera A (Clausura - 3) on Wednesday, 5th August 2026 at 00:15 at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Iwag. Deportes Tolima sit 6th in the table and Independiente Medellin 11th.

Deportes Tolima are still looking for a win, with 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-D-D-L-L). Independiente Medellin are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-W-L-L).

In the last 9 meetings, Deportes Tolima won 2, Independiente Medellin won 3 and 4 ended level. These games average 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% and over 2.5 goals in 56%.

Our goal model expects about 1.45 goals for Deportes Tolima and 0.95 for Independiente Medellin. It gives Deportes Tolima the edge (49% home win, 27% draw, 25% away win), 43% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.77. We also like BTTS Yes, Over 1.5, Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin FAQs

What is the best prediction for Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.77 odds).

Who will win Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin?

Deportes Tolima are favourites: our model gives Deportes Tolima 49%, the draw 27% and Independiente Medellin 25%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 47% chance in our model, and it happened in 67% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.4 goals in total, with a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin?

Kick-off is on Wednesday, 5th August 2026 at 00:15 at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Iwag.

Who is the referee?

Carlos Ortega, Colombia is in charge of this game.