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Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction, H2H & Stats

Colombia: Primera A · Apertura - Quarter-finals
Deportes Tolima

Deportes Tolima

6th in table
DDDLL
Full time
1:0
HT 1 - 0
Deportivo Pasto

Deportivo Pasto

3rd in table
WLDLL
39' Andrey Estupiñán
41' L. Sandoval
45+1' Yeiler Góez
47' Mateo Garavito
Sunday, 10 May 2026
Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Iwag
Wilmar Roldan, Colombia

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
4Deportes Tolima wins
1Draws
3Deportivo Pasto wins
3Goals per game
75%Both scored
63%Over 2.5
11 Apr 2026Primera A Deportivo Pasto 1 - 0 Deportes Tolima
12 Jul 2025Primera A Deportivo Pasto 3 - 2 Deportes Tolima
28 Jan 2025Primera A Deportes Tolima 2 - 0 Deportivo Pasto
03 Oct 2024Copa Colombia Deportivo Pasto 1 - 1 Deportes Tolima
18 Sep 2024Copa Colombia Deportes Tolima 1 - 2 Deportivo Pasto
24 Jul 2024Primera A Deportes Tolima 2 - 1 Deportivo Pasto
26 Jan 2024Primera A Deportivo Pasto 1 - 4 Deportes Tolima
18 Sep 2023Primera A Deportivo Pasto 1 - 2 Deportes Tolima

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Atletico Nacional 191315 35:15 +20 40 WLWDW
2 Junior 191126 31:24 +7 35 WDDDL
3 Deportivo Pasto 191045 29:25 +4 34 LLDLW
4 America de Cali 191036 25:15 +10 33 DLWWD
5 Once Caldas 19892 31:22 +9 33 DWWDL
6 Deportes Tolima 19874 27:17 +10 31 LLDDD
7 Santa Fe 19784 29:22 +7 29 WLWWL
8 Internacional de Bogota 19775 26:26 0 28 WDDDL
9 Deportivo Cali 19766 20:16 +4 27 WDDWW
10 Millonarios 19757 31:23 +8 26 DWDDD
11 Independiente Medellin 19757 26:24 +2 26 LWLDL
12 Águilas Doradas 19757 20:25 -5 26 LWDDW
13 Bucaramanga 19586 26:20 +6 23 LDDWW
14 Llaneros 194105 17:20 -3 22 LWLLL
15 Fortaleza FC 19577 22:27 -5 22 LDDDL
16 Jaguares 195311 20:33 -13 18 LLWLL
17 Alianza Valledupar 19388 13:27 -14 17 WDLWL
18 Chico 195212 15:32 -17 17 WLLLD
19 Cucuta 19379 22:35 -13 16 WWWWL
20 Deportivo Pereira 191711 15:32 -17 10 WDDLL

Top scorers

Primera A
1 A. EstupiñánMillonarios 19goals 4assists 34apps
2 Y. GuzmánAmerica de Cali 18goals 6assists 32apps
3 D. MorenoOnce Caldas 16goals 1assists 34apps
4 L. MurielJunior 16goals 2assists 35apps
5 A. MorelosAtletico Nacional 14goals 6assists 30apps
6 H. RodallegaSanta Fe 14goals 3assists 36apps
7 L. PonsBucaramanga 12goals 5assists 31apps
8 J. ZapataOnce Caldas 12goals 3assists 34apps
9 L. CastroMillonarios 12goals 6assists 31apps
10 E. BatallaBucaramanga 11goals 5assists 28apps

Recent form

2 W 4 D 4 L in the last 10
18 Oct 2026Primera A Águilas Doradas 2 - 1 Deportes Tolima L
11 Oct 2026Primera A Jaguares 3 - 2 Deportes Tolima L
08 Oct 2026Primera A Atletico Nacional 0 - 0 Deportes Tolima D
03 Oct 2026Primera A Deportes Tolima 0 - 0 Chico D
27 Sep 2026Primera A Fortaleza FC 2 - 2 Deportes Tolima D
20 Sep 2026Primera A Deportes Tolima 1 - 1 America de Cali D
16 Sep 2026Primera A Once Caldas 1 - 0 Deportes Tolima L
12 Sep 2026Primera A Santa Fe 1 - 0 Deportes Tolima L
07 Sep 2026Primera A Llaneros 1 - 2 Deportes Tolima W
01 Sep 2026Primera A Deportes Tolima 2 - 1 Cucuta W
2 W 3 D 5 L in the last 10
23 Oct 2026Primera A Atletico Nacional 3 - 0 Deportivo Pasto L
20 Oct 2026Primera A Deportivo Pasto 0 - 1 Alianza Valledupar L
04 Oct 2026Primera A Deportivo Pasto 0 - 0 Fortaleza FC D
25 Sep 2026Primera A Chico 3 - 0 Deportivo Pasto L
20 Sep 2026Primera A Deportivo Pasto 1 - 0 Once Caldas W
15 Sep 2026Primera A America de Cali 0 - 1 Deportivo Pasto W
10 Sep 2026Copa Colombia Deportivo Pasto 1 - 4 Independiente Medellin L
05 Sep 2026Primera A Cucuta 2 - 2 Deportivo Pasto D
31 Aug 2026Primera A Deportivo Pasto 1 - 2 Deportivo Pereira L
28 Aug 2026Primera A Internacional de Bogota 1 - 1 Deportivo Pasto D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Deportes Tolima Draw Deportivo Pasto
Value spotted: Deportes Tolima win at 2.25 (model 54% vs market 41%)

Most likely scores

1-1 10.3%
2-1 9.8%
1-0 8.6%
2-0 8.1%
3-1 6.2%
1-2 6.2%

Expected goals: 1.9 Deportes Tolima · 1.2 Deportivo Pasto

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Over 3.5 goals37%
Both teams score59%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
42%
Form
58%
38%
Attack
62%
57%
Defence
43%
66%
Goal model
34%
29%
Head to head
71%
46%
Goals
54%
46%
Overall
53%

Season numbers

Primera A 2026

When the goals come

6
0-15'
2
3
16-30'
6
4
31-45'
5
7
46-60'
3
4
61-75'
1
3
76-90'
12
0
0-15'
2
4
16-30'
5
4
31-45'
2
5
46-60'
5
2
61-75'
7
2
76-90'
4
Deportes Tolima Deportivo Pasto

Side by side

Deportes Tolima Deportivo Pasto
19 Played 19
8 Won 10
7 Drawn 4
4 Lost 5
1.4 Goals scored per game 1.5
0.9 Goals conceded per game 1.3
1.9 / 0.9 Scored per game (home / away) 1.4 / 1.7
7 Clean sheets 7
5 Failed to score 3
2 Longest winning run 3
4-1 Biggest win 2-0
0-1 Biggest defeat 1-2
4/5 Penalties scored 4/4

Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto: preview and prediction

Deportes Tolima host Deportivo Pasto in the Colombia Primera A (Apertura - Quarter-finals) on Sunday, 10th May 2026 at 00:10 at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Iwag. Deportes Tolima sit 6th in the table and Deportivo Pasto 3rd.

Deportes Tolima are still looking for a win, with 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-D-D-L-L). Deportivo Pasto are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-D-L-L).

In the last 8 meetings, Deportes Tolima won 4, Deportivo Pasto won 3 and 1 ended level. These games average 3 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% and over 2.5 goals in 63%.

Our goal model expects about 1.9 goals for Deportes Tolima and 1.2 for Deportivo Pasto. It gives Deportes Tolima the edge (54% home win, 22% draw, 24% away win), 60% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.59. We also like Over 1.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto FAQs

What is the best prediction for Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.59 odds).

Who will win Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto?

Deportes Tolima are favourites: our model gives Deportes Tolima 54%, the draw 22% and Deportivo Pasto 24%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 59% chance in our model, and it happened in 75% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.1 goals in total, with a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 10th May 2026 at 00:10 at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Iwag.

Who is the referee?

Wilmar Roldan, Colombia is in charge of this game.