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De Graafschap vs NAC Breda Prediction, H2H & Stats

Netherlands: Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 7
De Graafschap

De Graafschap

14th in table
WLDLW
Full time
1:2
HT 1 - 2
NAC Breda

NAC Breda

6th in table
WWDWW
18' C. Brym
40' C. Brym
44' Mohamed Nassoh
45' J. Kania
56' Thomas Kok
63' Thomas Kok
63' Thomas Kok
82' Jan Van den Bergh
Sunday, 20 September 2026
De Vijverberg, Dutinghem

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
3De Graafschap wins
2Draws
3NAC Breda wins
1.8Goals per game
25%Both scored
13%Over 2.5
02 Feb 2024Eerste Divisie NAC Breda 0 - 0 De Graafschap
03 Nov 2023Eerste Divisie De Graafschap 1 - 0 NAC Breda
10 Feb 2023Eerste Divisie NAC Breda 2 - 0 De Graafschap
09 Sep 2022Eerste Divisie De Graafschap 1 - 1 NAC Breda
11 Mar 2022Eerste Divisie NAC Breda 2 - 0 De Graafschap
20 Aug 2021Eerste Divisie De Graafschap 2 - 0 NAC Breda
28 Mar 2021Eerste Divisie NAC Breda 3 - 1 De Graafschap
11 Nov 2020Eerste Divisie De Graafschap 1 - 0 NAC Breda

Eerste Divisie table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Heracles 131021 39:14 +25 32 WDWWD
2 VVV Venlo 13913 36:21 +15 28 WWDWW
3 Almere City FC 13814 27:13 +14 25 WLLWW
4 Roda 13742 17:12 +5 25 WWWDL
5 Emmen 13814 26:24 +2 25 LWWWD
6 NAC Breda 13733 25:20 +5 24 WDWWD
7 FC Volendam 13616 30:22 +8 19 LWDWL
8 Den Bosch 13535 23:21 +2 18 WDWWD
9 Vitesse 13535 17:18 -1 18 DLWLD
10 Jong AZ 13526 32:28 +4 17 LWDLW
11 MVV 13526 17:29 -12 17 LDLLL
12 Waalwijk 13373 22:19 +3 16 LDDLD
13 Jong PSV U21 13445 17:21 -4 16 LWLDL
14 De Graafschap 13436 17:27 -10 15 WDLWD
15 FC OSS 13418 19:22 -3 13 LDLWW
16 Jong Ajax 13346 19:30 -11 13 DDWLD
17 Helmond Sport 13337 23:28 -5 12 WLLLD
18 FC Eindhoven 13328 18:28 -10 11 LLLLD
19 Dordrecht 13328 18:34 -16 11 LLWLD
20 Jong Utrecht 13319 22:33 -11 10 WLLLL

Top scorers

Eerste Divisie
1 H. VeermanFC Volendam 13goals 2assists 13apps
2 J. N'djoliHeracles 12goals 2assists 13apps
3 N. BannisVitesse 10goals 3assists 13apps
4 C. BrymNAC Breda 9goals 0assists 11apps
5 J. CooperEmmen 9goals 3assists 13apps
6 F. DruijfAlmere City FC 8goals 3assists 11apps
7 T. van GilstHeracles 8goals 2assists 13apps
8 F. QuispelEmmen 7goals 2assists 11apps
9 E. ÜnüvarJong Ajax 7goals 0assists 13apps
10 S. Karlsson GrachDen Bosch 6goals 0assists 13apps

Recent form

4 W 2 D 4 L in the last 10
30 Oct 2026Eerste Divisie FC Volendam 1 - 2 De Graafschap W
27 Oct 2026KNVB Beker Roda 1 - 0 De Graafschap L
23 Oct 2026Eerste Divisie De Graafschap 1 - 1 Waalwijk D
19 Oct 2026Eerste Divisie Jong Ajax 2 - 1 De Graafschap L
09 Oct 2026Eerste Divisie De Graafschap 2 - 1 Jong Utrecht W
03 Oct 2026Eerste Divisie FC Eindhoven 2 - 2 De Graafschap D
27 Sep 2026Eerste Divisie De Graafschap 1 - 0 Den Bosch W
20 Sep 2026Eerste Divisie De Graafschap 1 - 2 NAC Breda L
11 Sep 2026Eerste Divisie Emmen 1 - 2 De Graafschap W
04 Sep 2026Eerste Divisie Heracles 5 - 0 De Graafschap L
6 W 2 D 2 L in the last 10
02 Nov 2026Eerste Divisie Jong PSV U21 0 - 2 NAC Breda W
28 Oct 2026KNVB Beker JOS Watergraafsmeer 1 - 3 NAC Breda W
23 Oct 2026Eerste Divisie NAC Breda 1 - 1 Heracles D
16 Oct 2026Eerste Divisie Helmond Sport 0 - 2 NAC Breda W
09 Oct 2026Eerste Divisie NAC Breda 1 - 0 MVV W
03 Oct 2026Eerste Divisie Vitesse 2 - 2 NAC Breda D
26 Sep 2026Eerste Divisie NAC Breda 4 - 2 FC Eindhoven W
20 Sep 2026Eerste Divisie De Graafschap 1 - 2 NAC Breda W
11 Sep 2026Eerste Divisie NAC Breda 2 - 3 Jong Utrecht L
04 Sep 2026Eerste Divisie Waalwijk 4 - 2 NAC Breda L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
De Graafschap Draw NAC Breda
Value spotted: NAC Breda win at 1.87 (model 63% vs market 50%)

Most likely scores

1-3 6.3%
2-3 6%
1-2 5.8%
2-2 5.5%
1-4 5.1%
2-4 4.9%

Expected goals: 1.9 De Graafschap · 3.25 NAC Breda

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals95%
Over 2.5 goals87%
Over 3.5 goals74%
Both teams score80%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
43%
Form
57%
40%
Attack
60%
43%
Defence
57%
24%
Goal model
76%
38%
Head to head
62%
29%
Goals
71%
36%
Overall
63%

Season numbers

Eerste Divisie 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
2
1
31-45'
2
1
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
3
1
76-90'
4
3
0-15'
2
2
16-30'
2
2
31-45'
1
2
46-60'
5
3
61-75'
2
5
76-90'
2
De Graafschap NAC Breda

Side by side

De Graafschap NAC Breda
6 Played 6
1 Won 2
1 Drawn 1
4 Lost 3
1.2 Goals scored per game 1.8
3 Goals conceded per game 2.3
1.5 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 1.7 / 2
0 Clean sheets 0
1 Failed to score 1
0 Longest winning run 1
1-2 Biggest win 3-2
2-5 Biggest defeat 0-2
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

De Graafschap vs NAC Breda: preview and prediction

De Graafschap host NAC Breda in the Netherlands Eerste Divisie (Regular Season - 7) on Sunday, 20th September 2026 at 15:45 at De Vijverberg, Dutinghem. De Graafschap sit 14th in the table and NAC Breda 6th.

De Graafschap have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-D-L-W). NAC Breda are flying, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-D-W-W).

In the last 8 meetings, De Graafschap won 3, NAC Breda won 3 and 2 ended level. These games average 1.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% and over 2.5 goals in 13%.

Our goal model expects about 1.9 goals for De Graafschap and 3.25 for NAC Breda. It gives NAC Breda the edge (20% home win, 15% draw, 63% away win), 87% for over 2.5 goals and 80% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-3.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.27. We also like BTTS Yes, Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

De Graafschap vs NAC Breda FAQs

What is the best prediction for De Graafschap vs NAC Breda?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.27 odds).

Who will win De Graafschap vs NAC Breda?

NAC Breda are favourites: our model gives De Graafschap 20%, the draw 15% and NAC Breda 63%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 80% chance in our model, and it happened in 25% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 5.2 goals in total, with a 87% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is De Graafschap vs NAC Breda?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 20th September 2026 at 15:45 at De Vijverberg, Dutinghem.