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CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More Varna Prediction, H2H & Stats

Bulgaria: First League · Regular Season - 7
CSKA Sofia

CSKA Sofia

2nd in table
LWDWD
Full time
3:1
HT 2 - 1
Cherno More Varna

Cherno More Varna

9th in table
LWLWW
12' Mohamed Amine Brahimi
20' S. Sensi
28' Ventsislav Kerchev
30' J. Zwarts
39' C. Sidney
43' Luciano Squadrone
45+3' David Teles
48' Facundo Rodríguez
49' Zhivko Atanasov
52' Fedor Lapoukhov
78' Petko Panayotov
86' L. Godoy
Sunday, 30 August 2026
National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia
G. Piskov

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
1CSKA Sofia wins
5Draws
3Cherno More Varna wins
1.2Goals per game
33%Both scored
11%Over 2.5
06 Dec 2025First League Cherno More Varna 2 - 0 CSKA Sofia
09 Aug 2025First League CSKA Sofia 0 - 0 Cherno More Varna
22 Apr 2025Cup CSKA Sofia 2 - 1 Cherno More Varna
09 Apr 2025Cup Cherno More Varna 0 - 0 CSKA Sofia
15 Mar 2025First League CSKA Sofia 1 - 1 Cherno More Varna
28 Sep 2024First League Cherno More Varna 0 - 0 CSKA Sofia
23 May 2024First League CSKA Sofia 0 - 1 Cherno More Varna
24 Feb 2024First League Cherno More Varna 1 - 0 CSKA Sofia
26 Aug 2023First League CSKA Sofia 1 - 1 Cherno More Varna

First League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Levski Sofia 121020 25:5 +20 32 WDWDW
2 CSKA Sofia 13940 29:9 +20 31 DWWDW
3 Ludogorets 12921 24:9 +15 29 WLWWW
4 CSKA 1948 13913 31:14 +17 28 WWLWW
5 Botev Plovdiv 13715 22:20 +2 22 WLWWW
6 Arda Kardzhali 13634 18:19 -1 21 WDLDL
7 Slavia Sofia 13274 9:9 0 13 DDLLD
8 Spartak Varna 13346 12:23 -11 13 LLWLD
9 Cherno More Varna 13337 14:22 -8 12 WWLDD
10 Dunav Ruse 13328 15:22 -7 11 LWWDL
11 Botev Vratsa 13247 10:22 -12 10 LDLDD
12 Lokomotiv Sofia 13166 15:25 -10 9 LDDWL
13 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 13238 6:17 -11 9 LDDDL
14 Septemvri Sofia 13229 11:25 -14 8 LLLLL

Top scorers

First League
1 Frédéric MacielCSKA 1948 3goals 0assists 10apps
2 Bruno JordãoCSKA Sofia 2goals 0assists 12apps
3 Elias FrancoCSKA 1948 2goals 0assists 12apps
4 B. TekpeteyLudogorets 2goals 0assists 11apps
5 Rwan CruzLudogorets 1goals 2assists 12apps
6 André Filipe Rio LiberalSeptemvri Sofia 1goals 1assists 13apps
7 B. KaragarenArda Kardzhali 1goals 1assists 13apps
8 S. DelevLokomotiv Sofia 1goals 1assists 13apps
9 I. BudinovDunav Ruse 1goals 1assists 11apps
10 Georg StojanovskiSpartak Varna 1goals 1assists 2apps

Recent form

6 W 3 D 1 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026First League CSKA Sofia 0 - 0 Slavia Sofia D
26 Oct 2026First League CSKA Sofia 2 - 0 Ludogorets W
22 Oct 2026UEFA Europa Conference League FC Nordsjaelland 2 - 2 CSKA Sofia D
18 Oct 2026Cup Nesebar 0 - 2 CSKA Sofia W
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa Conference League CSKA Sofia 1 - 2 Monaco L
11 Oct 2026First League CSKA 1948 2 - 3 CSKA Sofia W
20 Sep 2026First League Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1 - 1 CSKA Sofia D
16 Sep 2026First League Lokomotiv Sofia 0 - 2 CSKA Sofia W
12 Sep 2026First League CSKA Sofia 4 - 1 Arda Kardzhali W
09 Sep 2026Super Cup Levski Sofia 2 - 4 CSKA Sofia W
4 W 2 D 4 L in the last 10
02 Nov 2026First League Cherno More Varna 1 - 0 Botev Vratsa W
27 Oct 2026First League Cherno More Varna 2 - 0 Septemvri Sofia W
21 Oct 2026Pro Cup Cherno More Varna 0 - 1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv L
17 Oct 2026Cup Marek 0 - 3 Cherno More Varna W
11 Oct 2026First League Cherno More Varna 0 - 2 Levski Sofia L
04 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Ludogorets 5 - 0 Cherno More Varna L
26 Sep 2026Friendlies Clubs Cherno More Varna 1 - 0 Dunav Ruse W
19 Sep 2026First League Arda Kardzhali 1 - 1 Cherno More Varna D
11 Sep 2026First League Cherno More Varna 2 - 2 Lokomotiv Sofia D
06 Sep 2026First League Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1 - 0 Cherno More Varna L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
CSKA Sofia Draw Cherno More Varna
Value spotted: CSKA Sofia win at 1.57 (model 75% vs market 59%)

Most likely scores

2-0 10.6%
3-0 9.4%
2-1 9%
1-0 8%
3-1 8%
1-1 6.8%

Expected goals: 2.65 CSKA Sofia · 0.85 Cherno More Varna

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Both teams score53%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
81%
Form
19%
68%
Attack
32%
80%
Defence
20%
88%
Goal model
12%
50%
Head to head
50%
43%
Goals
57%
68%
Overall
31%

Season numbers

First League 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
1
3
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
1
3
61-75'
1
5
76-90'
3
1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
2
0
46-60'
4
0
61-75'
2
1
76-90'
4
CSKA Sofia Cherno More Varna

Side by side

CSKA Sofia Cherno More Varna
5 Played 6
4 Won 1
1 Drawn 1
0 Lost 4
2.6 Goals scored per game 1.2
0.6 Goals conceded per game 2.2
3.3 / 1.5 Scored per game (home / away) 1.7 / 0.7
3 Clean sheets 0
1 Failed to score 2
0 Longest winning run 0
5-0 Biggest win 3-1
- Biggest defeat 0-3
1/1 Penalties scored 0/0

CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More Varna: preview and prediction

CSKA Sofia host Cherno More Varna in the Bulgaria First League (Regular Season - 7) on Sunday, 30th August 2026 at 19:15 at National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia. CSKA Sofia sit 2nd in the table and Cherno More Varna 9th.

CSKA Sofia have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-W-D-W-D). Cherno More Varna are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-W-W).

In the last 9 meetings, CSKA Sofia won 1, Cherno More Varna won 3 and 5 ended level. These games average 1.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% and over 2.5 goals in 11%.

Our goal model expects about 2.65 goals for CSKA Sofia and 0.85 for Cherno More Varna. It gives CSKA Sofia the edge (75% home win, 15% draw, 10% away win), 67% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-0.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 2.31. We also like BTTS No, Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More Varna FAQs

What is the best prediction for CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More Varna?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (2.31 odds).

Who will win CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More Varna?

CSKA Sofia are favourites: our model gives CSKA Sofia 75%, the draw 15% and Cherno More Varna 10%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 53% chance in our model, and it happened in 33% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.5 goals in total, with a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More Varna?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 30th August 2026 at 19:15 at National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia.

Who is the referee?

G. Piskov is in charge of this game.