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Confiança vs Fortaleza EC Prediction, H2H & Stats

Brazil: Copa do Nordeste · Quarter-finals
Confiança

Confiança

1st in table
DLDLL
Full time
1:2
HT 0 - 2
Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

WDWDD
8' Vitinho
38' Lucas Sasha
42' J. B. Miritello
73' Eduardo Moura
74' Lucas Gazal
82' Luan Freitas
89' Kayke
90' Icaro (Penalty)
Thursday, 7 May 2026
Aracaju
P. Mourao

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
3Confiança wins
3Draws
2Fortaleza EC wins
2Goals per game
38%Both scored
13%Over 2.5
10 Apr 2021Copa do Nordeste Confiança 0 - 1 Fortaleza EC
22 Feb 2020Copa do Nordeste Confiança 2 - 0 Fortaleza EC
03 Sep 2017Serie C Confiança 2 - 0 Fortaleza EC
02 Jul 2017Serie C Fortaleza EC 1 - 1 Confiança
31 Jul 2016Serie C Fortaleza EC 2 - 2 Confiança
29 May 2016Serie C Confiança 0 - 2 Fortaleza EC
13 Sep 2015Serie C Fortaleza EC 1 - 1 Confiança
11 Jul 2015Serie C Confiança 1 - 0 Fortaleza EC

Copa do Nordeste table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Confiança 5221 7:7 0 8 LDDWW
2 Juazeirense 5131 8:8 0 6 LDDLW
3 Botafogo PB 5131 8:9 -1 6 DDLDW
4 CRB 5122 5:6 -1 5 WDLLD
5 Piauí 5113 3:7 -4 4 DLLWL

Top scorers

Copa do Nordeste
1 ErickVitoria 5goals 0assists 9apps
2 OsvaldoVitoria 3goals 0assists 5apps
3 Iury CastilhoSport Recife 2goals 0assists 5apps
4 Henrique DouradoBotafogo PB 2goals 0assists 4apps
5 Lucas SilvaVitoria 1goals 0assists 4apps
6 HabraãoSport Recife 1goals 0assists 4apps
7 Vinicius ZanoceloCeara 1goals 0assists 4apps
8 CielFerroviario 1goals 0assists 3apps
9 MatheusinhoCeara 1goals 0assists 3apps
10 Luiz HenriqueRetrô 1goals 0assists 3apps

Recent form

1 W 3 D 6 L in the last 10
29 Aug 2026Serie C Ferroviária 1 - 0 Confiança L
22 Aug 2026Serie C Confiança 0 - 1 Anápolis L
16 Aug 2026Serie C Confiança 1 - 1 Maringá D
10 Aug 2026Serie C Paysandu 2 - 1 Confiança L
25 Jul 2026Serie C Confiança 1 - 1 AO Itabaiana D
12 Jul 2026Serie C Botafogo PB 2 - 0 Confiança L
04 Jul 2026Serie C Confiança 1 - 2 Barra L
28 Jun 2026Serie C Ypiranga-RS 1 - 1 Confiança D
22 Jun 2026Serie C Confiança 2 - 0 Guarani Campinas W
14 Jun 2026Serie C Volta Redonda 1 - 0 Confiança L
4 W 6 D 0 L in the last 10
02 Nov 2026Serie B Fortaleza EC 0 - 0 Atletico Goianiense D
24 Oct 2026Serie B Ponte Preta 2 - 2 Fortaleza EC D
16 Oct 2026Serie B Sport Recife 0 - 2 Fortaleza EC W
12 Oct 2026Serie B Fortaleza EC 2 - 2 CRB D
07 Oct 2026Serie B America Mineiro 0 - 1 Fortaleza EC W
03 Oct 2026Serie B Fortaleza EC 1 - 1 Nautico Recife D
27 Sep 2026Serie B Fortaleza EC 2 - 2 Athletic Club D
20 Sep 2026Serie B Londrina 1 - 2 Fortaleza EC W
13 Sep 2026Serie B Fortaleza EC 1 - 1 Ceara D
09 Sep 2026Serie B Fortaleza EC 1 - 0 Avai W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Confiança Draw Fortaleza EC
Value spotted: Confiança win at 3.66 (model 53% vs market 25%)

Most likely scores

1-0 14.3%
1-1 12.2%
2-0 10.7%
0-0 9.5%
2-1 9.1%
0-1 8.1%

Expected goals: 1.5 Confiança · 0.85 Fortaleza EC

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals68%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Over 3.5 goals21%
Both teams score44%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
44%
Form
56%
54%
Attack
46%
36%
Defence
64%
63%
Goal model
38%
62%
Head to head
38%
64%
Goals
36%
53%
Overall
46%

Season numbers

Copa do Nordeste 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
1
2
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
0
2
76-90'
3
1
0-15'
1
2
16-30'
1
2
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
3
Confiança Fortaleza EC

Side by side

Confiança Fortaleza EC
5 Played 5
2 Won 3
2 Drawn 1
1 Lost 1
1.4 Goals scored per game 1.2
1.4 Goals conceded per game 0.8
2 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 2 / 0.7
2 Clean sheets 2
0 Failed to score 1
2 Longest winning run 2
2-0 Biggest win 2-0
4-1 Biggest defeat 2-0
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Confiança vs Fortaleza EC: preview and prediction

Confiança host Fortaleza EC in the Brazil Copa do Nordeste (Quarter-finals) on Thursday, 7th May 2026 at 23:30 at Aracaju.

Confiança are struggling, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-D-L-L). Fortaleza EC are unbeaten, with 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-D-W-D-D).

In the last 8 meetings, Confiança won 3, Fortaleza EC won 2 and 3 ended level. These games average 2 goals, with both teams scoring in 38% and over 2.5 goals in 13%.

Our goal model expects about 1.5 goals for Confiança and 0.85 for Fortaleza EC. It gives Confiança the edge (53% home win, 26% draw, 21% away win), 42% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Away Win at odds of 2.07.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Confiança vs Fortaleza EC FAQs

What is the best prediction for Confiança vs Fortaleza EC?

Our top tip is Away Win: Away Win (2.07 odds).

Who will win Confiança vs Fortaleza EC?

Confiança are favourites: our model gives Confiança 53%, the draw 26% and Fortaleza EC 21%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 44% chance in our model, and it happened in 38% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.4 goals in total, with a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Confiança vs Fortaleza EC?

Kick-off is on Thursday, 7th May 2026 at 23:30 at Aracaju.

Who is the referee?

P. Mourao is in charge of this game.