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Concepción vs A. Italiano Prediction, H2H & Stats

Chile: Primera División · Regular Season - 22
Concepción

Concepción

9th in table
WLLDL
Full time
0:1
HT 0 - 1
A. Italiano

A. Italiano

12th in table
WWDLD
17' C. Pinares
68' Mario Eduardo Sandoval
74' Fausto Grillo
76' Joaquín Montecinos
77' Franco Troyansky
90+5' Aldrix Jara
Saturday, 5 September 2026
Estadio Ester Roa, Concepcion
P. Maza

Head to head

Last 3 meetings
3games
0Concepción wins
1Draws
2A. Italiano wins
2Goals per game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
13 Mar 2026Primera División A. Italiano 3 - 0 Concepción
07 May 2025Copa Chile A. Italiano 2 - 1 Concepción
06 Apr 2025Copa Chile Concepción 0 - 0 A. Italiano

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Colo Colo 241734 50:27 +23 54 LDDWW
2 Universidad de Chile 241365 41:19 +22 45 WWWLL
3 U. Catolica 231337 50:33 +17 42 WWWWL
4 Everton de Vina 241167 40:27 +13 39 WWLWW
5 Palestino 241149 38:35 +3 37 DLWLW
6 Deportes Limache 2410410 45:37 +8 34 DLWWL
7 D. La Serena 25898 39:42 -3 33 WLLWW
8 Coquimbo Unido 23959 36:33 +3 32 WLLWL
9 Concepción 259511 27:30 -3 32 LDDLW
10 Huachipato 249510 34:40 -6 32 DWWDL
11 Nublense 24888 28:37 -9 32 LLLLL
12 A. Italiano 24789 27:32 -5 29 DWWLD
13 O'Higgins 248313 28:38 -10 27 LLWLL
14 Cobresal 247413 35:45 -10 25 DWLWD
15 Universidad de Concepcion 246513 18:40 -22 23 DLLLW
16 Union La Calera 244614 20:41 -21 18 DWLLD

Top scorers

Primera División
1 F. ZampedriU. Catolica 22goals 2assists 22apps
2 J. CorreaColo Colo 13goals 5assists 16apps
3 D. CastroDeportes Limache 13goals 7assists 23apps
4 A. MedinaEverton de Vina 12goals 3assists 24apps
5 E. VargasUniversidad de Chile 9goals 3assists 22apps
6 L. AltamiranoHuachipato 9goals 1assists 24apps
7 N. JohansenCoquimbo Unido 9goals 0assists 23apps
8 G. SosaDeportes Limache 8goals 0assists 24apps
9 A. CastilloO'Higgins 8goals 0assists 22apps
10 N. Da SilvaPalestino 8goals 2assists 17apps

Recent form

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
24 Oct 2026Primera División D. La Serena 3 - 1 Concepción L
11 Oct 2026Primera División Concepción 1 - 1 Union La Calera D
04 Oct 2026Copa Chile O'Higgins 2 - 0 Concepción L
30 Sep 2026Copa Chile Concepción 0 - 1 O'Higgins L
27 Sep 2026Copa Chile Concepción 2 - 0 Curico Unido W
23 Sep 2026Copa Chile Curico Unido 0 - 4 Concepción W
13 Sep 2026Primera División Colo Colo 1 - 1 Concepción D
05 Sep 2026Primera División Concepción 0 - 1 A. Italiano L
30 Aug 2026Primera División Nublense 0 - 1 Concepción W
23 Aug 2026Primera División Concepción 1 - 1 Coquimbo Unido D
2 W 5 D 2 L in the last 9
23 Oct 2026Primera División A. Italiano 1 - 1 Huachipato D
25 Sep 2026Copa Chile Colo Colo 1 - 0 A. Italiano L
22 Sep 2026Copa Chile A. Italiano 0 - 0 Colo Colo D
13 Sep 2026Primera División A. Italiano 1 - 0 O'Higgins W
05 Sep 2026Primera División Concepción 0 - 1 A. Italiano W
30 Aug 2026Primera División Colo Colo 5 - 1 A. Italiano L
22 Aug 2026Primera División A. Italiano 0 - 0 Union La Calera D
16 Aug 2026Primera División Everton de Vina 1 - 1 A. Italiano D
11 Aug 2026Primera División A. Italiano 2 - 2 Nublense D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Concepción Draw A. Italiano
Value spotted: Concepción win at 1.87 (model 56% vs market 49%)

Most likely scores

1-0 13.5%
1-1 11.5%
2-0 11.2%
2-1 9.5%
0-0 8.2%
0-1 7%

Expected goals: 1.65 Concepción · 0.85 A. Italiano

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams score46%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
68%
Form
32%
62%
Attack
38%
89%
Defence
11%
75%
Goal model
25%
13%
Head to head
88%
17%
Goals
83%
54%
Overall
46%

Season numbers

Primera División 2026

When the goals come

4
0-15'
6
3
16-30'
2
3
31-45'
6
4
46-60'
5
5
61-75'
1
2
76-90'
2
3
0-15'
6
4
16-30'
3
3
31-45'
4
5
46-60'
6
3
61-75'
5
6
76-90'
6
Concepción A. Italiano

Side by side

Concepción A. Italiano
21 Played 21
9 Won 5
3 Drawn 7
9 Lost 9
1.1 Goals scored per game 1.1
1.1 Goals conceded per game 1.5
1.5 / 0.8 Scored per game (home / away) 1.6 / 0.6
8 Clean sheets 7
6 Failed to score 7
5 Longest winning run 1
3-0 Biggest win 3-0
0-2 Biggest defeat 3-4
8/11 Penalties scored 4/5

Concepción vs A. Italiano: preview and prediction

Concepción host A. Italiano in the Chile Primera División (Regular Season - 22) on Saturday, 5th September 2026 at 01:30 at Estadio Ester Roa, Concepcion. Concepción sit 9th in the table and A. Italiano 12th.

Concepción are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-L-D-L). A. Italiano have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-D-L-D).

In the last 3 meetings, Concepción won 0, A. Italiano won 2 and 1 ended level. These games average 2 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% and over 2.5 goals in 67%.

Our goal model expects about 1.65 goals for Concepción and 0.85 for A. Italiano. It gives Concepción the edge (56% home win, 24% draw, 19% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.18. We also like Under 2.5, BTTS No.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Concepción vs A. Italiano FAQs

What is the best prediction for Concepción vs A. Italiano?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.18 odds).

Who will win Concepción vs A. Italiano?

Concepción are favourites: our model gives Concepción 56%, the draw 24% and A. Italiano 19%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 46% chance in our model, and it happened in 33% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Concepción vs A. Italiano?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 5th September 2026 at 01:30 at Estadio Ester Roa, Concepcion.

Who is the referee?

P. Maza is in charge of this game.