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Columbus Crew vs New York City FC Prediction, H2H & Stats

USA: US Open Cup · Quarter-finals
Columbus Crew

Columbus Crew

WDWWW
Full time
1:0
HT 0 - 0
New York City FC

New York City FC

LDDWD
59' M. Arfsten
78' A. Farnos
Thursday, 21 May 2026
ScottsMiracle-Gro Field
M. De Oliveira

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
2Columbus Crew wins
4Draws
2New York City FC wins
3.1Goals per game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
10 May 2026Major League Soccer New York City FC 3 - 0 Columbus Crew
17 Sep 2025Major League Soccer New York City FC 3 - 2 Columbus Crew
22 Mar 2025Major League Soccer Columbus Crew 0 - 0 New York City FC
31 Aug 2024Major League Soccer Columbus Crew 4 - 2 New York City FC
17 Aug 2024Leagues Cup Columbus Crew 1 - 1 New York City FC
14 Jun 2024Major League Soccer New York City FC 2 - 3 Columbus Crew
08 Jul 2023Major League Soccer Columbus Crew 1 - 1 New York City FC
17 Jun 2023Major League Soccer New York City FC 1 - 1 Columbus Crew

Top scorers

US Open Cup
1 Pedro AmadorAtlanta United FC 1goals 0assists 3apps
2 A. MéndezEl Paso Locomotive 1goals 0assists 1apps
3 H. HerreraHouston Dynamo 0goals 3assists 3apps
4 I. AnguloOrlando City SC 0goals 1assists 3apps
5 J. RodríguezMinnesota United FC 0goals 0assists 2apps
6 J. PereyraMinnesota United FC 0goals 0assists 2apps
7 R. CannonColorado Rapids 0goals 0assists 2apps
8 André GomesColumbus Crew 0goals 0assists 1apps
9 E. MihajAtlanta United FC 0goals 0assists 1apps
10 Pedro SantosLoudoun United 0goals 0assists 1apps

Recent form

8 W 1 D 1 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Major League Soccer Columbus Crew 3 - 0 DC United W
29 Oct 2026Major League Soccer FC Dallas 0 - 2 Columbus Crew W
24 Oct 2026Major League Soccer Columbus Crew 4 - 2 Toronto FC W
22 Oct 2026US Open Cup Columbus Crew 0 - 0 St. Louis City D
18 Oct 2026Major League Soccer FC Cincinnati 0 - 2 Columbus Crew W
14 Oct 2026Major League Soccer Columbus Crew 3 - 1 Charlotte W
10 Oct 2026Major League Soccer Orlando City SC 3 - 2 Columbus Crew L
27 Sep 2026Major League Soccer Columbus Crew 2 - 1 Inter Miami W
19 Sep 2026Major League Soccer CF Montreal 0 - 2 Columbus Crew W
16 Sep 2026US Open Cup Columbus Crew 2 - 1 Orlando City SC W
2 W 4 D 4 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Major League Soccer New York City FC 1 - 1 CF Montreal D
28 Oct 2026Major League Soccer New York City FC 2 - 1 Atlanta United FC W
24 Oct 2026Major League Soccer Orlando City SC 2 - 2 New York City FC D
17 Oct 2026Major League Soccer New York City FC 1 - 1 Los Angeles FC D
14 Oct 2026Major League Soccer Inter Miami 2 - 0 New York City FC L
10 Oct 2026Major League Soccer Chicago Fire 2 - 1 New York City FC L
26 Sep 2026Major League Soccer Atlanta United FC 2 - 2 New York City FC D
18 Sep 2026Major League Soccer New York City FC 0 - 1 New York Red Bulls L
13 Sep 2026Major League Soccer Real Salt Lake 0 - 2 New York City FC W
10 Sep 2026Major League Soccer New York City FC 1 - 2 New England Revolution L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Columbus Crew Draw New York City FC
Value spotted: New York City FC win at 3.66 (model 36% vs market 25%)

Most likely scores

2-2 6.2%
3-2 5.7%
2-3 5.2%
2-1 5%
3-3 4.7%
3-1 4.5%

Expected goals: 2.75 Columbus Crew · 2.5 New York City FC

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals96%
Over 2.5 goals88%
Over 3.5 goals76%
Both teams score85%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
47%
Attack
53%
75%
Defence
25%
50%
Goal model
50%
38%
Head to head
62%
44%
Goals
56%
50%
Overall
49%

Season numbers

US Open Cup 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
2
1
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
3
0
46-60'
1
3
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
0
1
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
0
Columbus Crew New York City FC

Side by side

Columbus Crew New York City FC
2 Played 2
2 Won 2
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
3.5 Goals scored per game 4
0.5 Goals conceded per game 1.5
4 / 3 Scored per game (home / away) 0 / 4
1 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 0
2 Longest winning run 2
4-1 Biggest win 2-5
- Biggest defeat -
0/0 Penalties scored 1/1

Columbus Crew vs New York City FC: preview and prediction

Columbus Crew host New York City FC in the USA US Open Cup (Quarter-finals) on Thursday, 21st May 2026 at 00:30 at ScottsMiracle-Gro Field.

Columbus Crew are flying, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-D-W-W-W). New York City FC have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-D-D-W-D).

In the last 8 meetings, Columbus Crew won 2, New York City FC won 2 and 4 ended level. These games average 3.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% and over 2.5 goals in 50%.

Our goal model expects about 2.75 goals for Columbus Crew and 2.5 for New York City FC. It gives Columbus Crew the edge (45% home win, 18% draw, 36% away win), 88% for over 2.5 goals and 85% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-2.

Our pick was Away Win at odds of 3.66.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Columbus Crew vs New York City FC FAQs

What is the best prediction for Columbus Crew vs New York City FC?

Our top tip is Away Win: Away Win (3.66 odds).

Who will win Columbus Crew vs New York City FC?

Columbus Crew are favourites: our model gives Columbus Crew 45%, the draw 18% and New York City FC 36%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 85% chance in our model, and it happened in 75% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 5.3 goals in total, with a 88% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Columbus Crew vs New York City FC?

Kick-off is on Thursday, 21st May 2026 at 00:30 at ScottsMiracle-Gro Field.

Who is the referee?

M. De Oliveira is in charge of this game.