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Colombia vs Paraguay Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: Friendlies · Friendly International
Colombia

Colombia

WDDLW
Full time
0:1
HT 0 - 0
Paraguay

Paraguay

DDLWW
42' Juan Cáceres
56' H. A. Benitez
71' Yáser Asprilla
73' Andrés Cubas
80' Gustavo Puerta
90+1' Gustavo Gómez
Saturday, 3 October 2026
Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison
Pierre-Luc Lauziere, Canada

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
5Colombia wins
3Draws
1Paraguay wins
1.9Goals per game
44%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
26 Mar 2025World Cup - Qualification South America Colombia 2 - 2 Paraguay
24 Jun 2024Copa America Colombia 2 - 1 Paraguay
21 Nov 2023World Cup - Qualification South America Paraguay 0 - 1 Colombia
20 Nov 2022Friendlies Colombia 2 - 0 Paraguay
16 Nov 2021World Cup - Qualification South America Colombia 0 - 0 Paraguay
05 Sep 2021World Cup - Qualification South America Paraguay 1 - 1 Colombia
23 Jun 2019Copa America Colombia 1 - 0 Paraguay
05 Oct 2017World Cup - Qualification South America Colombia 1 - 2 Paraguay
06 Oct 2016World Cup - Qualification South America Paraguay 0 - 1 Colombia

Top scorers

Friendlies
1 M. OsmajićMontenegro 5goals 0assists 4apps
2 Son Heung-MinSouth Korea 5goals 0assists 8apps
3 L. SadulaevRussia 4goals 1assists 7apps
4 J. VélezPeru 4goals 0assists 8apps
5 D. LukebakioBelgium 4goals 0assists 3apps
6 F. WirtzGermany 3goals 2assists 4apps
7 N. PazArgentina 3goals 1assists 6apps
8 M. AraújoUruguay 3goals 1assists 5apps
9 J. HallUSA 3goals 1assists 4apps
10 M. OliseFrance 3goals 1assists 4apps

Recent form

6 W 3 D 1 L in the last 10
06 Oct 2026Friendlies Colombia 2 - 0 Peru W
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Colombia 0 - 1 Paraguay L
27 Sep 2026Friendlies Mexico 1 - 1 Colombia D
07 Jul 2026World Cup Switzerland 0 - 0 Colombia D
04 Jul 2026World Cup Colombia 1 - 0 Ghana W
27 Jun 2026World Cup Colombia 0 - 0 Portugal D
24 Jun 2026World Cup Colombia 1 - 0 Congo DR W
18 Jun 2026World Cup Uzbekistan 1 - 3 Colombia W
07 Jun 2026Friendlies Colombia 2 - 0 Jordan W
01 Jun 2026Friendlies Colombia 3 - 1 Costa Rica W
5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Colombia 0 - 1 Paraguay W
27 Sep 2026Friendlies Bolivia 0 - 2 Paraguay W
04 Jul 2026World Cup Paraguay 0 - 1 France L
29 Jun 2026World Cup Germany 1 - 1 Paraguay D
26 Jun 2026World Cup Paraguay 0 - 0 Australia D
20 Jun 2026World Cup Türkiye 0 - 1 Paraguay W
13 Jun 2026World Cup USA 4 - 1 Paraguay L
05 Jun 2026Friendlies Paraguay 4 - 0 Nicaragua W
31 Mar 2026Friendlies Morocco 2 - 1 Paraguay L
27 Mar 2026Friendlies Greece 0 - 1 Paraguay W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Colombia Draw Paraguay
Value spotted: Paraguay win at 5.10 (model 40% vs market 19%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.4%
0-1 9.9%
1-0 8.8%
1-2 8.7%
2-1 7.7%
0-0 7.1%

Expected goals: 1.25 Colombia · 1.4 Paraguay

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Both teams score54%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
44%
Form
56%
50%
Attack
50%
22%
Defence
78%
29%
Goal model
71%
85%
Head to head
15%
70%
Goals
30%
50%
Overall
50%

Season numbers

Friendlies 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
0
2
16-30'
2
1
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
2
0
61-75'
2
2
76-90'
1
1
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
3
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
2
1
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0
Colombia Paraguay

Side by side

Colombia Paraguay
5 Played 4
2 Won 3
1 Drawn 0
2 Lost 1
1.6 Goals scored per game 2
1.4 Goals conceded per game 0.5
1.8 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 4 / 1.3
1 Clean sheets 3
0 Failed to score 0
2 Longest winning run 1
3-1 Biggest win 4-0
1-3 Biggest defeat 2-1
0/0 Penalties scored 1/1

Colombia vs Paraguay: preview and prediction

Colombia host Paraguay in the World Friendlies (Friendly International) on Saturday, 3rd October 2026 at 01:00 at Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison.

Colombia have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-D-L-W). Paraguay have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-D-L-W-W).

In the last 9 meetings, Colombia won 5, Paraguay won 1 and 3 ended level. These games average 1.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 44% and over 2.5 goals in 33%.

Our goal model expects about 1.25 goals for Colombia and 1.4 for Paraguay. It gives Paraguay the edge (34% home win, 26% draw, 40% away win), 49% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.20. We also like Under 2.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Colombia vs Paraguay FAQs

What is the best prediction for Colombia vs Paraguay?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.20 odds).

Who will win Colombia vs Paraguay?

Paraguay are favourites: our model gives Colombia 34%, the draw 26% and Paraguay 40%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 54% chance in our model, and it happened in 44% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.7 goals in total, with a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Colombia vs Paraguay?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 3rd October 2026 at 01:00 at Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison.

Who is the referee?

Pierre-Luc Lauziere, Canada is in charge of this game.