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Chorley vs AFC Telford United Prediction, H2H & Stats

England: National League - North · National League North - 11
Chorley

Chorley

12th in table
DLLWL
Full time
2:1
HT 1 - 0
AFC Telford United

AFC Telford United

15th in table
LWDWW
27' A. Blakeman
47' J. Moore
71' L. Moult
Saturday, 10 October 2026
Victory Park, Chorley

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7games
4Chorley wins
1Draws
2AFC Telford United wins
2.1Goals per game
29%Both scored
43%Over 2.5
17 Feb 2026National League - North AFC Telford United 2 - 2 Chorley
06 Sep 2025National League - North Chorley 3 - 1 AFC Telford United
31 Jan 2023National League - North Chorley 1 - 0 AFC Telford United
06 Aug 2022National League - North AFC Telford United 1 - 0 Chorley
23 Apr 2022National League - North Chorley 1 - 0 AFC Telford United
21 Aug 2021National League - North AFC Telford United 3 - 0 Chorley
17 Nov 2020National League - North AFC Telford United 0 - 1 Chorley

National League - North table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 South Shields 14923 25:19 +6 29 WWWLL
2 Oxford City 14833 26:11 +15 27 LWDWD
3 Macclesfield 13832 21:11 +10 27 WLWWD
4 Hereford 14824 24:11 +13 26 LLWLD
5 Buxton 15825 30:25 +5 26 WWWDL
6 King's Lynn Town 15735 25:21 +4 24 WLDDW
7 Hednesford Town 15735 24:20 +4 24 WLWWW
8 Morecambe 14725 21:12 +9 23 WWWLD
9 Chester 14725 17:14 +3 23 LWLWW
10 Bedford Town 14716 17:19 -2 22 LWWLD
11 Spalding United 14635 19:15 +4 21 WDLLL
12 Chorley 14626 23:23 0 20 LWLWW
13 Worksop Town 15627 20:21 -1 20 LWDDW
14 Hebburn Town 14554 19:24 -5 20 DDLLD
15 AFC Telford United 15546 16:21 -5 19 WWDWL
16 Brackley Town 15546 18:26 -8 19 WDLLW
17 Harborough Town 14455 13:17 -4 17 DLDWL
18 Marine 14518 17:19 -2 16 LLDWW
19 Merthyr Town 15375 18:22 -4 16 DLLDD
20 Radcliffe 15519 19:27 -8 16 DLWWW
21 Scarborough Athletic 14437 19:20 -1 15 LLWLD
22 Darlington 1883 153210 19:28 -9 11 LLWLD
23 Southport 14248 14:25 -11 10 LDLLD
24 Spennymoor Town 14248 14:27 -13 10 WLLLD

Recent form

5 W 1 D 4 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026National League - North Spennymoor Town 2 - 0 Chorley L
27 Oct 2026National League - North Radcliffe 0 - 3 Chorley W
24 Oct 2026National League - North Chorley 2 - 3 Buxton L
20 Oct 2026FA Cup Worcester City 1 - 0 Chorley L
17 Oct 2026FA Cup Chorley 1 - 1 Worcester City D
10 Oct 2026National League - North Chorley 2 - 1 AFC Telford United W
03 Oct 2026FA Cup Barton Town Old Boys 1 - 4 Chorley W
26 Sep 2026National League - North Chorley 2 - 1 Spalding United W
19 Sep 2026FA Cup Rylands 0 - 1 Chorley W
12 Sep 2026National League - North King's Lynn Town 2 - 0 Chorley L
4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026National League - North Southport 1 - 2 AFC Telford United W
27 Oct 2026National League - North Hereford 0 - 1 AFC Telford United W
24 Oct 2026National League - North AFC Telford United 2 - 2 Hebburn Town D
17 Oct 2026National League - North AFC Telford United 2 - 1 Darlington 1883 W
10 Oct 2026National League - North Chorley 2 - 1 AFC Telford United L
26 Sep 2026National League - North AFC Telford United 0 - 5 King's Lynn Town L
22 Sep 2026FA Cup Worksop Town 5 - 2 AFC Telford United L
19 Sep 2026FA Cup AFC Telford United 2 - 2 Worksop Town D
12 Sep 2026National League - North Harborough Town 0 - 0 AFC Telford United D
08 Sep 2026National League - North AFC Telford United 1 - 0 Oxford City W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Chorley Draw AFC Telford United
Value spotted: Chorley win at 2.44 (model 49% vs market 37%)

Most likely scores

1-1 10.5%
2-1 9.5%
1-0 8.1%
2-0 7.3%
1-2 6.9%
2-2 6.2%

Expected goals: 1.8 Chorley · 1.3 AFC Telford United

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Over 3.5 goals37%
Both teams score61%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
82%
Attack
18%
35%
Defence
65%
56%
Goal model
44%
71%
Head to head
29%
64%
Goals
36%
59%
Overall
40%

Season numbers

National League - North 2026

When the goals come

3
0-15'
0
2
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
4
46-60'
4
1
61-75'
1
4
76-90'
2
0
0-15'
3
2
16-30'
2
3
31-45'
1
3
46-60'
3
3
61-75'
2
6
76-90'
4
Chorley AFC Telford United

Side by side

Chorley AFC Telford United
10 Played 10
4 Won 2
2 Drawn 3
4 Lost 5
1.6 Goals scored per game 0.8
1.7 Goals conceded per game 1.5
2.4 / 0.8 Scored per game (home / away) 0.6 / 1
1 Clean sheets 3
2 Failed to score 3
2 Longest winning run 2
5-2 Biggest win 1-0
1-2 Biggest defeat 0-5
1/2 Penalties scored 0/0

Chorley vs AFC Telford United: preview and prediction

Chorley host AFC Telford United in the England National League - North (National League North - 11) on Saturday, 10th October 2026 at 15:00 at Victory Park, Chorley. Chorley sit 12th in the table and AFC Telford United 15th.

Chorley are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-L-W-L). AFC Telford United are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-W-D-W-W).

In the last 7 meetings, Chorley won 4, AFC Telford United won 2 and 1 ended level. These games average 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 29% and over 2.5 goals in 43%.

Our goal model expects about 1.8 goals for Chorley and 1.3 for AFC Telford United. It gives Chorley the edge (49% home win, 23% draw, 28% away win), 60% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home Win at odds of 2.44.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Chorley vs AFC Telford United FAQs

What is the best prediction for Chorley vs AFC Telford United?

Our top tip is Home Win: Home Win (2.44 odds).

Who will win Chorley vs AFC Telford United?

Chorley are favourites: our model gives Chorley 49%, the draw 23% and AFC Telford United 28%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 61% chance in our model, and it happened in 29% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.1 goals in total, with a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Chorley vs AFC Telford United?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 10th October 2026 at 15:00 at Victory Park, Chorley.