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Chesham United vs Chelmsford City Prediction, H2H & Stats

England: National League - South · National League South - 11
Chesham United

Chesham United

21st in table
DLLLD
Full time
0:5
HT 0 - 5
Chelmsford City

Chelmsford City

12th in table
LDWWL
1' J. Barham
14' A. Lafleur (Own Goal)
17' J. Bridge
21' A. May
37' H. Barbrook
80'
Saturday, 10 October 2026
The Meadow, Chesham

Head to head

Last 4 meetings
4games
0Chesham United wins
2Draws
2Chelmsford City wins
2.8Goals per game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
18 Apr 2026National League - South Chesham United 0 - 2 Chelmsford City
30 Aug 2025National League - South Chelmsford City 2 - 1 Chesham United
01 Feb 2025National League - South Chelmsford City 1 - 1 Chesham United
21 Jan 2025National League - South Chesham United 2 - 2 Chelmsford City

National League - South table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Ebbsfleet United 14941 35:10 +25 31 WLWWD
2 Truro City 14932 27:12 +15 30 WWWWD
3 Maidstone Utd 15924 26:18 +8 29 WLDWW
4 Salisbury 14842 25:10 +15 28 WWDWW
5 Dorking Wanderers 15762 34:23 +11 27 WWDWD
6 Farnham Town 15825 29:19 +10 26 WLWWL
7 Billericay Town 13742 32:16 +16 25 WDWWW
8 Tonbridge Angels 15735 27:16 +11 24 LWDWW
9 Dagenham & Redbridge 15735 13:11 +2 24 DLWLD
10 Horsham 15573 21:16 +5 22 WDWDW
11 Dover 14644 20:19 +1 22 WLDDW
12 Chelmsford City 14491 21:14 +7 21 LWWDW
13 Torquay 14554 22:17 +5 20 WLDWL
14 Folkestone Invicta 15555 22:18 +4 20 DLWWD
15 Weston-super-Mare 14536 21:21 0 18 LLLDL
16 Farnborough 15528 12:31 -19 17 LLWLW
17 Braintree 14518 21:34 -13 16 WWLLL
18 AFC Totton 15519 14:27 -13 16 LWWLL
19 Maidenhead 15366 14:19 -5 15 DDLLL
20 Hemel Hempstead Town 15366 14:22 -8 15 LDLLD
21 Chesham United 14329 20:32 -12 11 DLLLL
22 Hampton & Richmond 152310 18:36 -18 9 LLDLL
23 Walton & Hersham 142210 10:33 -23 8 LLLWW
24 Slough Town 151113 15:39 -24 4 LLLLL

Recent form

3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026National League - South Chesham United 2 - 2 Folkestone Invicta D
27 Oct 2026National League - South Chesham United 2 - 4 Farnham Town L
24 Oct 2026National League - South Dagenham & Redbridge 2 - 0 Chesham United L
20 Oct 2026FA Cup Forest Green 5 - 0 Chesham United L
17 Oct 2026FA Cup Chesham United 0 - 0 Forest Green D
10 Oct 2026National League - South Chesham United 0 - 5 Chelmsford City L
03 Oct 2026FA Cup Chesham United 4 - 3 Real Bedford W
26 Sep 2026National League - South Chesham United 0 - 4 Maidenhead L
19 Sep 2026FA Cup Chesham United 7 - 2 Ware W
12 Sep 2026National League - South Horsham 1 - 4 Chesham United W
5 W 3 D 2 L in the last 10
02 Nov 2026National League - South Chelmsford City 0 - 2 Farnham Town L
31 Oct 2026National League - South AFC Totton 1 - 3 Chelmsford City W
27 Oct 2026National League - South Dover 0 - 1 Chelmsford City W
24 Oct 2026National League - South Chelmsford City 3 - 3 Tonbridge Angels D
17 Oct 2026FA Cup Wimborne Town 1 - 0 Chelmsford City L
10 Oct 2026National League - South Chesham United 0 - 5 Chelmsford City W
03 Oct 2026FA Cup Brackley Town 0 - 2 Chelmsford City W
26 Sep 2026National League - South Chelmsford City 0 - 0 Horsham D
19 Sep 2026FA Cup Canvey Island 0 - 1 Chelmsford City W
12 Sep 2026National League - South Hampton & Richmond 1 - 1 Chelmsford City D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Chesham United Draw Chelmsford City
Value spotted: Chelmsford City win at 2.30 (model 46% vs market 39%)

Most likely scores

1-1 10.9%
1-2 9.2%
0-1 8.1%
2-1 7.3%
0-2 6.8%
1-0 6.4%

Expected goals: 1.35 Chesham United · 1.7 Chelmsford City

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Over 3.5 goals36%
Both teams score61%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
44%
Form
56%
57%
Attack
43%
33%
Defence
67%
39%
Goal model
61%
20%
Head to head
80%
36%
Goals
64%
38%
Overall
61%

Season numbers

National League - South 2026

When the goals come

3
0-15'
1
3
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
4
3
46-60'
2
1
61-75'
1
2
76-90'
0
2
0-15'
2
2
16-30'
1
3
31-45'
0
3
46-60'
3
3
61-75'
1
4
76-90'
0
Chesham United Chelmsford City

Side by side

Chesham United Chelmsford City
10 Played 9
3 Won 1
1 Drawn 8
6 Lost 0
1.6 Goals scored per game 1
1.9 Goals conceded per game 0.9
1.3 / 1.8 Scored per game (home / away) 0.5 / 1.4
2 Clean sheets 3
3 Failed to score 2
2 Longest winning run 1
2-0 Biggest win 1-0
0-4 Biggest defeat -
1/1 Penalties scored 0/0

Chesham United vs Chelmsford City: preview and prediction

Chesham United host Chelmsford City in the England National League - South (National League South - 11) on Saturday, 10th October 2026 at 15:00 at The Meadow, Chesham. Chesham United sit 21st in the table and Chelmsford City 12th.

Chesham United are struggling, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-L-L-D). Chelmsford City have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-D-W-W-L).

In the last 4 meetings, Chesham United won 0, Chelmsford City won 2 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% and over 2.5 goals in 50%.

Our goal model expects about 1.35 goals for Chesham United and 1.7 for Chelmsford City. It gives Chelmsford City the edge (31% home win, 24% draw, 46% away win), 59% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Over 2.5 at odds of 1.67. We also like BTTS Yes.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Chesham United vs Chelmsford City FAQs

What is the best prediction for Chesham United vs Chelmsford City?

Our top tip is Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5 (1.67 odds).

Who will win Chesham United vs Chelmsford City?

Chelmsford City are favourites: our model gives Chesham United 31%, the draw 24% and Chelmsford City 46%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 61% chance in our model, and it happened in 75% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.1 goals in total, with a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Chesham United vs Chelmsford City?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 10th October 2026 at 15:00 at The Meadow, Chesham.