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Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Prediction, H2H & Stats

Bulgaria: First League · Conference League Group - 34
Cherno More Varna

Cherno More Varna

6th in table
LWLWW
Full time
2:0
HT 1 - 0
Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

5th in table
DWWDL
7' Martin Atanasov
40' A. Chandarov
41' Ivaylo Ivanov
42' Asen Chandarov
61' Andreas Calcan
65' A. Donchev
72' Georgi Lazarov
84' Ivaylo Ivanov
84' Ivaylo Ivanov
85' Todor Pavlov
90' Andrei Chindriş
Tuesday, 12 May 2026
Ticha, Varna
S. Arsov

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7games
3Cherno More Varna wins
2Draws
2Lokomotiv Plovdiv wins
1.9Goals per game
57%Both scored
29%Over 2.5
26 Apr 2026First League Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0 - 1 Cherno More Varna
15 Feb 2026First League Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1 - 1 Cherno More Varna
23 Aug 2025First League Cherno More Varna 1 - 1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv
08 Feb 2025First League Cherno More Varna 1 - 2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv
19 Aug 2024First League Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1 - 2 Cherno More Varna
28 Apr 2024First League Cherno More Varna 1 - 0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv
08 Apr 2024First League Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1 - 0 Cherno More Varna

First League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Levski Sofia 302244 64:22 +42 70 DWDWW
2 Ludogorets 301794 57:20 +37 60 LDWWW
3 CSKA 1948 301857 50:31 +19 59 WWLWW
4 CSKA Sofia 301686 43:23 +20 56 DWWWL
5 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 3011136 30:33 -3 46 DDWWW
6 Cherno More Varna 3011118 33:26 +7 44 LDLLW
7 Arda Kardzhali 3012810 33:27 +6 44 WLWWW
8 Botev Plovdiv 3011712 40:37 +3 40 WDWWL
9 Slavia Sofia 3010911 36:33 +3 39 DLWLD
10 Botev Vratsa 3091110 24:26 -2 38 WLDLW
11 Lokomotiv Sofia 3091011 40:39 +1 37 LWLLW
12 Spartak Varna 3051213 25:50 -25 27 DWLLL
13 Dobrudzha 307518 23:43 -20 26 LLDLL
14 Septemvri Sofia 307518 25:58 -33 26 DWDLL
15 Beroe 3041115 19:44 -25 23 DLLWL
16 Montana 303819 15:45 -30 17 DLLLL

Top scorers

First League
1 I. ChochevLudogorets 12goals 2assists 37apps
2 Everton BalaLevski Sofia 12goals 1assists 35apps
3 S. GodoyCSKA Sofia 9goals 1assists 31apps
4 M. DialloCSKA 1948 9goals 0assists 0apps
5 K. DuahLudogorets 8goals 1assists 19apps
6 B. KaragarenArda Kardzhali 7goals 2assists 36apps
7 Georg StojanovskiSpartak Varna 7goals 2assists 25apps
8 A. AralicaLokomotiv Sofia 7goals 2assists 17apps
9 Franklin MascoteBotev Plovdiv 7goals 0assists 30apps
10 P. StanićLudogorets 7goals 7assists 34apps

Recent form

4 W 2 D 4 L in the last 10
02 Nov 2026First League Cherno More Varna 1 - 0 Botev Vratsa W
27 Oct 2026First League Cherno More Varna 2 - 0 Septemvri Sofia W
21 Oct 2026Pro Cup Cherno More Varna 0 - 1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv L
17 Oct 2026Cup Marek 0 - 3 Cherno More Varna W
11 Oct 2026First League Cherno More Varna 0 - 2 Levski Sofia L
04 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Ludogorets 5 - 0 Cherno More Varna L
26 Sep 2026Friendlies Clubs Cherno More Varna 1 - 0 Dunav Ruse W
19 Sep 2026First League Arda Kardzhali 1 - 1 Cherno More Varna D
11 Sep 2026First League Cherno More Varna 2 - 2 Lokomotiv Sofia D
06 Sep 2026First League Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1 - 0 Cherno More Varna L
4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026First League Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0 - 3 Ludogorets L
26 Oct 2026First League Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0 - 0 Slavia Sofia D
21 Oct 2026Pro Cup Cherno More Varna 0 - 1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv W
16 Oct 2026Cup Yantra 2019 0 - 2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv W
10 Oct 2026First League Lokomotiv Sofia 1 - 1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv D
02 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2 - 0 Arda Kardzhali W
20 Sep 2026First League Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1 - 1 CSKA Sofia D
13 Sep 2026First League Botev Plovdiv 2 - 0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv L
06 Sep 2026First League Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1 - 0 Cherno More Varna W
28 Aug 2026First League CSKA 1948 2 - 0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Cherno More Varna Draw Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Value spotted: Lokomotiv Plovdiv win at 3.86 (model 32% vs market 24%)

Most likely scores

1-0 13.5%
1-1 13.5%
0-0 12.2%
0-1 12.2%
2-0 7.4%
2-1 7.4%

Expected goals: 1.1 Cherno More Varna · 1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals62%
Over 2.5 goals35%
Over 3.5 goals16%
Both teams score42%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
38%
Attack
63%
33%
Defence
67%
51%
Goal model
49%
62%
Head to head
38%
55%
Goals
45%
48%
Overall
52%

Season numbers

First League 2025

When the goals come

2
0-15'
4
7
16-30'
7
6
31-45'
7
3
46-60'
4
6
61-75'
2
10
76-90'
12
5
0-15'
1
4
16-30'
2
5
31-45'
5
6
46-60'
4
3
61-75'
7
5
76-90'
9
Cherno More Varna Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Side by side

Cherno More Varna Lokomotiv Plovdiv
33 Played 32
13 Won 13
12 Drawn 13
8 Lost 6
1.1 Goals scored per game 1.1
0.8 Goals conceded per game 0.9
1.1 / 1.1 Scored per game (home / away) 1 / 1.1
17 Clean sheets 13
11 Failed to score 8
2 Longest winning run 3
4-0 Biggest win 3-0
0-4 Biggest defeat 0-5
4/4 Penalties scored 2/2

Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv: preview and prediction

Cherno More Varna host Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the Bulgaria First League (Conference League Group - 34) on Tuesday, 12th May 2026 at 15:45 at Ticha, Varna. Cherno More Varna sit 6th in the table and Lokomotiv Plovdiv 5th.

Cherno More Varna are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-W-W). Lokomotiv Plovdiv have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-W-W-D-L).

In the last 7 meetings, Cherno More Varna won 3, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 2 and 2 ended level. These games average 1.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% and over 2.5 goals in 29%.

Our goal model expects about 1.1 goals for Cherno More Varna and 1 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv. It gives Cherno More Varna the edge (38% home win, 30% draw, 32% away win), 35% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.76. We also like BTTS No.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv FAQs

What is the best prediction for Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.76 odds).

Who will win Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Cherno More Varna are favourites: our model gives Cherno More Varna 38%, the draw 30% and Lokomotiv Plovdiv 32%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 42% chance in our model, and it happened in 57% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.1 goals in total, with a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Kick-off is on Tuesday, 12th May 2026 at 15:45 at Ticha, Varna.

Who is the referee?

S. Arsov is in charge of this game.