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Cheltenham vs Exeter City Prediction, H2H & Stats

England: EFL Trophy · Group South - 1
Cheltenham

Cheltenham

DLWWL
Full time
2:2
HT 1 - 0
Exeter City

Exeter City

WDWWL
13' Edward James
45' J. Bickerstaff
77' J. Gordon
86' C. Cummins
89' G. Miller (Penalty)
90+7' Ethan Sutherland
92' George Nurse (Penalty)
93' Lakyle·Samuel (Penalty)
94' L. Woodhouse (Penalty)
95' Jake Bickerstaff (Penalty)
95' Charlie Cummins (Penalty)
96' Ryan Broom (Penalty)
97' George Miller (Penalty)
Tuesday, 22 September 2026
Whaddon Road, Cheltenham
E. Heaslip

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
5Cheltenham wins
1Draws
3Exeter City wins
3.4Goals per game
44%Both scored
56%Over 2.5
13 Aug 2025League Cup Cheltenham 2 - 0 Exeter City
01 Apr 2024League One Cheltenham 1 - 2 Exeter City
16 Sep 2023League One Exeter City 1 - 0 Cheltenham
18 Mar 2023League One Cheltenham 3 - 1 Exeter City
20 Aug 2022League One Exeter City 0 - 1 Cheltenham
09 Aug 2022League Cup Cheltenham 0 - 7 Exeter City
05 Oct 2021EFL Trophy Cheltenham 2 - 2 Exeter City
13 Mar 2021League Two Exeter City 0 - 1 Cheltenham
05 Dec 2020League Two Cheltenham 5 - 3 Exeter City

Top scorers

EFL Trophy
1 M. MothersilleWycombe 5goals 0assists 4apps
2 C. MillsLeeds United U21 4goals 1assists 2apps
3 E. TezgelWycombe 4goals 0assists 4apps
4 W. SwanBradford 4goals 0assists 3apps
5 S. Duke-McKennaCrawley Town 4goals 0assists 1apps
6 N. PowellBradford 4goals 0assists 2apps
7 Wanya MarçalStevenage 3goals 1assists 3apps
8 M. AsamoahPort Vale 3goals 0assists 3apps
9 A. BristrićLeicester 3goals 0assists 3apps
10 Harry AshfieldPeterborough 3goals 0assists 2apps

Recent form

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026League Two Tranmere 3 - 1 Cheltenham L
24 Oct 2026League Two Cheltenham 1 - 0 Newport County W
20 Oct 2026League Two Cheltenham 4 - 2 Fleetwood Town W
17 Oct 2026League Two Oldham 4 - 1 Cheltenham L
13 Oct 2026EFL Trophy Cheltenham 2 - 2 Tottenham Hotspur U21 D
10 Oct 2026League Two Cheltenham 0 - 2 Salford City L
03 Oct 2026League Two Accrington ST 2 - 0 Cheltenham L
26 Sep 2026League Two Cheltenham 2 - 1 Chesterfield W
22 Sep 2026EFL Trophy Cheltenham 2 - 2 Exeter City D
19 Sep 2026League Two Colchester 1 - 1 Cheltenham D
4 W 4 D 2 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026League Two Salford City 2 - 1 Exeter City L
24 Oct 2026League Two Exeter City 2 - 1 Fleetwood Town W
20 Oct 2026League Two Exeter City 2 - 0 Crewe W
17 Oct 2026League Two Colchester 0 - 0 Exeter City D
10 Oct 2026League Two Shrewsbury 0 - 1 Exeter City W
06 Oct 2026EFL Trophy Exeter City 2 - 2 Oxford United D
03 Oct 2026League Two Exeter City 1 - 0 Rotherham W
26 Sep 2026League Two Bristol Rovers 1 - 0 Exeter City L
22 Sep 2026EFL Trophy Cheltenham 2 - 2 Exeter City D
19 Sep 2026League Two Exeter City 0 - 0 Tranmere D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Cheltenham Draw Exeter City
Value spotted: Exeter City win at 2.51 (model 51% vs market 36%)

Most likely scores

1-1 9.3%
1-2 9.3%
0-1 6.7%
0-2 6.7%
2-1 6.5%
2-2 6.5%

Expected goals: 1.4 Cheltenham · 2 Exeter City

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Over 3.5 goals44%
Both teams score65%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
0%
Form
100%
0%
Attack
100%
0%
Defence
0%
0%
Goal model
0%
60%
Head to head
40%
64%
Goals
36%
62%
Overall
38%

Season numbers

EFL Trophy 2026

Cheltenham vs Exeter City: preview and prediction

Cheltenham host Exeter City in the England EFL Trophy (Group South - 1) on Tuesday, 22nd September 2026 at 19:00 at Whaddon Road, Cheltenham.

Cheltenham have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-W-W-L). Exeter City are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-W-W-L).

In the last 9 meetings, Cheltenham won 5, Exeter City won 3 and 1 ended level. These games average 3.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 44% and over 2.5 goals in 56%.

Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for Cheltenham and 2 for Exeter City. It gives Exeter City the edge (27% home win, 22% draw, 51% away win), 66% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.41. We also like Over 2.5, BTTS Yes, Under 3.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Cheltenham vs Exeter City FAQs

What is the best prediction for Cheltenham vs Exeter City?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.41 odds).

Who will win Cheltenham vs Exeter City?

Exeter City are favourites: our model gives Cheltenham 27%, the draw 22% and Exeter City 51%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 65% chance in our model, and it happened in 44% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.4 goals in total, with a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Cheltenham vs Exeter City?

Kick-off is on Tuesday, 22nd September 2026 at 19:00 at Whaddon Road, Cheltenham.

Who is the referee?

E. Heaslip is in charge of this game.