Chelsea W vs Manchester United W Prediction, H2H & Stats

England: FA WSL · Regular Season - 22
Chelsea W

Chelsea W

3rd in table
WWWWW
Full time
1:0
HT 1 - 0
Manchester United W

Manchester United W

4th in table
WWDWD
23' G. George
34' S. Kerr
90+10' P. Tullis-Joyce
90+11' V. Buurman
Saturday, 16 May 2026
Stamford Bridge, London
M. Burgin

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
6Chelsea W wins
1Draws
1Manchester United W wins
2.6Goals per game
38%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
15 Mar 2026WSL Cup Chelsea W 2 - 0 Manchester United W
22 Feb 2026FA Women's Cup Chelsea W 2 - 1 Manchester United W
03 Oct 2025FA WSL Manchester United W 1 - 1 Chelsea W
18 May 2025FA Women's Cup Chelsea W 3 - 0 Manchester United W
30 Apr 2025FA WSL Manchester United W 0 - 1 Chelsea W
24 Nov 2024FA WSL Chelsea W 1 - 0 Manchester United W
18 May 2024FA WSL Manchester United W 0 - 6 Chelsea W
14 Apr 2024FA Women's Cup Manchester United W 2 - 1 Chelsea W

FA WSL table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Manchester City W 221813 62:19 +43 55 WWLWW
2 Arsenal W 221561 53:14 +39 51 WWWDW
3 Chelsea W 221543 44:20 +24 49 WWWWD
4 Manchester United W 221174 38:22 +16 40 LDDLW
5 Tottenham Hotspur W 221138 35:38 -3 36 WWDLL
6 London City Lionesses W 228311 28:35 -7 27 WLWDD
7 Brighton W 227510 27:28 -1 26 LDDWW
8 Everton W 227213 25:37 -12 23 WLLLL
9 Aston Villa W 225512 28:48 -20 20 LLLLW
10 West Ham W 225413 20:45 -25 19 LWWDL
11 Liverpool W 224513 21:34 -13 17 LLLWD
12 Leicester City FC W 222317 11:52 -41 9 DLLLL

Top scorers

FA WSL
1 K. ShawManchester City W 16goals 3assists 22apps
2 KerolinManchester City W 9goals 4assists 15apps
3 V. MiedemaManchester City W 8goals 4assists 19apps
4 K. HansonAston Villa W 8goals 1assists 22apps
5 A. ThompsonChelsea W 6goals 3assists 20apps
6 A. RussoArsenal W 6goals 2assists 22apps
7 S. BlacksteniusArsenal W 6goals 2assists 20apps
8 F. GodfreyLondon City Lionesses W 5goals 2assists 18apps
9 B. EnglandTottenham Hotspur W 5goals 0assists 21apps
10 S. MartinezWest Ham W 5goals 0assists 20apps

Recent form

9 W 1 D 0 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026FA WSL Charlton Athletic W 0 - 6 Chelsea W W
28 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Women Chelsea W 2 - 0 Roma W W
25 Oct 2026FA WSL Crystal Palace W 1 - 3 Chelsea W W
18 Oct 2026FA WSL Chelsea W 6 - 2 Tottenham Hotspur W W
04 Oct 2026FA WSL West Ham W 0 - 3 Chelsea W W
30 Sep 2026UEFA Champions League Women Lyon W 0 - 0 Chelsea W D
27 Sep 2026FA WSL Chelsea W 1 - 0 Arsenal W W
23 Sep 2026UEFA Champions League Women Chelsea W 1 - 0 Austria Wien W W
19 Sep 2026FA WSL Chelsea W 2 - 0 Birmingham City W W
13 Sep 2026FA WSL Manchester United W 0 - 5 Chelsea W W
7 W 3 D 0 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026FA WSL Everton W 0 - 0 Manchester United W D
28 Oct 2026WSL Cup Manchester United W 3 - 0 Burnley W W
25 Oct 2026FA WSL Manchester United W 1 - 1 Manchester City W D
21 Oct 2026WSL Cup Liverpool W 3 - 5 Manchester United W W
18 Oct 2026FA WSL Charlton Athletic W 1 - 3 Manchester United W W
03 Oct 2026FA WSL Manchester United W 1 - 0 Liverpool W W
30 Sep 2026WSL Cup Durham W 1 - 5 Manchester United W W
27 Sep 2026FA WSL Manchester United W 2 - 1 West Ham W W
23 Sep 2026WSL Cup Manchester United W 10 - 1 Sheffield United W W
19 Sep 2026FA WSL Arsenal W 1 - 1 Manchester United W D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Chelsea W Draw Manchester United W
Value spotted: Manchester United W win at 5.80 (model 38% vs market 16%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.1%
0-1 8.9%
1-0 8.6%
1-2 8.5%
2-1 8.2%
0-0 6.4%

Expected goals: 1.35 Chelsea W · 1.4 Manchester United W

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams score56%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
68%
Form
32%
82%
Attack
18%
42%
Defence
58%
45%
Goal model
55%
93%
Head to head
7%
82%
Goals
18%
68%
Overall
31%

Season numbers

FA WSL 2025

When the goals come

11
0-15'
4
7
16-30'
3
8
31-45'
6
3
46-60'
5
9
61-75'
6
3
76-90'
13
5
0-15'
2
2
16-30'
4
6
31-45'
7
5
46-60'
3
2
61-75'
3
2
76-90'
3
Chelsea W Manchester United W

Side by side

Chelsea W Manchester United W
21 Played 21
14 Won 11
4 Drawn 7
3 Lost 3
2 Goals scored per game 1.8
1 Goals conceded per game 1
1.9 / 2.2 Scored per game (home / away) 1.6 / 2
8 Clean sheets 7
2 Failed to score 7
4 Longest winning run 4
5-0 Biggest win 4-0
0-2 Biggest defeat 0-3
1/1 Penalties scored 1/1

Chelsea W vs Manchester United W: preview and prediction

Chelsea W host Manchester United W in the England FA WSL (Regular Season - 22) on Saturday, 16th May 2026 at 13:00 at Stamford Bridge, London. Chelsea W sit 3rd in the table and Manchester United W 4th.

Chelsea W are flying, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-W-W-W). Manchester United W are in good shape, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-D-W-D).

In the last 8 meetings, Chelsea W won 6, Manchester United W won 1 and 1 ended level. These games average 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 38% and over 2.5 goals in 50%.

Our goal model expects about 1.35 goals for Chelsea W and 1.4 for Manchester United W. It gives Manchester United W the edge (36% home win, 26% draw, 38% away win), 52% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home Win at odds of 1.47. We also like Over 2.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Chelsea W vs Manchester United W FAQs

What is the best prediction for Chelsea W vs Manchester United W?

Our top tip is Home Win: Home Win (1.47 odds).

Who will win Chelsea W vs Manchester United W?

Manchester United W are favourites: our model gives Chelsea W 36%, the draw 26% and Manchester United W 38%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 56% chance in our model, and it happened in 38% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.8 goals in total, with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Chelsea W vs Manchester United W?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 16th May 2026 at 13:00 at Stamford Bridge, London.

Who is the referee?

M. Burgin is in charge of this game.