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Chelsea vs Brighton Prediction, H2H & Stats

England: Premier League · Regular Season - 2
Chelsea

Chelsea

5th in table
WWLDW
Full time
4:3
HT 3 - 1
Brighton

Brighton

3rd in table
WWDLD
4' Roméo Lavia
14' Pedro Neto
32' João Pedro
35' Malick Yalcouyé
55' Wesley Fofana
63' João Pedro (Own Goal)
70' Lewis Dunk
74' Cole Palmer
89' Olivier Boscagli
90+6' Pascal Groß
90+1' Costinha
Sunday, 30 August 2026
Stamford Bridge, London
Michael Oliver, England

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
5Chelsea wins
0Draws
4Brighton wins
3.9Goals per game
67%Both scored
89%Over 2.5
21 Apr 2026Premier League Brighton 3 - 0 Chelsea
27 Sep 2025Premier League Chelsea 1 - 3 Brighton
14 Feb 2025Premier League Brighton 3 - 0 Chelsea
08 Feb 2025FA Cup Brighton 2 - 1 Chelsea
28 Sep 2024Premier League Chelsea 4 - 2 Brighton
15 May 2024Premier League Brighton 1 - 2 Chelsea
03 Dec 2023Premier League Chelsea 3 - 2 Brighton
27 Sep 2023League Cup Chelsea 1 - 0 Brighton
22 Jul 2023Premier League - Summer Series Chelsea 4 - 3 Brighton

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Manchester City 8701 20:9 +11 21 LWWWW
2 Arsenal 8701 13:5 +8 21 WWWLW
3 Brighton 8512 23:7 +16 16 LWWWW
4 Liverpool 8431 11:8 +3 15 WWLWD
5 Chelsea 8413 17:15 +2 13 LWWLD
6 Brentford 8251 14:9 +5 11 DLDWD
7 Leeds 8251 9:6 +3 11 DDLDW
8 Newcastle 8323 12:14 -2 11 WLLWL
9 Aston Villa 8323 9:12 -3 11 WWDWL
10 Hull City 8242 9:8 +1 10 DLDLD
11 Everton 8242 8:9 -1 10 LLDWD
12 Ipswich 8314 12:16 -4 10 DLWLW
13 Bournemouth 8233 12:13 -1 9 WWLLD
14 Tottenham 8233 8:10 -2 9 WWDLD
15 Fulham 8224 8:10 -2 8 WWLDD
16 Manchester United 8143 10:13 -3 7 LDDDL
17 Crystal Palace 8215 9:19 -10 7 LLWDL
18 Nottingham Forest 8134 6:10 -4 6 DLLLW
19 Coventry 8206 6:15 -9 6 LLWWL
20 Sunderland 8125 6:14 -8 5 DLLLL

Top scorers

Premier League
1 E. HaalandManchester City 9goals 0assists 8apps
2 A. IsakLiverpool 6goals 0assists 7apps
3 João PedroChelsea 5goals 3assists 6apps
4 M. TavernierBournemouth 5goals 0assists 8apps
5 R. CherkiManchester City 4goals 2assists 7apps
6 M. RogersChelsea 4goals 1assists 8apps
7 B. MbeumoManchester United 4goals 0assists 8apps
8 N. JacksonAston Villa 4goals 0assists 7apps
9 EvanilsonBournemouth 3goals 4assists 8apps
10 C. KostoulasBrighton 3goals 2assists 8apps

Recent form

5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Premier League Chelsea 2 - 0 Manchester United W
28 Oct 2026League Cup Liverpool 1 - 1 Chelsea D
24 Oct 2026Premier League Chelsea 0 - 2 Tottenham L
17 Oct 2026Premier League Everton 0 - 2 Chelsea W
10 Oct 2026Premier League Chelsea 5 - 1 Bournemouth W
18 Sep 2026Premier League Brentford 3 - 0 Chelsea L
12 Sep 2026Premier League Chelsea 2 - 2 Hull City D
09 Sep 2026League Cup Chelsea 6 - 3 Leeds W
06 Sep 2026Premier League Arsenal 2 - 1 Chelsea L
30 Aug 2026Premier League Chelsea 4 - 3 Brighton W
6 W 3 D 1 L in the last 10
28 Oct 2026League Cup Manchester City 2 - 2 Brighton D
25 Oct 2026Premier League Liverpool 2 - 0 Brighton L
22 Oct 2026UEFA Europa Conference League FK Jablonec 0 - 0 Brighton D
18 Oct 2026Premier League Brighton 5 - 0 Crystal Palace W
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa Conference League Brighton 4 - 0 Kauno Žalgiris W
10 Oct 2026Premier League Sunderland 0 - 2 Brighton W
19 Sep 2026Premier League Brighton 3 - 0 Arsenal W
16 Sep 2026League Cup Manchester United 2 - 3 Brighton W
13 Sep 2026Premier League Coventry 0 - 5 Brighton W
05 Sep 2026Premier League Brighton 1 - 1 Leeds D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Chelsea Draw Brighton
Value spotted: Brighton win at 4.22 (model 40% vs market 23%)

Most likely scores

2-2 5%
2-3 5%
3-2 5%
3-3 5%
2-4 3.8%
3-4 3.8%

Expected goals: 3 Chelsea · 3 Brighton

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals96%
Over 2.5 goals91%
Over 3.5 goals83%
Both teams score88%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
43%
Attack
57%
0%
Defence
100%
0%
Goal model
0%
20%
Head to head
80%
32%
Goals
68%
36%
Overall
63%

Season numbers

Premier League 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
2
1
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0
Chelsea Brighton

Side by side

Chelsea Brighton
1 Played 1
1 Won 1
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
3 Goals scored per game 4
2 Goals conceded per game 0
0 / 3 Scored per game (home / away) 4 / 0
0 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 0
1 Longest winning run 1
2-3 Biggest win 4-0
- Biggest defeat -
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Chelsea vs Brighton: preview and prediction

Chelsea host Brighton in the England Premier League (Regular Season - 2) on Sunday, 30th August 2026 at 14:00 at Stamford Bridge, London. Chelsea sit 5th in the table and Brighton 3rd.

Chelsea are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-L-D-W). Brighton have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-D-L-D).

In the last 9 meetings, Chelsea won 5, Brighton won 4 and 0 ended level. These games average 3.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% and over 2.5 goals in 89%.

Our goal model expects about 3 goals for Chelsea and 3 for Brighton. It gives Chelsea the edge (40% home win, 17% draw, 40% away win), 91% for over 2.5 goals and 88% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-2.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.27. We also like BTTS Yes, Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Chelsea vs Brighton FAQs

What is the best prediction for Chelsea vs Brighton?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.27 odds).

Who will win Chelsea vs Brighton?

It looks very close: our model gives Chelsea 40%, the draw 17% and Brighton 40%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 88% chance in our model, and it happened in 67% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 6 goals in total, with a 91% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Chelsea vs Brighton?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 30th August 2026 at 14:00 at Stamford Bridge, London.

Who is the referee?

Michael Oliver, England is in charge of this game.