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Cerezo Osaka vs V-varen Nagasaki Prediction, H2H & Stats

Japan: J1 League · Regular Season - 16
Cerezo Osaka

Cerezo Osaka

2nd in table
LDDWL
Full time
3:2
HT 1 - 1
V-varen Nagasaki

V-varen Nagasaki

9th in table
DLWLL
25' R. Yamasaki (Penalty)
28' Thiago Andrade
63' S. Tanaka
72' Matheus Jesus
86' Thiago Santana
86' Riku Yamada
90+11' Kosuke Nakamura
90' S. Kagawa (Penalty)
Saturday, 9 May 2026
Yodoko Sakura Stadium, Osaka
K. Nagamine

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7games
4Cerezo Osaka wins
0Draws
3V-varen Nagasaki wins
2.4Goals per game
43%Both scored
43%Over 2.5
28 Feb 2026J1 League V-varen Nagasaki 1 - 0 Cerezo Osaka
19 Aug 2018J1 League V-varen Nagasaki 0 - 2 Cerezo Osaka
05 May 2018J1 League Cerezo Osaka 3 - 1 V-varen Nagasaki
11 Sep 2016J2 League Cerezo Osaka 2 - 0 V-varen Nagasaki
08 Jun 2016J2 League V-varen Nagasaki 1 - 2 Cerezo Osaka
14 Nov 2015J2 League V-varen Nagasaki 2 - 0 Cerezo Osaka
17 May 2015J2 League Cerezo Osaka 1 - 2 V-varen Nagasaki

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Vissel Kobe 181107 29:25 +4 35
2 Cerezo Osaka 181107 30:21 +9 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 181008 33:31 +2 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 181008 31:23 +8 30
5 Gamba Osaka 181008 31:25 +6 28
6 Fagiano Okayama 188010 26:29 -3 26
7 Shimizu S-pulse 188010 23:25 -2 24
8 Kyoto Sanga 188010 22:28 -6 23
9 V-varen Nagasaki 187011 21:29 -8 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 187011 21:31 -10 21

Top scorers

J1 League
1 K. TanimuraYokohama F. Marinos 10goals 2assists 19apps
2 Y. YamagishiNagoya Grampus 10goals 0assists 19apps
3 Léo CearáKashima 10goals 3assists 20apps
4 Y. KimuraNagoya Grampus 9goals 2assists 20apps
5 ErikMachida Zelvia 8goals 0assists 18apps
6 D. HümmetGamba Osaka 8goals 0assists 18apps
7 S. SakuragawaCerezo Osaka 8goals 1assists 20apps
8 Matheus JesusV-varen Nagasaki 7goals 4assists 18apps
9 Oh Se-HunShimizu S-pulse 7goals 1assists 19apps
10 ErisonKawasaki Frontale 7goals 0assists 16apps

Recent form

4 W 4 D 2 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026J1 League Kashima 4 - 1 Cerezo Osaka L
28 Oct 2026J-League Cup Mito Hollyhock 1 - 3 Cerezo Osaka W
25 Oct 2026J1 League Cerezo Osaka 2 - 2 JEF United Chiba D
21 Oct 2026J1 League Nagoya Grampus 1 - 1 Cerezo Osaka D
17 Oct 2026J1 League Cerezo Osaka 2 - 4 Kawasaki Frontale L
14 Oct 2026J-League Cup Gainare Tottori 2 - 3 Cerezo Osaka W
10 Oct 2026J1 League Cerezo Osaka 0 - 0 Yokohama F. Marinos D
07 Oct 2026Emperor Cup Cerezo Osaka 2 - 0 Kagoshima United W
29 Sep 2026J-League Cup Fujieda MYFC 1 - 2 Cerezo Osaka W
19 Sep 2026J1 League V-varen Nagasaki 1 - 1 Cerezo Osaka D
3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026J1 League V-varen Nagasaki 1 - 2 Tokyo Verdy L
25 Oct 2026J1 League Urawa 1 - 0 V-varen Nagasaki L
21 Oct 2026J1 League V-varen Nagasaki 4 - 0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
17 Oct 2026J1 League Kashima 2 - 0 V-varen Nagasaki L
11 Oct 2026J1 League JEF United Chiba 1 - 1 V-varen Nagasaki D
07 Oct 2026Emperor Cup Shimizu S-pulse 2 - 1 V-varen Nagasaki L
29 Sep 2026J-League Cup Gainare Tottori 2 - 0 V-varen Nagasaki L
19 Sep 2026J1 League V-varen Nagasaki 1 - 1 Cerezo Osaka D
12 Sep 2026J1 League V-varen Nagasaki 2 - 0 Nagoya Grampus W
09 Sep 2026J-League Cup Kochi United 0 - 1 V-varen Nagasaki W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Cerezo Osaka Draw V-varen Nagasaki

Most likely scores

1-1 12.7%
1-0 12.1%
0-1 9.1%
2-1 8.9%
0-0 8.6%
2-0 8.5%

Expected goals: 1.4 Cerezo Osaka · 1.05 V-varen Nagasaki

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals70%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Over 3.5 goals23%
Both teams score49%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
60%
Form
40%
57%
Attack
43%
62%
Defence
38%
61%
Goal model
39%
80%
Head to head
20%
75%
Goals
25%
65%
Overall
34%

Season numbers

J1 League 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
1
4
16-30'
4
3
31-45'
3
0
46-60'
2
2
61-75'
0
4
76-90'
7
1
0-15'
4
0
16-30'
2
2
31-45'
5
4
46-60'
6
3
61-75'
2
3
76-90'
2
Cerezo Osaka V-varen Nagasaki

Side by side

Cerezo Osaka V-varen Nagasaki
15 Played 15
8 Won 6
0 Drawn 0
7 Lost 9
1.2 Goals scored per game 1.1
1.1 Goals conceded per game 1.5
1.4 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 1 / 1.1
5 Clean sheets 3
3 Failed to score 4
2 Longest winning run 2
3-0 Biggest win 2-1
1-2 Biggest defeat 0-3
0/0 Penalties scored 2/2

Cerezo Osaka vs V-varen Nagasaki: preview and prediction

Cerezo Osaka host V-varen Nagasaki in the Japan J1 League (Regular Season - 16) on Saturday, 9th May 2026 at 08:00 at Yodoko Sakura Stadium, Osaka. Cerezo Osaka sit 2nd in the table and V-varen Nagasaki 9th.

Cerezo Osaka have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-D-D-W-L). V-varen Nagasaki are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-W-L-L).

In the last 7 meetings, Cerezo Osaka won 4, V-varen Nagasaki won 3 and 0 ended level. These games average 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% and over 2.5 goals in 43%.

Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for Cerezo Osaka and 1.05 for V-varen Nagasaki. It gives Cerezo Osaka the edge (45% home win, 27% draw, 28% away win), 44% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.23.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Cerezo Osaka vs V-varen Nagasaki FAQs

What is the best prediction for Cerezo Osaka vs V-varen Nagasaki?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.23 odds).

Who will win Cerezo Osaka vs V-varen Nagasaki?

Cerezo Osaka are favourites: our model gives Cerezo Osaka 45%, the draw 27% and V-varen Nagasaki 28%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 49% chance in our model, and it happened in 43% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Cerezo Osaka vs V-varen Nagasaki?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 9th May 2026 at 08:00 at Yodoko Sakura Stadium, Osaka.

Who is the referee?

K. Nagamine is in charge of this game.